scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-86541b3917
model Qwen3-8B · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-d9a0ef3c04 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__all_llm", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Power supply", "Location", "Compensation", "Site access"], "option_labels": [["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "shared substation"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park"], ["one-off site payment", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure"], ["new spur road", "widened lane", "rail siding", "existing haul route"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Power supply (grid tie-in, on-site turbines, solar with storage, shared substation); Location (Anvil Ridge, Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats, Kestrel Park); Compensation (one-off site payment, rates abatement, annual community fund, in-kind infrastructure); Site access (new spur road, widened lane, rail siding, existing haul route)
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=95): Power supply: grid tie-in=19, on-site turbines=57, solar with storage=38, shared substation=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=12, Dunlow Yard=37, Weir Flats=25, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=32, widened lane=0, rail siding=65, existing haul route=97
- Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive) (τ=46): Power supply: grid tie-in=48, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=24, shared substation=71; Location: Anvil Ridge=7, Dunlow Yard=21, Weir Flats=14, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=46): Power supply: grid tie-in=21, on-site turbines=63, solar with storage=42, shared substation=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=10, Dunlow Yard=29, Weir Flats=20, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=101): Power supply: grid tie-in=41, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=21, shared substation=62; Location: Anvil Ridge=19, Dunlow Yard=56, Weir Flats=37, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=14, annual community fund=42, in-kind infrastructure=28; Site access: new spur road=42, widened lane=28, rail siding=0, existing haul route=14
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=116): Power supply: grid tie-in=54, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=27, shared substation=80; Location: Anvil Ridge=19, Dunlow Yard=58, Weir Flats=39, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=31, rates abatement=93, annual community fund=62, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
Turns
[0] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a deal with shared substation power, Dunlow Yard location, in-kind infrastructure compensation, and existing haul route access. This meets my threshold.
Maximizing my power supply (71) and location (21) scores; other issues are neutral. Total: 92 > 46.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.15
[1] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a revised deal with on-site turbines for power, Dunlow Yard location, in-kind infrastructure compensation, and existing haul route access. This meets my threshold.
Current offer scores me 29, below threshold. Need to switch power supply to on-site turbines (63) and keep Dunlow Yard (29) for location. Compensation and site access remain as per P1 (0 each). Total: 63+29=92 > 46. Propose P2 with these terms.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.2
[2] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
P1 meets my threshold (160 vs 101). I can accept it to move forward.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[3] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with key priorities.
P1 meets my threshold with 138 points. Accepting it advances the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0
[4] Avery — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
P1 meets my threshold (134 points). Accepting P1 would bring total acceptances to 4 (Blake, Devon, Ember, Avery). Need Casey to accept to close the deal. Alternatively, propose a new deal that might get more support.
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+57, bestresponse=+0
[5] Casey — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a revised deal with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard location, in-kind infrastructure, and existing haul route. This meets my threshold and aligns with key priorities.
P2 scores 92 for me, but others need to accept. Since Blake is the veto, and he already accepted P1, maybe pushing for P2's approval.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0.2
[6] Devon — turn (round 2)
none
💬 P1 meets my threshold and is nearly closed. Let's secure Casey's acceptance.
P1 scores 160, above my threshold. It's accepted by 4 parties. Need Casey to accept to close. No better options available.
[7] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and is nearly closed. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 scores 138 (above threshold) and has 4 acceptors. Only Casey remains. Accepting P1 closes the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0
[8] Avery — turn (round 2)
none
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, I'm Avery, and my turn is coming up in round 2. The current live offers are P1, P2, and P3. Let me check the details.
First, P1 has shared substation for power, which is worth 0 to me. But the location is Dunlow Yard, which I value at 37. Compensation is in-kind infrastructure, worth 0. Site access is existing haul route, which I value at 97. So total is 0 + 37 + 0 + 97 = 134. My threshold is 95, so that's a surplus of +39. P1 is already accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember, and Avery. Wait, the mediator's state shows P1 has accepts from Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. But the user message says Blake proposed P1, then Casey proposed P2 and P3. Then Devon and Ember accepted P1. Now, Casey has accepted P1? Wait, the mediator's data shows P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, the initial proposal from Blake was P1, then Casey proposed P2 and P3. Then Devon and Ember accepted P1. Now, in the current state, P1 has four acceptances, but Blake is the veto party. Wait, the rules say that Blake holds a veto, so no deal passes unless every veto party accepts. So if Blake has accepted P1, then P1 would meet the veto requirement. But the mediator's data shows that P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P1 is [3,1,0,4], which might correspond to the parties. Let me check the parties: Avery is seat 0, Blake is seat 1, Casey is seat 2, Devon is seat 3, Ember is seat 4. So P1's accepts are [3,1,0,4], meaning Avery (seat 0) accepted? Wait, maybe the numbers are the seat indices. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P1 is [3,1,0,4], which might mean that seats 3 (Devon), 1 (Blake), 0 (Avery?), and 4 (Ember) have accepted. Wait, the initial setup says the parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So seat 0 is Avery, seat 1 is Blake, seat 2 is Casey, seat 3 is Devon, seat 4 is Ember. So P1 has accepts from seat 3 (Devon), 1 (Blake), 0 (Avery?), and 4 (Ember). Wait, but the user message says that Avery accepted P1. But according to the mediator's data, the "offer_accepts" for P1 is [3,1,0,4], which would be Devon (3), Blake (1), Avery (0), and Ember (4). So that's four acceptances. But Blake is the veto party, so if Blake has accepted, then the veto is satisfied. But the problem is that Casey hasn't accepted P1 yet. Wait, the initial proposals: Blake proposed P1, Casey proposed P2 and P3. Then Devon and Ember accepted P1. Then in the current state, P1 has four acceptances, but Casey hasn't accepted. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P1 is [3,1,0,4], which includes Avery (0), Blake (1), Devon (3), Ember (4). So that's four parties. But Casey (seat 2) hasn't accepted. So the deal isn't closed yet because Casey hasn't accepted. However, Blake is the veto party, and if Blake has accepted, then the veto is satisfied. But the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer. Wait, the rules state that a deal closes when at least 5 of the original 5 parties have accepted the same offer. Since there are 5 parties, all must accept. But since Blake is a veto party, no deal can pass unless every veto party (Blake) accepts. So if Blake has accepted, then the veto is satisfied, but the other parties (Casey, Avery, Devon, Ember) need to accept. But in the current state, P1 has four acceptances (Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember), but Casey hasn't accepted. So the deal isn't closed yet. But the mediator's state shows that P1 is the standing offer.
Now, looking at P2 and P3. P2 and P3 are the same: Power supply is on-site turbines (worth 57 to me), location Dunlow Yard (37), compensation in-kind (0), site access existing haul route (97). Total is
[9] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and is nearly closed. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and the County Executive with a veto. The current situation is that there are two live offers: P1 and P2 (and P3, but maybe it's a duplicate). P1 has been accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember, and Blake. Wait, no, the Mediator's message says P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 shows [3,1,0,4], which might correspond to the parties. But the key point is that P1 has four acceptances, and since Blake is the veto party, if all veto parties accept, the deal closes. Wait, but Blake is the only veto party here. So if Blake accepts, and others have accepted, then the deal closes. But looking at the current state, P1 has been accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. That's four parties. But Casey is the only one left. Wait, no, the parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if P1 has four acceptances, but Casey hasn't accepted yet. Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 is [3,1,0,4], which might be the counts for each party. Maybe the numbers are a bit confusing, but the main thing is that P1 is almost closed except for Casey. But Casey has proposed P2 and P3, which are the same as each other.
But the problem is that Blake's threshold is 46 points. Let me check P1's total for Blake. The Power supply is shared substation, which is worth 71 to Blake. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 21. Compensation is in-kind infrastructure, which is 0. Site access is existing haul route, also 0. So total is 71 +21 = 92, which is way above Blake's threshold of 46. So Blake's acceptance is already secured.
But the current offers are P1 (accepted by four parties) and P2 and P3 (which are the same, proposed by Casey). However, since Blake is the veto party, the deal can't pass unless Blake accepts. Wait, no—the rules say that Blake holds a veto: no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts. Since Blake is the only veto party, the deal needs Blake's acceptance. But in the current state, P1 has been accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember, and Blake. Wait, the message says that Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember have accepted P1. So that's four parties. But Casey hasn't accepted yet. However, since Blake is the veto party, does the deal require all parties to accept, or just the veto party? Wait, the rules state: "A deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTed the SAME standing offer." So all five parties must accept. But Blake is the only veto party. So even if all others accept, Blake's acceptance is needed. But in the current state, Blake has already accepted P1. So if the other four (Avery, Devon, Ember) have accepted, and Blake has accepted, then the deal would be closed if Casey also accepts. But Casey hasn't accepted yet.
Wait, the Mediator's message says that P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. That's four parties. Casey hasn't accepted. So the deal isn't closed yet. But Blake's action here is to decide whether to accept or reject. However, since Blake has already accepted P1, perhaps the deal is already closed? Wait, no, because Casey hasn't accepted. So the deal is not yet closed.
But Blake's action now is to take a turn. The current round is Round 2, and it's Blake's turn. The options are to accept, reject, or walk. But Blake has already accepted P1. Wait, looking back, the previous messages show that Blake accepted P1. But maybe that's not the case. Wait, the initial messages:
[Devon] I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
[Ember] I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with key priorities.
[Avery] I accept P1 as it meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
So Avery, Devon, Ember have accepted P1. Then Blake's turn.
In the current state, the Mediator's message shows that P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, but in the previous messages, Blake hasn't accepted yet. Wait, the Mediator's message says that P1 has been accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. So Blake has already accepted. But in the current round, Blake is taking their turn. Wait, maybe the Mediator's message is a
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[10] Devon — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 is nearly closed. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember) and needs Casey's acceptance. Casey's threshold is unknown, but P1 scores 160 for me. If Casey accepts, deal closes. If not, P1 fails. I should accept P1 to push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[11] Ember — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember) but needs Casey's acceptance. Casey's proposed P2/P3 are worse for me (58 vs 138). Accepting P1 now secures the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0
[12] Avery — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and is nearly closed. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 is already accepted by 4 parties including the veto holder. Accepting P1 ensures closure unless Casey walks. P2/P3 are better for me but require renegotiation. Better to secure P1 now.
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+57, bestresponse=+0
[13] Blake — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and is nearly closed. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let's see. It's my turn, Blake. The current offers are P1, P2, and P3. P1 has been accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember, and Avery again? Wait, the acceptances listed for P1 are Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 show [3, 1, 0, 4], which might correspond to the parties. But the key point is that P1 has four acceptances, but there are five parties. Wait, the min_accept is 5, but maybe the count is different. Wait, the negotiation_state shows that P1 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember), and Casey is the only one not accepting it. But the deal requires all five parties to accept the same offer. So P1 is missing Casey's acceptance. However, the current round is the third round, and the deadline is four rounds.
Looking at my own score for P1: Power supply is shared substation, which is worth 71 points to me. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 21. Compensation is in-kind infrastructure, which is 0. Site access is existing haul route, also 0. Total is 71 + 21 = 92, which is way above my threshold of 46. So P1 is good for me. But Casey hasn't accepted it.
Casey proposed P2 and P3, which are the same deal: on-site turbines (0 points for me), Dunlow Yard (21), in-kind infrastructure (0), existing haul route (0). Total 21, which is below my threshold. So I can't accept those. But Casey is the only one not on board with P1.
Since the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer, and P1 is accepted by four parties, but Casey hasn't. However, the problem says that a deal closes when at least 5 of the original 5 parties have accepted the same offer. Wait, the original parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if four have accepted P1, and Casey hasn't, then P1 isn't closed yet. But the mediator's message says that P1 is "nearly closed" but maybe the system is counting acceptances.
But since I'm Blake, and I've already accepted P1, and the others have accepted it except Casey. But Casey is the only one not accepting. So if I can get Casey to accept P1, then the deal would close. But Casey's own score for P1 is 21 (from location) plus 0 others? Wait, no. Wait, Casey's score sheet isn't known to me, but according to the initial setup, each party's score is private. However, in the current state, Casey has accepted P2 and P3, which are the same deal. But those deals score 21 for me, which is below my threshold. So maybe Casey has a different score.
But since I can't influence Casey's decision directly, maybe I should consider whether to accept P1 or propose a new deal. However, the current round is the third of four. The deadline is four rounds, so there's one more round.
But the problem says that the deal closes when at least 5 parties have accepted the same offer. Since P1 has four acceptances (Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember), and Casey is the fifth. If Casey accepts P1, then it closes. But Casey is the only one not accepting.
Alternatively, if I can get Casey to accept P1, then it's done. But how? Since I can't communicate with Casey directly, except through the message.
But in the previous steps, Casey proposed P2 and P3, which are worse for me. So maybe Casey is trying to push their own deal. But since P1 is better for me, I should try to get Casey to accept P1. However, in the current state, the mediator's message says that P1 is "nearly closed" and the others are accepting.
Wait, the current offers are P1, P2, P3. P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Casey is the only one left. If Casey accepts P1, then the deal is done. But Casey might not want to.
Alternatively, maybe there's a way to propose a new deal that includes Casey's preferences. But since I'm Blake, and the only veto party, I need to ensure that the deal meets my threshold.
But given that P1 is already accepted by four parties, and Casey is the only one left, perhaps I should try to convince Casey to accept P1. But how?
Alternatively, since there's one more round, maybe in the next round, if Casey doesn't accept P1, then the deal
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[14] Casey — turn (round 3)
WALK
💬 I cannot accept P1 as it falls short of my threshold. I will walk to preserve my position.
P1 is below my threshold, but if I accept it, the deal closes. However, P2 and P3 are above my threshold but require others to switch. Since Blake and others have accepted P1, I can't force them to switch. My best move is to accept P1 to close the deal, even though it's below my threshold, because walking would mean no deal. But wait, my threshold is 46. P1 gives me 29, which is worse than no deal. So I should walk.
oracle regret: threshold=+46, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+3.8
Outcome
no deal (no_deal)
primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]