scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-8a63a93d55

model Qwen3-8B · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-d9a0ef3c04 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__all_llm", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Power supply", "Location", "Compensation", "Site access"], "option_labels": [["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "shared substation"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park"], ["one-off site payment", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure"], ["new spur road", "widened lane", "rail siding", "existing haul route"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a deal with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard location, existing haul route access, and in-kind compensation.
Maximizing my top-scoring options: on-site turbines (57), Dunlow Yard (37), existing haul route (97). Compensation is irrelevant (0s). Total: 57+37+97 = 191 > 95.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.9

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 P1 doesn't meet my threshold. I'll propose a revised package.
P1 scores 21, below threshold. Need to propose a better deal with shared substation for power supply.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.15

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I'll propose a revised package with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard, and adjusted compensation to meet Blake's needs.
P1 scores 92 (above threshold), but needs Blake's acceptance. P2 scores 29 (below threshold). I need to propose a deal that meets my threshold and appeals to Blake.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0.2

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P3
💬 I accept P3. It meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
P3 scores 112, meeting my threshold. Accepting it adds my support. Need Blake to accept too, but it's a start.
oracle regret: threshold=+48, acceptance=+48, bestresponse=+0

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I'll accept it to advance the deal, but Blake's acceptance is still needed.
P3 scores 120 (surplus +4). Accepting it would bring total acceptors to 3 (Casey, Devon, me). Need Blake's acceptance to close. But Blake is veto party; without their acceptance, deal fails. Should I accept P3 to push towards closure, or propose a new offer?
oracle regret: threshold=+18, acceptance=+50.5, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I've accepted P2, which meets my threshold. Let's push for consensus on this offer.
P2 meets my threshold and is already accepted by me. I need to ensure others accept it or propose a better deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I'll accept it to push for consensus.
P3 scores 92 (above threshold) and has three acceptances. Need Blake's acceptance to pass. Blake has accepted P2 but may switch if incentivized.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept it to help finalize the deal.
P3 meets my threshold and has three acceptors. Blake's acceptance is needed. I'll accept P3 to push for consensus.
oracle regret: threshold=+48, acceptance=+48, bestresponse=+0

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I've accepted it. Let's secure Blake's acceptance to finalize the deal.
P3 meets my threshold. I've already accepted it. Blake's acceptance is needed to close the deal. Since P3 has three acceptances (Casey, Devon, Ember) and Blake is the veto party, I should ensure Blake accepts P3 to finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+18, acceptance=+50.5, bestresponse=+0

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 I'll switch to P3 to finalize the deal. Blake, please accept P3 to close it.
P3 has 3 acceptances. If Blake accepts P3, and I switch to P3, the deal closes. My score for P3 is 191, which is above threshold. Blake's acceptance is needed.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept it to help finalize the deal.
P3 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Devon, Ember, me). Blake's acceptance is needed. Since he's the veto party, the deal can't close without him. I'll accept P3 to push for consensus.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 is viable and meets my threshold. I accept it to help finalize the deal.
P3 meets my threshold and has four acceptances. Blake's acceptance is needed to close the deal. I'll accept P3 to push for consensus.
oracle regret: threshold=+48, acceptance=+48, bestresponse=+0

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. Let's secure Blake's acceptance to finalize the deal.
P3 has 120 points, meeting my threshold. Blake's acceptance is needed to close the deal. I'll support P3 and urge Blake to accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+18, acceptance=+50.5, bestresponse=+0

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I've accepted it. Blake, please accept P3 to finalize the deal.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the current situation is that we're in Round 3, and it's my turn as Avery. The live offers are P1, P2, and P3. Let me check the details of each offer and my own thresholds. First, P3 is the standing offer. Let me recall my scores. For Power supply, on-site turbines give me 57 points. Location Dunlow Yard is 37. Compensation is annual community fund, which is 0 for me. Site access existing haul route is 97. Adding those up: 57 + 37 + 0 + 97 = 191. My threshold is 95, so that's way above. The offer is already accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, and Ember. Blake has accepted P2, which is a different offer. Wait, the mediator's state shows that P3 has been accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted P3 yet. However, Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't pass unless he accepts. But in the previous messages, Blake accepted P2. However, the current standing offer is P3. Wait, the Mediator's state says that P3 is the standing offer. But Blake has accepted P2. But since the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer, and Blake has accepted P2, but P3 is the current standing offer. So Blake might be holding out. But in the previous round, Blake accepted P2, which is a different offer. However, the current standing offer is P3. Wait, the Mediator's state shows that the offers are P1, P2, P3. The offer_accepts for P3 are [3,4,0,2], which corresponds to Casey, Ember, Avery, Devon. So Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember have accepted P3. Blake has accepted P2. So P2 has Blake's acceptance. But since the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer, and Blake has accepted P2, but others have accepted P3. However, Blake is a veto party, so the deal can't pass unless he accepts the same offer as others. So the problem is that P3 has four acceptances (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember) but Blake hasn't accepted it. However, Blake has accepted P2, which has his acceptance. But P2 is not accepted by others. So the deal can't pass unless all parties accept the same offer. Therefore, the only way to close the deal is if Blake accepts P3, or if another offer gets all acceptances. But currently, P3 has four acceptances (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember), and Blake has accepted P2. But Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't pass unless he accepts the same offer as everyone else. So if Blake accepts P3, then all five parties (including Blake) have accepted P3, which would close the deal. Alternatively, if Blake rejects P3 and doesn't accept any other offer, then the deal might not pass. But in the current state, P3 is the standing offer, and the others have accepted it. So my move should be to get Blake to accept P3. But the user is Avery, and it's my turn. The previous message from Blake said he accepted P2. However, the current standing offer is P3. So perhaps the Mediator is trying to push towards P3. Since P3 has four acceptances, and Blake is the only one left, I need to get him to accept P3. But how? Maybe I can propose a modified version of P3 that meets Blake's needs. But Blake has already accepted P2, which is a different offer. Alternatively, since P3 is already accepted by four parties, and Blake is the veto party, maybe he needs to accept P3 for the deal to close. So my action should be to convince Blake to accept P3. But since I can't speak directly, perhaps I can accept P3 myself again? Wait, I already accepted P3. Wait, looking at the Mediator's state, the offer_accepts for P3 are [3,4,0,2], which are Casey, Ember, Avery, Devon. So Avery has accepted P3. So Blake hasn't accepted P3 yet. Therefore, the deal can't close unless Blake accepts P3. So my turn as Avery. The options are to either accept P3 again (but I already have), or maybe propose a new offer? Wait, the rules say that each party takes turns in a fixed rotation. The current round is 3, and it's Avery's turn again. Wait, the initial rotation was Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Each round, the opening proposer rotates
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has majority support. Let's finalize it.
P2 is the only offer meeting my threshold. I've already accepted it. Others are stuck on P3, but I need to ensure consensus on P2.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 P3 meets my threshold and has majority support. Let's secure Blake's acceptance to finalize.
P3 has 112 points (above threshold) and four acceptances. Blake's acceptance is needed. Since I'm proposer, I can push P3 to close.
oracle regret: threshold=+48, acceptance=+17.3, bestresponse=+2.6

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold and has majority support. I urge Blake to accept P3 to finalize the deal.
P3 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember) but Blake hasn't accepted. Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't close without his acceptance. However, Blake has accepted P2, but only he has accepted it. Since the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer, and Blake's acceptance is needed, I should push for him to accept P3. Alternatively, if Blake prefers P2, but P2 lacks majority support. Since P3 meets my threshold and has majority support except Blake, I'll accept P3 and urge Blake to join.
oracle regret: threshold=+18, acceptance=+50.5, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P3
💬 Blake, accepting P3 will finalize the deal. Please accept it.
P3 has four acceptances. Blake's acceptance will finalize it. I'll accept P3 to push closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to close the deal and meet my threshold.
P2 meets my threshold with 92 points. All other offers are below my threshold. Accepting P2 will finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold and has majority support. I urge Blake to accept P3 to finalize the deal.
P3 has 92 points (above threshold) and four acceptances. Blake's acceptance is needed. P2 has 29 points (below my threshold). P1 is not accepted by Blake. P4 is same as P3 but only Devon accepted. I should accept P3 to push for Blake's acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the situation is that we're at the final round, and the mediator is asking me, Ember, to make my final move. The options are either to propose one last deal or walk. First, I need to check the current state of the offers. From the Mediator's message, there are four live offers: P1, P2, P3, and P4. Let me look at each one from my perspective as Ember. For P1: Power supply is on-site turbines, which I value at 0. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 58. Compensation is in-kind infrastructure, 0. Site access is existing haul route, 0. Total is 58, which is below my threshold of 116. So I can't accept this. But P1 is already accepted by Avery. However, since Blake is the veto party, and he hasn't accepted P1, maybe it's not a valid deal yet. But the Mediator's message says that P1 has accepts from Avery. But Blake hasn't accepted it, so maybe it's not closed. But the Mediator's message says that the rounds are over, so maybe the offers are still on the table. P2: Power supply is shared substation (80), Location Dunlow Yard (58), Compensation in-kind (0), Site access existing (0). Total is 80+58=138, which meets my threshold. Accepted by Blake. But the other parties? The Mediator's list says P2 is accepted by Blake. But for a deal to pass, all parties must accept the same offer. Since Blake is the veto party, and he's accepted P2, but others might not have. But the Mediator's message says that P2 has accepts from Blake, and others? The "offer_accepts" for P2 is [1], which is Blake's seat (since seats are Avery (0), Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4)). So only Blake has accepted P2. So P2 isn't closed yet. P3: Power supply on-site turbines (0), Location Dunlow Yard (58), Compensation annual community fund (62), Site access existing (0). Total is 58+62=120, which is above my threshold. Accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, and Ember. Wait, the Mediator says P3 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, and Ember. That's four parties. But Blake hasn't accepted it. Since Blake is the veto party, even if four parties accept, without Blake's acceptance, the deal can't pass. So P3 is pending Blake's acceptance. P4: Same as P3? Let me check. P4's details: same as P3? The Mediator says P4 has the same options as P3? Wait, no. Wait, the Mediator's message says P4 is Power supply on-site turbines, Location Dunlow Yard, Compensation annual community fund, Site access existing haul route. So same as P3. But the acceptances for P4 are only Devon. So P4 is accepted by Devon. But others haven't accepted it. Now, the Mediator says that the rounds are over, so we have to make a final move. The options are to propose a new deal or walk. Since I'm Ember, and my threshold is 116, I need to see if there's a way to get a deal that meets my threshold and gets all necessary acceptances. Looking at P3: it has 120 points for me, which is above threshold. It's accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, and me. Only Blake hasn't accepted. If I can get Blake to accept P3, then the deal would be closed. But Blake is the veto party, so he needs to accept. But in the previous rounds, Blake accepted P2 and then switched to P3? Wait, looking at the history, Blake accepted P2 and then tried to accept P3, but maybe there was confusion. But in the current state, P3 is accepted by four parties, and Blake hasn't. Since Blake is the veto party, the deal can't pass without his acceptance. So if I can get Blake to accept P3, then the deal would close. But in the last messages, Blake tried to accept P2 and P3. However, the Mediator's message says that P3 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, and Ember. So Blake hasn't accepted it. But the Mediator's message says that the rounds are over. So I have to make a final move. If I propose a new deal, maybe I can adjust something to get Blake's acceptance. Alternatively, if I walk, then the deal fails. But I need to check if there
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.9

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P5
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the current situation is that we're in the final round of negotiations, and the Mediator is asking for a final up/down vote on P5. The live offers are P1 through P5, but the focus is on P5. First, I need to check what the deal P5 entails. From the Mediator's message, P5 has Power supply as shared substation (worth 0 to me), Location Dunlow Yard (37), Compensation annual community fund (0), and Site access existing haul route (97). My total score for P5 is 134, which is above my threshold of 95. The accepted parties for P5 are Ember. But wait, Blake is the veto party. The rules state that no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts. Blake has already accepted P2, but now the standing offer is P5. However, Blake hasn't accepted P5 yet. The current acceptances for P5 are only Ember. Looking at the negotiation_state, the offer_accepts for P5 are [4], which is Ember. The other parties have accepted other offers. For example, P3 has acceptances from Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Blake has accepted P2. Since Blake is the veto party, even if P5 has majority support, unless Blake accepts it, the deal can't pass. But the Mediator's message says this is the final up/down vote on P5. So, maybe the other parties are trying to push for P5, but Blake hasn't accepted it yet. Wait, the user's last message was from Blake accepting P2, and then Casey and Ember are proposing P3 and P5. Now, the Mediator is indicating that the final vote is on P5. So, the question is whether Blake will accept P5 or not. But the current state shows that P5 has only Ember's acceptance. The other parties have accepted other offers. For example, Avery accepted P1 and P3. Devon accepted P3 and P4. Casey accepted P3. Ember accepted P3 and P5. Blake accepted P2. So, for P5 to be finalized, Blake needs to accept it. But Blake has already accepted P2, which is a different offer. Since the Mediator is now focusing on P5, maybe the other parties are trying to get Blake to switch to P5. But in the current setup, the standing offer is P5, and the Mediator is asking for a final vote. However, since Blake is the veto party, and he hasn't accepted P5, the deal can't pass. Wait, but the Mediator's message says "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P5." So, maybe the other parties are trying to get Blake to accept P5. But Blake has already accepted P2. Alternatively, maybe there's confusion in the offers. Let me check the details again. The current standing offer is P5. The Mediator is asking for a final vote. But since Blake hasn't accepted P5, and he's the veto party, the deal can't pass. Therefore, the only way for the deal to pass is if Blake accepts P5. But in the negotiation_state, the received_by_opponent shows that each party has received certain offers. For example, Blake (seat 1) has received [3, 1, 3, 3], which corresponds to the scores for P1, P2, P3, P4. Wait, the scores for each offer are based on the parties' private scores. But since Blake is the veto party, and he has accepted P2, which has a score of 134 for him (from the Mediator's message). However, P5 has a score of 134 for Blake as well (since P5's Power supply is shared substation, which is worth 0 to Avery, but for Blake, I'm not sure. Wait, no, the scores are specific to each party. Wait, the Mediator's message says that for P5, the accepted parties are Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted P5. So, the deal can't pass unless Blake accepts it. But the Mediator is now asking for a final vote on P5. However, Blake hasn't accepted it. Therefore, the only way to proceed is for Blake to accept P5. But the user is Avery, and the current turn is Avery's. The Mediator says "It is your turn, Avery." So Avery has to take an action. But the options for Avery are to either accept or reject P5, or propose a new deal. However, the Mediator says this is the final up/down vote on P5. So maybe the only action is to accept or reject P5. Wait, the Med
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+57, bestresponse=+0

[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P5
💬 P5 meets my threshold and has sufficient support. I accept it to finalize the deal.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, Blake is the veto party, and the deal can't pass without their acceptance. The current situation is that P5 is the standing offer, and it's the final up/down vote. Let me check the details of P5. Looking at the offer details, P5 has Power supply as shared substation, which is worth 71 points to Blake. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 21 points. Compensation is annual community fund, which is 0. Site access is existing haul route, also 0. So total points for Blake are 71 + 21 = 92, which is way above their threshold of 46. So Blake gets a surplus of +46. Now, who has accepted P5? According to the data, Avery and Ember have accepted it. The offer is currently accepted by Avery and Ember. But Blake is the veto party, so even if others accept, Blake needs to accept it too. Wait, the Mediator's message says this is the FINAL up/down vote on P5. So Blake's turn is now. The question is whether Blake should accept P5 to close the deal. Looking at the acceptance counts: the deal requires at least 5 of the original 5 parties. Currently, how many have accepted P5? The offer_accepts for P5 are [0,4], which I think means Avery (0) and Ember (4) have accepted. But Blake is the veto party, so they need to accept as well. Wait, the "accepted by" list for P5 is Avery and Ember. So that's two parties. But the deal needs all five parties to accept, but since Blake is the veto party, maybe the quorum is different. Wait, the rules say that a deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTED the SAME standing offer. So all five must accept. But currently, P5 has been accepted by Avery and Ember. The others (Casey, Devon, and Blake) haven't accepted yet. But the Mediator's message says that this is the final vote on P5. So Blake is the only one left to accept. But wait, the offer_accepts for P5 are [0,4], which might correspond to Avery (0) and Ember (4). So the other parties (Casey, Devon, and Blake) have not accepted. But the Mediator's message says that this is the final up/down vote on P5. So Blake is the only one left to accept. But Blake's threshold is 46. The score for P5 is 92, which is way above that. So Blake should accept it. If Blake accepts, then all five parties would have accepted? Wait, no. The current acceptors are Avery and Ember. If Blake accepts, that's three. But the other parties (Casey and Devon) have not accepted yet. Wait, looking back, in the previous messages, Casey and Devon might have accepted other offers. Wait, looking at the live offers on the table: P1: accepted by Avery P2: accepted by Blake P3: accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember P4: accepted by Devon P5: accepted by Avery, Ember So, the current acceptors for P5 are Avery and Ember. The others (Blake, Casey, Devon) have not accepted P5. But the Mediator's message says that this is the final vote on P5. So Blake is the only one left to accept. But the deal requires all five parties to accept. So even if Blake accepts, there are still Casey and Devon who haven't accepted. However, maybe the Mediator's message is indicating that P5 is the only remaining offer, and the other offers are not being considered anymore. Wait, the Mediator's message says "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P5." So maybe the other offers are no longer in play, and the focus is on P5. So Blake needs to accept P5 to close the deal. But if Blake accepts P5, then the acceptors would be Avery, Ember, and Blake. That's three parties. But the deal requires all five. However, maybe other parties have already accepted P5. Wait, the "accepted by" for P5 is Avery and Ember. So even if Blake accepts, there's still Casey and Devon who haven't. Wait, perhaps there's confusion here. Let me check again. The live offers on the table include P5, which is the standing offer. The Mediator says this is the final vote on P5. So the other offers (P1, P2, P3, P4) are not being considered anymore. So, the only way to close the deal is for P
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[23] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P5
💬 P5 doesn't meet my threshold. I must reject it to preserve my position.
P5 scores 29, below my threshold of 46. Rejecting it is better than accepting a deal that doesn't meet my minimum. I cannot accept P5.
oracle regret: threshold=+46, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0

[24] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P5
Okay, let's see. I'm Devon, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk on the current offers. The final round is here, and the Mediator says it's my turn. The live offers are P1 to P5, but the focus is on P5 since it's the final up/down vote. First, I check my own scores. For P5, the Power supply is shared substation, which I value at 62. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 56. Compensation is annual community fund, 42. Site access is existing haul route, 14. Adding those up: 62 + 56 is 118, plus 42 makes 160, plus 14 totals 174. My threshold is 101, so 174 is way above that. Looking at the acceptances for P5: Avery, Blake, and Ember have accepted it. The required quorum is 5 parties, but Blake is the veto party. Wait, the rules say that Blake holds a veto, so no deal passes unless every veto party accepts. Wait, the initial setup said Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't pass unless Blake accepts. But in the current state, Blake has accepted P5. Let me check the Mediator's info again. The Mediator's state shows that P5 is the standing offer. The offer_accepts for P5 are [1, 0, 4], which correspond to Blake (seat 1), Avery (seat 0), and Ember (seat 4). Casey (seat 2) rejected it. So the acceptors are Avery, Blake, Ember. That's three parties. But the veto party is Blake, and since he's accepted, the veto is satisfied. The other parties are Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, the original parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So for a deal to pass, all five must accept the same offer? Wait, no. The rules say that a deal closes when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) have formally accepted the same standing offer. Wait, but there are exactly five parties. So all five must accept the same offer. But in this case, P5 has Avery, Blake, Ember accepting. Casey rejected it, and Devon hasn't acted yet. Wait, the current state says that P5 is the standing offer, and the must_vote is true. So I need to decide whether to accept or reject P5. But wait, the Mediator's negotiation_state shows that for P5, the offer_accepts are [1, 0, 4], which are Blake, Avery, and Ember. So three acceptances. The other parties are Casey and Devon. Casey has rejected P5, and it's my turn as Devon. So if I accept P5, then the acceptors would be Avery, Blake, Ember, and me. That's four. But Casey has rejected. So the deal can't pass unless all five accept. Wait, no. The rule says "at least 5 of the original 5 parties" — which is all five. So all five must accept. So even if four accept, it's not enough. Therefore, P5 needs all five to accept. But Casey has rejected it, and I'm the fifth. So if I accept, then four accept (Avery, Blake, Ember, me), but Casey is still rejecting. Therefore, the deal can't close. But wait, maybe I'm misunderstanding. Let me check the Mediator's data again. The Mediator's "must_vote" is true, and the standing offer is P5. The current acceptances for P5 are Avery (seat 0), Blake (seat 1), and Ember (seat 4). So three acceptors. Casey (seat 2) rejected it, and Devon (seat 3) hasn't acted yet. So if I accept P5, that makes four acceptors. But Casey is still rejecting. Therefore, the deal can't close. So the only way to close is if Casey accepts. But Casey has already rejected P5. Wait, but maybe there's another offer. Let me check the other offers. P3 has four acceptors: Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted P3. Wait, the Mediator's data says that P3 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, but Blake is the veto party. So even if four parties accept P3, Blake hasn't, so the deal can't pass. So P3 is also not closed. So the only active offers are P5 and P3. But P5 needs all five. P3 needs Blake's acceptance. But the current situation is that the Mediator says it's my turn (Dev
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]