scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-d7d04b709b
model Qwen3-8B · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-aabb4d986b · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__all_llm", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Build schedule", "Site access", "Power supply", "Location"], "option_labels": [["phased over eight years", "three years", "five years", "eighteen months"], ["rail siding", "new spur road", "widened lane", "existing haul route"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage"], ["Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge"]], "party_roles": ["Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Build schedule (phased over eight years, three years, five years, eighteen months); Site access (rail siding, new spur road, widened lane, existing haul route); Power supply (grid tie-in, shared substation, on-site turbines, solar with storage); Location (Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats, Kestrel Park, Anvil Ridge)
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=68): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=32, five years=48, eighteen months=16; Site access: rail siding=58, new spur road=39, widened lane=19, existing haul route=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=14, Weir Flats=27, Kestrel Park=41, Anvil Ridge=0
- Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive) (τ=49): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=22, five years=33, eighteen months=11; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=26, widened lane=51, existing haul route=77; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=90): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=28, five years=42, eighteen months=14; Site access: rail siding=54, new spur road=36, widened lane=18, existing haul route=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=99, shared substation=66, on-site turbines=33, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=90): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=20, five years=30, eighteen months=10; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=32, widened lane=64, existing haul route=96; Power supply: grid tie-in=47, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=71, solar with storage=24; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=105): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=28, five years=42, eighteen months=14; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=33, widened lane=65, existing haul route=98; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=88, Kestrel Park=59, Anvil Ridge=29
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "three years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 Proposing a deal with rail siding, Kestrel Park, three-year build, and grid tie-in for power. This meets my threshold and sets a strong baseline.
Prioritize high-value site access (rail siding=58) and location (Kestrel Park=41). Build schedule three years (32) adds to total. Power supply is neutral. Total: 58+41+32=131 > 68.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 P1 is too weak. I propose a better package with existing haul route and five-year build.
P1 scores 22 below threshold. Need to push for Site=existing haul route (77) and Build=5 years (33) to hit 110. Other options are irrelevant to me.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "three years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I propose P1 with rail siding and three-year build to meet my threshold and align with Avery's baseline.
P1 is strong but needs Blake's acceptance. P2 is weaker for me but has Blake's support. Proposing a modified P1 with rail siding and three-year build to maximize my score while aligning with Avery's baseline.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+37.9, bestresponse=+2.55
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to advance toward a deal.
P2 scores 173, above my threshold. Accepting it would push toward closure. Need to secure others' acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to help finalize the agreement.
P2 scores 199, above my threshold. Accepting it now will push the deal forward. With Blake and Devon already on board, I can help close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+22.8
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to meet my threshold and support finalizing the agreement.
P2 is my best option with 110 points. Accepting it now ensures my threshold is met and pushes the deal forward.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 has 141 points, above my threshold. Blake, Devon, Ember have accepted. If I accept P2, it meets my threshold and gets the deal over the line. P1 is weaker but only has Avery's support. P3 is same as P1 but not yet accepted. Better to accept P2 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+40, acceptance=+40, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 P2 needs Avery's acceptance but it's below their threshold. I'll propose a better deal with existing haul route and five-year build to meet my threshold.
P2 has 4 acceptances (Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember) but needs Avery. Since Blake is the veto party and has accepted, the deal hinges on Avery. However, Avery's threshold for P2 is Build schedule=three years (20) + Site access=rail siding (0) + Power supply=grid tie-in (47) + Location=Kestrel Park (0) = 67 < 90. Avery would reject. Thus, P2 cannot close. I must propose an improved offer to meet my threshold and secure acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+4.15
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has broad support. I urge Avery to accept to finalize the deal.
P2 has 199 points, above my threshold. It's accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and me. Only Avery remains. If Avery accepts, the deal closes. I should encourage Avery to accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+22.8
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has broad support. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 scores 89 (above threshold) and has four acceptances. Accepting P2 will finalize the deal with Blake's veto satisfied.
oracle regret: threshold=+42, acceptance=+42, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.9825 · USW 310.0 · ESW 21.0 · NSW 509712462.0 · Gini 0.2297 · per-party surplus [21.0, 61.0, 51.0, 83.0, 94.0]