scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-e691710da4

model Qwen3-8B · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-19dae4b672 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__all_llm", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Compensation", "Build schedule", "Location", "Hiring"], "option_labels": [["one-off site payment", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement"], ["five years", "eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "three years"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Kestrel Park", "Weir Flats", "Dunlow Yard"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"]], "party_roles": ["Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose a three-year build schedule at Anvil Ridge. Compensation and hiring terms are open to negotiation.
Maximizing my points: Anvil Ridge (56) + 3-year schedule (60) = 116. Other issues don't affect me. Propose this package.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2

[1] Casey — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to help finalize the agreement.
P1 scores 122 (threshold 94). Accepting clears my bar and supports closing the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+25.6, bestresponse=+0

[2] Devon — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to advance finalization.
P1 scores 120 (threshold 69). Accepting helps close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[3] Ember — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I need a tighter timeline. I propose an 18-month build schedule at Anvil Ridge.
P1 scores 25 (below threshold). Need to improve build schedule to 80. Propose P2 with 18-month timeline.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.45

[4] Avery — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 to move forward. Let's secure the deal with remaining parties.
P1 meets my threshold. Accepting it would bring us closer to closure. Ember's acceptance is needed, but I can't force it. Better to accept P1 and let Ember decide.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+29.2, bestresponse=+0

[5] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose P2 with 18-month timeline to meet my threshold and secure agreement.
P1 has 122 points (above threshold) but needs Ember's acceptance. P2 has 206 points but only Ember accepts. Proposing P2 with improved terms to secure majority.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+58.4, bestresponse=+1.7

[6] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I'll accept to finalize the deal.
P1 scores 120 (above threshold), accepted by four parties. Need Ember's acceptance to close. P2 and P3 score 38 (below threshold). I should accept P1 to push closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[7] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 and P3 meet my threshold. I accept P2 to advance finalization.
P2 and P3 offer 18-month schedule (80) + Anvil Ridge (25) = 105, above my threshold. Need to accept one to finalize.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[8] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 has 157 points (above threshold), needs Ember's acceptance. P2 and P3 are below my threshold. Must secure Ember's acceptance to close P1.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+29.2, bestresponse=+0

[9] Blake — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has Ember's support. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P1 has 116 points (above threshold), but needs Ember's acceptance. P2 has 56 points (exactly threshold) and is accepted by Ember. Accepting P2 would finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+60, acceptance=+60, bestresponse=+0

[10] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose a revised package with in-kind infrastructure compensation to meet my threshold and improve the deal.
P1 has 120 points (above threshold) but P2/P3 are below. Proposing a better deal with in-kind infrastructure for compensation.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+2.9, bestresponse=+3.3

[11] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to help finalize the agreement.
P2 scores 105 (above threshold), accepted by Blake and me. Need others to accept to close deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[12] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P4 scores 188, well above my threshold. I need to accept it to close the deal. But I must ensure Blake accepts as well.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[13] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P1 meets my threshold and has four acceptances. Ember is the only one left. I'll accept P1 to finalize.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll support it to finalize the deal.
P2 has 206 points (84+57+65) and Blake/Ember accepted. Need to get others to accept. P1 has 122 but missing Ember. P4 has 122 but missing Blake and others. I should push for P2 to get enough acceptances.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[15] Ember — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I propose to finalize with remaining parties.
P2 meets my threshold (105) and has Blake's support. Need to secure remaining parties.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+23.1, bestresponse=+0.45

[16] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 to finalize the agreement with remaining support.
P1 is at 157 (above threshold) with four acceptors; P4 is 188 with two acceptors. Need to push for P1 or propose a better deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+31, acceptance=+31, bestresponse=+0

[17] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
Okay, let's see what's going on here. I'm Blake, the Electrical Workers' Union, and I have a veto. The goal is to get all parties to accept the same deal. Right now, it's Round 4, and my turn is next. The live offers are P1 to P5. Looking at the offers, P1 has a three-year build schedule, which I value at 60 points, and the location is Anvil Ridge, worth 56. My compensation is rates abatement, which is 0, and hiring is union hall referral, also 0. That totals 116, which is way above my threshold of 56. P1 is already accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon. But Ember hasn't accepted it yet. Wait, no, in the previous messages, Ember accepted P2. Wait, the current offers: P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon. P2 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Ember. P4 is accepted by Avery and Devon. P5 is accepted by Ember. But the problem is that the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer. Since I'm the veto party, no deal can pass unless everyone accepts. So, if P1 has four acceptances (Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon), but Ember hasn't accepted it yet. But Ember accepted P2. So maybe there's a way to get everyone on the same offer. But the current standing offer is P5, which is the last one. Let me check the scores again. For me, P1 gives 60 (build schedule) + 56 (location) = 116. P2 has build schedule of 18 months, which is 0 for me, plus location 56, total 56. P4 is three years (60) + location 56 = 116. So P1 and P4 are both good for me. But P1 is already accepted by four parties. If I accept P1, then the only missing is Ember. But Ember has accepted P2. So maybe Ember can switch to P1? But how? Alternatively, if I accept P1, and Ember is already on P2, maybe they can switch. But the mediator would have to manage that. However, the problem is that the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer. So if P1 is accepted by four parties, but Ember is on P2, then the deal can't close unless Ember switches. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new offer that combines elements from P1 and P2. But the options are fixed. Wait, the options are fixed; each issue has exactly one option. So I can't change the options, only choose among the existing ones. Looking at the current offers, P1 is the best for me. But I need to get Ember to accept it. But Ember has accepted P2, which has a lower score for me (56 vs 116). But maybe Ember has a different threshold. Wait, the problem says that each party's score is private, so I don't know Ember's threshold. But I know that P2 meets Ember's threshold, as they accepted it. So, if I accept P1, and if Ember is willing to switch to P1, then the deal can close. But how can I convince Ember? Since I'm the veto party, maybe I can make a move that encourages Ember to switch. Wait, the current standing offer is P5, which is the last one. But P5 is accepted by Ember. But if I accept P1, which has higher points for me, maybe Ember would prefer P1. But since they've already accepted P2, they might not switch. Alternatively, maybe I should accept P1 now, and if Ember is on P2, then the deal can't close. But the rules say that the deal closes only when all parties accept the same offer. So if P1 has four acceptances (Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon), but Ember is on P2, then the deal can't close. But in the current state, the Mediator says the standing offer is P5, which is accepted by Ember. So maybe the current standing offer is P5. But P5 is the last one. Wait, the Mediator's state shows that the standing offer is P5. But I need to check the offers again. Let me look at the Mediator's data. The offers are P1 to P5. The standing offer is P5, which is the last one. But in the previous messages, Ember accepted P2 and P5. So, perhaps the current standing offer is P5. But for me, P5 has build schedule of 18 months (0 points), location Anvil Ridge (56), compensation rates
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P5
💬 P5 meets my threshold. I accept to help finalize the agreement.
P5 meets my threshold. I'll accept to finalize the deal with remaining parties.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[19] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 meets my threshold and has strong support. I'll accept to finalize the deal.
P1 has 120 points (above threshold) but needs Ember's acceptance. P4 has 162 points and is accepted by Avery and me. Need others to accept. Blake and Casey are already on board. If I accept P4, it might close with others' support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Avery — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "local hiring pact"}
Okay, let's see. The mediator is giving me my final move. I need to decide whether to propose one last deal or walk. Let me check the current offers and my scores. First, my acceptance threshold is 125 points. The existing offers: - P1 gives me 157 points (rates abatement, three years, Anvil Ridge, union hall referral). It's accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon. But Blake is the veto party, and he's accepted P1. Wait, but the mediator mentioned that P1 has 157, which is above my threshold. But why hasn't it closed yet? Maybe because not all parties have accepted? Wait, the live offers on the table show P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon. But there are five parties. Wait, the original parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if P1 is accepted by four parties, but Ember hasn't accepted yet. But Blake is the veto party, so even if he accepts, the deal needs all parties to accept. Wait, no. The rules say that a deal closes when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) have accepted the same offer. So if all five have accepted, then it's done. But in this case, P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon. That's four. Ember hasn't accepted P1 yet. So the deal isn't closed yet. But in the latest round, Blake accepted P1, Casey accepted P5, Devon accepted P4. Now, the mediator says that the rounds are over, and I need to make my final move. The live offers are P1, P2, P3, P4, P5. Looking at my own scores, for each option: Compensation: I have rates abatement (30), in-kind infrastructure (61), etc. Build schedule: three years is 67, eighteen months is 0. Location: Anvil Ridge is 35, others lower. Hiring: union hall referral is 25, local hiring pact is 75. So if I propose a new deal, I need to maximize my points while considering what others might accept. The problem is that P1 is close, but Ember hasn't accepted. But if I can get Ember to accept P1, then it would close. But maybe Ember is not on board. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new offer that meets my threshold and gets the necessary acceptances. Wait, the current offers: P4 has in-kind infrastructure (61), three years (67), Anvil Ridge (35), union hall referral (25). Total is 61+67+35+25 = 188, which is way above my threshold. But P4 is accepted by Avery and Devon. So if I can get Blake, Casey, and Ember to accept P4, then it would close. But Blake's acceptance of P1 might mean he's not interested in P4. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new deal that combines my preferred options. For example, if I can get a three-year schedule, in-kind infrastructure, Anvil Ridge, and local hiring pact. Let's calculate that: 61 (in-kind) + 67 (three years) +35 (location) +75 (local hiring) = 238. That's way above my threshold. But would others accept that? But the problem is that others might not be willing to switch. For example, Blake might prefer the three-year schedule (since he accepted P1 which had three years). But he might be okay with a different compensation. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a deal that's similar to P4 but with a different hiring option. For example, if I switch hiring from union hall referral to local hiring pact, that would add 75-25=50 points. So total would be 61+67+35+75=238. But would others accept that? But the problem is that the other parties might not be interested. For example, Blake might prefer the union hall referral if he's already accepted P1. Alternatively, maybe I can try to push for my preferred hiring option, local hiring pact, which I value highly (75). If I can get that, it would increase my score. But given that the mediator is giving me the final move, I need to act. Since P1 is close, but missing Ember's acceptance. If I can get Ember to accept P1, then the deal would close. But how? Alternatively, if I propose a new deal that has in-kind infrastructure (which I value highly) and maybe a three-year schedule, which is better for me than eighteen months. Let
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+1.84, bestresponse=+3.3

[21] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, Blake is the Electrical Workers' Union, and they have a veto. The current situation is that we're in the final round, and the mediator is asking Blake to take an action on P6. First, I need to check the details of P6. From the live offers, P6 has Compensation: in-kind infrastructure (which is worth 0 to Blake), Build schedule: three years (worth 60), Location: Anvil Ridge (56), Hiring: local hiring pact (0). So Blake's total score for P6 is 0 + 60 + 56 + 0 = 116. Blake's threshold is 56, so 116 is way above that. Looking at the acceptance status, P6 is currently accepted by Avery. The other parties: Avery, Devon, and Casey have accepted P4, which has similar compensation and build schedule but different hiring. But the key here is that Blake needs to accept P6 to finalize it. Wait, the Mediator says this is the FINAL up/down vote on P6. So Blake has to decide whether to accept or reject P6. Since Blake's score for P6 is 116, which is above the threshold, Blake should accept it. But let me check if there are any other factors. Also, the negotiation state shows that P6 is the standing offer. The other offers like P1 and P4 have higher acceptances but Blake has already accepted P1 earlier. However, since the Mediator is focusing on P6 now, Blake needs to act on that. Blake's action options are to accept or reject P6. Since accepting P6 meets Blake's threshold and the deal is already accepted by Avery, and others might be waiting, Blake should accept P6 to finalize the agreement. So the correct action is to accept P6.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[22] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P6
💬 P6 doesn't meet my threshold. I reject it to keep pushing for a better deal.
P6 is below my threshold. Rejecting it prevents a bad deal. Better to push for P2 which meets my threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+112, acceptance=+58.4, bestresponse=+0

[23] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P6 meets my threshold (162 points) and Blake has accepted. Accepting P6 ensures the deal closes with remaining parties.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[24] Ember — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P6
💬 P6 doesn't meet my threshold. I reject to preserve integrity.
P6 scores 25 (below my threshold). Rejecting to uphold standards.
oracle regret: threshold=+62, acceptance=+23.1, bestresponse=+0

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]