scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-0ecb951c51
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-19dae4b672 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Compensation", "Build schedule", "Location", "Hiring"], "option_labels": [["one-off site payment", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement"], ["five years", "eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "three years"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Kestrel Park", "Weir Flats", "Dunlow Yard"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"]], "party_roles": ["Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Compensation (one-off site payment, annual community fund, in-kind infrastructure, rates abatement); Build schedule (five years, eighteen months, phased over eight years, three years); Location (Anvil Ridge, Kestrel Park, Weir Flats, Dunlow Yard); Hiring (open recruitment, local hiring pact, apprenticeship programme, union hall referral)
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=125): Compensation: one-off site payment=0, annual community fund=91, in-kind infrastructure=61, rates abatement=30; Build schedule: five years=22, eighteen months=0, phased over eight years=45, three years=67; Location: Anvil Ridge=35, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=12, Dunlow Yard=23; Hiring: open recruitment=50, local hiring pact=75, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=25
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=56): Compensation: one-off site payment=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0; Build schedule: five years=20, eighteen months=0, phased over eight years=40, three years=60; Location: Anvil Ridge=56, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=19, Dunlow Yard=38; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=94): Compensation: one-off site payment=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0; Build schedule: five years=56, eighteen months=84, phased over eight years=28, three years=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=57, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=19, Dunlow Yard=38; Hiring: open recruitment=43, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=22, union hall referral=65
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=69): Compensation: one-off site payment=28, annual community fund=14, in-kind infrastructure=42, rates abatement=0; Build schedule: five years=27, eighteen months=0, phased over eight years=55, three years=82; Location: Anvil Ridge=38, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=13, Dunlow Yard=25; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=43): Compensation: one-off site payment=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0; Build schedule: five years=53, eighteen months=80, phased over eight years=27, three years=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=25, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=8, Dunlow Yard=16; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0
Turns
[0] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose a phased 3-year build at Anvil Ridge with neutral compensation and hiring terms.
Maximizing build schedule (3 years = 60) and location (Anvil Ridge = 56) meets my threshold. Other options are neutral.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2
[1] Casey — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1. It meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
P1 scores 122, above my threshold. Accepting moves us closer to closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+25.6, bestresponse=+0
[2] Devon — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "open recruitment"}
oracle regret: threshold=+82, acceptance=+44.9, bestresponse=+3.3
[3] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 is strong for me. Let's secure it with Blake's support.
P2 scores 105, well above my threshold. Need to push for acceptance. Blake is veto, must align.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Avery — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to strengthen its viability.
P1 scores 188 (surplus +63), meets my threshold. Accepting P1 adds my support, but requires Devon and Ember to accept. P2 scores 146 (surplus +21), also meets threshold. Accepting P2 would require Blake's acceptance. Given Blake's veto, better to push for P1 with existing support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to help secure it with Blake's support.
P2 scores 184, which is well above my threshold. However, it needs Blake's acceptance to pass. Since Blake already supports P1, I should push for P2 by accepting it to strengthen its viability.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[6] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+82, acceptance=+82, bestresponse=+0
[7] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to push for final closure.
P2 scores 105, well above my threshold. Three acceptances so far. Need Blake's acceptance to close the deal. Accepting now secures my support and pressures Blake to finalize.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to strengthen its viability, but Blake's support is critical for closure.
P2 has 3 acceptances (Casey, Devon, Ember) and needs 2 more. Accepting P2 adds my support, but Blake's veto is still needed. Alternatively, propose a hybrid deal with higher value for Blake.
oracle regret: threshold=+42, acceptance=+42, bestresponse=+0
[9] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and the union's veto party. The current offers are P1 and P2. P1 has a score of 116 for me, which is way above my threshold of 56. But P2 is exactly at 56, which meets my threshold.
Looking at the acceptance status: P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. P2 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. So P2 has four acceptances, but since Blake is the veto party, all parties need to accept. Wait, the rules say that a deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) have accepted the same offer. Since there are 5 parties, all must accept.
Wait, the current P2 has four acceptances: Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. Blake hasn't accepted yet. So if Blake accepts P2, then all five would have accepted, and it would close. But Blake's threshold is exactly 56. P2 gives Blake exactly 56 points, which meets his threshold. So Blake can accept P2 to close the deal.
But why would Blake accept P2? Let me check the deal details again. P2's build schedule is eighteen months, which I value at 0. But the location is Anvil Ridge, which I value at 56. Compensation is in-kind infrastructure (0) and hiring is open recruitment (0). So total is 56.
Alternatively, P1 has a three-year schedule (60 points), Anvil Ridge (56), so total 116. But P1 is already accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. But Devon and Ember haven't accepted P1. So if Blake accepts P2, then P2 would have all five parties. But if Blake accepts P1, then P1 needs Devon and Ember to accept.
But the current state shows that P2 is the standing offer. The mediator's message says "standing": "P2". So maybe the focus is on P2. Since Blake can accept P2 to meet the threshold and close the deal.
But Blake's action is to accept P2. So the correct move is to accept P2. That would make all parties accept, and the deal closes.
Alternatively, if Blake rejects P2, then maybe P1 could be pushed. But P1's score is higher for Blake. However, P1 needs more acceptances.
But since the standing offer is P2, and Blake can accept it, that's the logical step. So Blake should accept P2 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+60, acceptance=+60, bestresponse=+38
Outcome
deal: {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "open recruitment"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.8962 · USW 184.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.5022 · per-party surplus [21.0, 0.0, 90.0, 11.0, 62.0]