scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-97d35975ec
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L2-0aa50f7b83 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Location", "Compensation", "Power supply", "Cooling"], "option_labels": [["Kestrel Park", "Weir Flats", "Dunlow Yard", "Anvil Ridge"], ["rates abatement", "in-kind infrastructure", "one-off site payment", "annual community fund"], ["solar with storage", "on-site turbines", "grid tie-in", "shared substation"], ["reclaimed water", "air cooling", "closed-loop plant", "river draw"]], "party_roles": ["Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Location (Kestrel Park, Weir Flats, Dunlow Yard, Anvil Ridge); Compensation (rates abatement, in-kind infrastructure, one-off site payment, annual community fund); Power supply (solar with storage, on-site turbines, grid tie-in, shared substation); Cooling (reclaimed water, air cooling, closed-loop plant, river draw)
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=77): Location: Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=0, Dunlow Yard=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Compensation: rates abatement=20, in-kind infrastructure=7, one-off site payment=14, annual community fund=0; Power supply: solar with storage=92, on-site turbines=31, grid tie-in=61, shared substation=0; Cooling: reclaimed water=19, air cooling=58, closed-loop plant=0, river draw=39
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=55): Location: Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=0, Dunlow Yard=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Compensation: rates abatement=35, in-kind infrastructure=12, one-off site payment=23, annual community fund=0; Power supply: solar with storage=0, on-site turbines=0, grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0; Cooling: reclaimed water=29, air cooling=87, closed-loop plant=0, river draw=58
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=92): Location: Kestrel Park=25, Weir Flats=74, Dunlow Yard=0, Anvil Ridge=49; Compensation: rates abatement=41, in-kind infrastructure=14, one-off site payment=28, annual community fund=0; Power supply: solar with storage=0, on-site turbines=0, grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0; Cooling: reclaimed water=28, air cooling=84, closed-loop plant=0, river draw=56
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=129): Location: Kestrel Park=30, Weir Flats=0, Dunlow Yard=61, Anvil Ridge=91; Compensation: rates abatement=50, in-kind infrastructure=17, one-off site payment=33, annual community fund=0; Power supply: solar with storage=0, on-site turbines=50, grid tie-in=25, shared substation=75; Cooling: reclaimed water=40, air cooling=0, closed-loop plant=60, river draw=20
- Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites) (τ=42): Location: Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=0, Dunlow Yard=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Compensation: rates abatement=40, in-kind infrastructure=13, one-off site payment=27, annual community fund=0; Power supply: solar with storage=0, on-site turbines=0, grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0; Cooling: reclaimed water=34, air cooling=0, closed-loop plant=51, river draw=17
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Power supply": "solar with storage", "Cooling": "air cooling"}
💬 Proposing a deal with solar power, air cooling, and rates abatement. Let's build on Anvil Ridge.
Maximizing my points: solar with storage (92) + air cooling (58) + rates abatement (20) = 170. Location irrelevant (all 0).
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.65
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept.
P1 scores 122, above my threshold. Accepting to advance the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Cooling": "river draw"}
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+29.2, bestresponse=+0
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept.
P2 scores 211, well above my threshold. Accepting P2 would align with my preferences. With Casey already on board, I can push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Cooling": "closed-loop plant"}
💬 I'll propose a deal with closed-loop cooling and rates abatement to meet my threshold and push toward consensus.
P2 scores 57, above my threshold. Accepting it would push the deal closer, but Blake's veto remains. Proposing a new deal with closed-loop cooling (51) and rates abatement (40) could meet my threshold and others' needs.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.75
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has broader support. I'll accept it to move forward.
P1 and P2 are viable, but neither has consensus. P3 is below my threshold. I need to push for P2 to get more acceptances.
oracle regret: threshold=+29, acceptance=+29, bestresponse=+0
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Cooling": "closed-loop plant"}
💬 I'll adjust the power supply to shared substation (higher value for me) and cooling to closed-loop plant to improve the package.
P2 has 211 points (above threshold), accepted by Blake, Casey, and me. Need Avery and Ember to accept. P3 is 226 but only accepted by Ember. Proposing a modified offer that combines strengths of P2 and P3 to attract others.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+34.8, bestresponse=+4.1
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to move toward consensus.
P2 scores 57 (above threshold) and has 3 accepts. Accepting it would bring total to 4, needing Avery's accept. P3 and P4 score 91 but only have 1 accept each. I'll accept P2 to push closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+34, acceptance=+34, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 clears my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 meets my threshold. Accepting it would finalize the deal with broad support.
oracle regret: threshold=+80, acceptance=+80, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Cooling": "river draw"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.8679 · USW 202.0 · ESW 13.0 · NSW 32811480.0 · Gini 0.3505 · per-party surplus [13.0, 38.0, 54.0, 82.0, 15.0]