scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-9890d5ffff

model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-d9a0ef3c04 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Power supply", "Location", "Compensation", "Site access"], "option_labels": [["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "shared substation"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park"], ["one-off site payment", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure"], ["new spur road", "widened lane", "rail siding", "existing haul route"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 Proposing shared substation power and Dunlow Yard location to meet my threshold. Compensation and site access will be set to neutral options.
Shared substation (71) + Dunlow Yard (21) = 92 points. Compensation and site access options are irrelevant to my score but must be selected. Choosing neutral options to avoid conflict.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.15

[1] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose on-site turbines for power supply and Dunlow Yard location to meet my threshold. Other terms can be neutral.
Current offer P1 scores 29 (below threshold). My best is on-site turbines (63) + Dunlow Yard (29) = 92. Proposing this combination to meet my threshold and secure deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.2

[2] Devon — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to advance the deal.
P1 scores 160 (above threshold), but P2 is below. I should accept P1 to meet my threshold and push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[3] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to help advance the deal.
P1 scores 138 (above threshold). Accepting it moves the deal forward, but need others to accept. Blake and Devon already on board. If I accept, three parties support; need Avery and Casey.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0

[4] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+47.7, bestresponse=+2.9

[5] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose on-site turbines for power and Dunlow Yard location to meet my threshold. Other terms can be neutral.
Proposing on-site turbines and Dunlow Yard to maximize my score. Compensation and site access can be neutral.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0.2

[6] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P1 has 160 points (above threshold), accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember. Need Avery and Casey to accept. P3 is 125, accepted by Avery. If I accept P1, it moves closer to closure. P2 and P4 are below threshold. Proposing new deal might not help.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[7] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P3 scores 205, above my threshold. Accepting it would help close the deal with Avery's support. Need to secure Blake's acceptance to meet the veto requirement.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[8] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[9] Blake — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P1 has 92 points, above my threshold. It's accepted by Devon, Ember, and me. Need Casey and Avery to accept. But since I'm veto, I can accept P1 to move forward.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "new spur road"}
💬 I propose a deal with shared substation, Dunlow Yard, annual community fund, and new spur road for a better score.
P1 has 160 points (above threshold) with 3 acceptances. Accepting P1 would help close the deal, but need Avery and Casey. Alternatively, propose a better deal for me. My best options: shared substation (62), Dunlow Yard (56), annual community fund (42), new spur road (42). Total 202. This is better than P1's 160. Proposing this could attract others.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.3, bestresponse=+2.6

[11] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P1 scores 138 (above threshold), accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember. Need two more acceptances (Avery, Casey). P3 scores 205, accepted by Avery and Ember. Need Blake, Casey, and others. P5 scores 200, accepted by Devon. Need four more. Accepting P1 would secure Blake's acceptance, but requires Avery and Casey. Since I already support P1, I should accept to push toward closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+67, acceptance=+67, bestresponse=+0

[12] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[13] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I will accept to help close the deal.
P1 has 92 points (above threshold) and is accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember. Need Avery and Casey to accept. P5 is also strong with 92 points and accepted by Devon. If I accept P1, it could move closer to closure. Alternatively, if I accept P5, it might be better for others.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2, which meets my threshold. Let's ensure all parties accept it.
P2 scores 92 (above threshold), but Blake must accept. Since he accepted P1, maybe he'll accept P2 if I push. However, P1 has low score for me (29). Better to stick with P2 and try to get Blake to accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[15] Ember — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a deal with grid tie-in, Dunlow Yard, rates abatement, and existing haul route to meet my threshold and secure necessary support.
P3 has high value for me (205) but needs Blake's acceptance. P5 is also strong (200) but needs more acceptances. Proposing P3 with adjustments to secure Blake's nod.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+34.5, bestresponse=+2.9

[16] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[17] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
Okay, let's see. It's my turn as Blake, and I need to decide what to do. The current live offers are P1 to P6. Let me check which ones meet my threshold. My threshold is 46 points. Looking at the offers: - P1: 92 points (already accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember) - P3: 69 points (accepted by Avery, Ember) - P5: 92 points (accepted by Devon) - P6: 69 points (accepted by Ember) Wait, the mediator's message says P1, P3, P5, P6 are active. But P1 has three acceptances, but Blake is part of that. Since Blake is the veto party, the deal needs all parties to accept. But currently, P1 has Blake, Devon, Ember accepting. But Casey and Avery might not have accepted yet. Wait, the live offers on the table show P1 accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember. But Casey and Avery are still active? Or maybe they walked? Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P1 is [3,4,1], which might correspond to the parties. Let me check the parties: Parties are Avery (0), Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4). So P1 is accepted by 3 (Devon?), 4 (Ember?), and 1 (Blake). So Blake, Devon, Ember have accepted P1. But Casey and Avery haven't. Since Blake is the veto party, the deal can't pass unless all accept. So P1 needs Casey and Avery to accept. But Casey is currently accepting P2, and Avery is accepting P3 and P6? Wait, the current state shows that P1 has three acceptances: Blake, Devon, Ember. But Casey and Avery are still active. So for P1 to close, Casey and Avery need to accept. But if they don't, then P1 can't close. Alternatively, maybe another offer can close. Looking at P3: accepted by Avery and Ember. Needs Blake, Casey, Devon. But Blake hasn't accepted P3 yet. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P3 is [4, 0], which might be Ember (4) and Avery (0). So Avery and Ember have accepted P3. But Blake, Casey, Devon haven't. So P3 needs those three to accept. Similarly, P5 is accepted by Devon. Needs others. P6 is accepted by Ember. Needs others. But Blake's turn is now. What's the best move? Blake's acceptance threshold is 46. Let's check the scores for each offer: For P1: Blake's score is 71 (power) +21 (location) +0 (compensation) +0 (site access) = 92. Which is above threshold. P3: 48 (power) +21 (location) +0 (compensation) +0 (site access) = 69. Also above threshold. P5: 71 (power) +21 (location) +0 (compensation) +0 (site access) = 92. Same as P1. P6: 48 (power) +21 (location) +0 (compensation) +0 (site access) = 69. Same as P3. So Blake can accept any of these offers. But the deal needs all parties to accept. So Blake can accept P1, P3, P5, or P6, but only if others accept. But the problem is that other parties might not accept. For example, P1 is already accepted by Blake, Devon, Ember. If Blake accepts P1, then the remaining parties are Casey and Avery. If they accept, then P1 closes. But Casey's current proposal is P2, which scores 21 for Blake (below threshold). So Casey might not accept P1. Similarly, Avery might prefer P3 or P6. Alternatively, if Blake accepts P3, which has 69 points, then Avery and Ember have accepted. But Blake needs to get Casey and Devon to accept. But Devon has already accepted P1 and P3? Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 includes Devon (3), and P3 is accepted by Avery (0) and Ember (4). So Devon hasn't accepted P3 yet. Wait, no. The "offer_accepts" for P3 is [4, 0], meaning Ember and Avery. So Devon hasn't accepted P3. So if Blake accepts P3, then Avery and Ember are in, but Devon might need to accept as well. But Devon has accepted P1, so maybe Devon would prefer P1 over P3? Or maybe not. Alternatively, if Blake accepts P5, which has the same score as P1, and is
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I propose accepting it with Blake's approval.
P2 scores 92 (meets threshold) but lacks Blake's acceptance. P6 scores 50 (meets threshold) and has Ember's acceptance. Need Blake's approval to close. Proposing P2 with Blake's acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[19] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P5
💬 I support P5 as it meets my threshold and aligns with my preferences. Let's secure all acceptances.
P5 scores 202, above my threshold. Blake's acceptance is critical. P1 has three acceptances but needs Casey and Avery. P5 needs others to accept. I'll push for P5.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Avery — final_proposal (round 5)

ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[21] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold and secures necessary support. I accept to close the deal.
Okay, let's break this down. I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk on the current deal P3. The key here is that I'm the veto party, so the deal can't pass without me. Let me check the details of P3. Looking at the live offers, P3 has Power supply as grid tie-in (which I value at 48), Location Dunlow Yard (21), Compensation rates abatement (0), and Site access existing haul route (0). My total is 69, which is above my threshold of 46. So, the deal meets my minimum requirement. Now, the current acceptances for P3 are Avery and Ember. But I need to get all parties to accept. Wait, the Mediator's message says this is the FINAL up/down vote on P3. So, the deal is currently accepted by Avery and Ember, but not by me or others. Wait, looking at the offer_accepts for P3: [4, 0]. That might mean Avery (seat 4) and Ember (seat 0) have accepted. But the Mediator's list shows that P3 is accepted by Avery and Ember. However, the deal needs all parties to accept. Since I'm the veto party, my acceptance is crucial. But the problem is that the other parties might not have accepted yet. Let me check the current status. The Mediator says "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P3." So, the deal is being voted on now. The current acceptances are Avery and Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted yet. Since I have a surplus of 23 points (69 - 46), I should be willing to accept P3. But I need to check if the other parties are on board. Wait, Devon accepted P5, which is a different offer. Casey accepted P2, but that's below my threshold. Wait, no, Casey's acceptance of P2 might not be relevant here. Wait, the Mediator says that P3 is the standing offer. The current acceptances are Avery and Ember. But I need all parties to accept. Since I'm the only veto party, if I accept, then the deal can pass. But are there other parties that haven't accepted yet? Let me check the offer_accepts. Looking at the offer_accepts for P3: [4, 0]. That might mean Avery (seat 4) and Ember (seat 0) have accepted. The other parties: Casey, Devon, and Avery. Wait, Avery is already accepting. So, the current acceptances are Avery and Ember. But the deal needs all five parties. Wait, the Mediator says "received_by_opponent" shows that for P3, the opponents (other parties) have received certain scores. But I need to focus on the acceptances. If I accept P3, then the acceptances would be Avery, Ember, and me. But what about Devon and Casey? Devon accepted P5, which is a different offer. Casey accepted P2, but that's not the current standing offer. Wait, the Mediator's message says that this is the final vote on P3. So, the other offers might be closed. So, if I accept P3, then the deal would have my acceptance, plus Avery and Ember. But what about Devon and Casey? If they haven't accepted P3, then the deal would not have their support. But the problem is that the deal needs all parties to accept. Since Blake is the veto party, if I accept, then the deal can pass, but only if all other parties have accepted. However, the current acceptances for P3 are Avery and Ember. So, if I accept, then the acceptances would be Avery, Ember, and me. But Devon and Casey haven't accepted P3. Wait, but in the Mediator's message, the "must_vote" is set to true, which means that the current standing offer is P3, and it's the final vote. So, the other parties might have already walked or rejected. Wait, looking at the "walked_seats": [], so no one has walked. The "offer_rejects" for P3 is empty, so no one has rejected it. But the current acceptances for P3 are Avery and Ember. So, if I accept, then the total acceptances would be Avery, Ember, and me. But the deal requires all parties to accept. So, unless Devon and Casey also accept, the deal can't pass. But the Mediator's message says that this is the final vote on P3. So, maybe the other parties have already accepted or rejected. Let me check the "offer_accepts" for P3: [4, 0]. That might mean Avery (seat 4) and Ember (seat
oracle regret: threshold=+23, acceptance=+23, bestresponse=+0

[22] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P3
💬 I accept P3 to finalize the deal.
P3 scores 50 (above threshold). Accepting it ensures closure with Blake's support.
oracle regret: threshold=+42, acceptance=+42, bestresponse=+0

[23] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold and closes the deal. I accept.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, I'm Devon, and the current situation is that we're in the final round of negotiations. The mediator mentioned that this is the FINAL up/down vote on P3. The live offers are listed, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk. First, let me check the details of P3. According to the mediator's message, P3 has the following options: Power supply is grid tie-in (worth 41 points to me), Location is Dunlow Yard (56 points), Compensation is rates abatement (14 points), and Site access is existing haul route (14 points). Adding those up, that's 41 + 56 +14 +14 = 125 points. My threshold is 101, so 125 is above that, which means it's acceptable for me. Looking at the acceptances for P3: it's accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey, and Ember. The only one left is me, Devon. Wait, but the mediator said that the standing offer is P3, and it's the final vote. So if I accept P3, then all parties would have accepted it, right? Let me check the list again. The current acceptances for P3 are [2,4,1,0]. Wait, maybe that's the seats. Let me see the "offer_accepts" in the negotiation_state. For P3, it's [2,4,1,0], which probably corresponds to the parties. The parties are Avery (0?), Blake (1?), Casey (2?), Devon (3?), Ember (4?). Wait, the seat numbers might be: Avery is seat 0, Blake seat 1, Casey seat 2, Devon seat 3, Ember seat 4. So P3 is accepted by seat 1 (Blake?), 2 (Casey?), 4 (Ember?), and 0 (Avery?). Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P3 is [2,4,1,0]. Wait, maybe that's the list of acceptors. Let me check the "offer_accepts" entry: "P3": [2, 4, 1, 0]. So that would be Casey (seat 2), Ember (4), Blake (1), and Avery (0). So that's four parties. The fifth party is Devon (seat 3). So if I accept P3, then all five parties would have accepted it. But Blake is the veto party, and the rule says that no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts. Since Blake is the veto party, and he has already accepted P3, then the deal would pass once all other parties accept. Wait, the current acceptors for P3 are Avery, Blake, Casey, Ember. That's four parties. Devon is the only one left. So if I accept P3, then all five parties (including Blake) have accepted, so the deal closes. But wait, the mediator said that this is the FINAL up/down vote on P3. So maybe the current state is that P3 is the standing offer, and everyone except Devon has accepted. Therefore, my action is to accept P3 to close the deal. Alternatively, maybe there's another offer that's better for me. Let me check the other offers. Looking at P5: Power supply is shared substation (62 points), Location Dunlow Yard (56), Compensation annual community fund (42), Site access new spur road (42). Total is 62+56+42+42=202. That's way above my threshold. But P5 is accepted by Devon only. So if I accept P5, but others haven't accepted it. But the mediator says this is the final vote on P3. So maybe P5 isn't in play anymore. But the user's last message shows that the mediator is saying it's the final vote on P3. So perhaps the other offers are not viable anymore. So the best move is to accept P3, which meets my threshold and closes the deal. But wait, the mediator's message says that the standing offer is P3, and it's the final vote. So the only way to close the deal is to accept P3. Therefore, I should accept P3. Wait, but the user's previous actions show that some parties have already accepted P3, and others are considering. But according to the negotiation_state, the "must_vote" is true, meaning I have to take an action. So the correct action is to accept P3. But let me check my points again. For P3, my total is 125, which is above 101. So accepting P3 is good. Therefore,
oracle regret: threshold=+77, acceptance=+77, bestresponse=+25.4

Outcome

deal: {"Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Site access": "existing haul route"} (closed by consensus)

primary 0.9965 · USW 198.0 · ESW 4.0 · NSW 11397696.0 · Gini 0.4141 · per-party surplus [58.0, 23.0, 4.0, 24.0, 89.0]