scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-9c51b4e5cd
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-9a1b1c0960 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Location", "Power supply", "Compensation", "Build schedule"], "option_labels": [["Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats"], ["solar with storage", "grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "shared substation"], ["one-off site payment", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement", "annual community fund"], ["eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "five years", "three years"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Location (Kestrel Park, Anvil Ridge, Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats); Power supply (solar with storage, grid tie-in, on-site turbines, shared substation); Compensation (one-off site payment, in-kind infrastructure, rates abatement, annual community fund); Build schedule (eighteen months, phased over eight years, five years, three years)
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=80): Location: Kestrel Park=28, Anvil Ridge=41, Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=14; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=22, in-kind infrastructure=65, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=44; Build schedule: eighteen months=29, phased over eight years=0, five years=44, three years=15
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=118): Location: Kestrel Park=62, Anvil Ridge=94, Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=31; Power supply: solar with storage=32, grid tie-in=97, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=65; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=19, phased over eight years=0, five years=28, three years=9
- Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites) (τ=89): Location: Kestrel Park=18, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=55, Weir Flats=37; Power supply: solar with storage=17, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=50, shared substation=33; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=39, phased over eight years=0, five years=58, three years=19
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=107): Location: Kestrel Park=17, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=51, Weir Flats=34; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=63, rates abatement=95, annual community fund=32; Build schedule: eighteen months=36, phased over eight years=0, five years=53, three years=18
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=53): Location: Kestrel Park=19, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=56, Weir Flats=38; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=27, phased over eight years=0, five years=41, three years=14
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 Proposing Anvil Ridge with in-kind compensation, five-year build, and shared substation. Meets my 80-point threshold.
Maximizing my points: Anvil Ridge (41) + in-kind infrastructure (65) + five-year schedule (44) = 150. Power supply neutral, so choose shared substation.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.45
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my requirements. I accept.
P1 scores 187, above my threshold. Accepting ensures the deal moves forward with my support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept.
P1 scores 91 (threshold 89), meets my requirement. Accepting now ensures deal progress.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+31.7, bestresponse=+0
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to push for consensus.
P2 scores 97, above my threshold. Accepting it would require others to align, but Blake and Casey are on P1. Proposing a refined P2 with same terms but urging others to switch.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 I propose Anvil Ridge with grid tie-in power supply to align with my top preferences and ensure broader consensus.
Proposing Anvil Ridge with grid tie-in power to maximize my score and attract broader support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.5, bestresponse=+0.35
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to support consensus.
P2 scores 113, above my threshold. Accepting it would bring total acceptors to 3 (Devon, Ember, me). Need two more. P1 has 91, accepted by Avery, Blake, me. If I accept P1, it needs two more acceptors. But Blake is the veto party and has already accepted. However, the deal requires all 5 parties to accept. Since P1 is already accepted by Avery, Blake, and me, but not Devon or Ember, it's not closed. Accepting P2 gives me a better score. I should accept P2 to push for consensus.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+9.72, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll accept to push for consensus.
P2 scores 97 (surplus +44) and needs Blake's acceptance to pass. Blake's acceptance would finalize it.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2 to reach consensus. Let's finalize here.
P1 has 3 accepts (Avery, Blake, Casey). Need Devon and Ember. P2 has 3 accepts (Casey, Devon, Ember). Need Avery and Blake. P3 has 1 accept (Blake). P1's total is 150 (my threshold 80). P2's total is 109. I can push for P2 as it's closer to my preferences and more likely to get the remaining votes.
oracle regret: threshold=+41, acceptance=+41, bestresponse=+0
[10] Casey — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to push for consensus.
P2 scores 113 (above threshold). Accepting P2 would bring us to 4 acceptors. Blake's acceptance would close the deal. Blake's preferences are aligned with P2's location (Anvil Ridge) and build schedule (five years), though power supply and compensation differ. Blake's veto ensures closure if they accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+9.72, bestresponse=+0
[11] Devon — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[12] Ember — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll accept to finalize the deal if Blake agrees.
P2 already meets my threshold with 97 points. Blake's acceptance is needed to close the deal. P3 is suboptimal for me, so I'll push for P2.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[13] Avery — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and requires only Blake's acceptance. I'll accept P2 to push for consensus.
P2 has four acceptances (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember) and needs Blake's acceptance. Blake has already accepted P3, but P3 is less favorable to me. Accepting P2 would finalize the deal if Blake agrees.
oracle regret: threshold=+41, acceptance=+41, bestresponse=+0
[14] Blake — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and requires only my acceptance to finalize. I accept.
P2 scores 125 (surplus +7) and needs my acceptance to close. P3 offers 219 but lacks support. Accepting P2 secures deal closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+94, acceptance=+94, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "five years"} (closed by consensus)
primary 1.0 · USW 164.0 · ESW 7.0 · NSW 12862080.0 · Gini 0.3073 · per-party surplus [29.0, 7.0, 24.0, 60.0, 44.0]