scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-ad060bd307
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L4-d49e5fe070 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Location", "Power supply", "Build schedule", "Hiring"], "option_labels": [["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Kestrel Park", "Weir Flats"], ["on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "grid tie-in", "shared substation"], ["five years", "three years", "phased over eight years", "eighteen months"], ["apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral", "local hiring pact", "open recruitment"]], "party_roles": ["Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Location (Anvil Ridge, Dunlow Yard, Kestrel Park, Weir Flats); Power supply (on-site turbines, solar with storage, grid tie-in, shared substation); Build schedule (five years, three years, phased over eight years, eighteen months); Hiring (apprenticeship programme, union hall referral, local hiring pact, open recruitment)
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=112): Location: Anvil Ridge=18, Dunlow Yard=37, Kestrel Park=55, Weir Flats=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=15, grid tie-in=30, shared substation=45; Build schedule: five years=0, three years=97, phased over eight years=65, eighteen months=32; Hiring: apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0, local hiring pact=0, open recruitment=0
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=93): Location: Anvil Ridge=18, Dunlow Yard=36, Kestrel Park=53, Weir Flats=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=9, grid tie-in=18, shared substation=27; Build schedule: five years=0, three years=0, phased over eight years=0, eighteen months=0; Hiring: apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=85, local hiring pact=57, open recruitment=28
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=51): Location: Anvil Ridge=37, Dunlow Yard=19, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=56; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=11, grid tie-in=22, shared substation=32; Build schedule: five years=0, three years=0, phased over eight years=0, eighteen months=0; Hiring: apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0, local hiring pact=0, open recruitment=0
- Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive) (τ=79): Location: Anvil Ridge=16, Dunlow Yard=32, Kestrel Park=48, Weir Flats=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=9, grid tie-in=17, shared substation=26; Build schedule: five years=69, three years=46, phased over eight years=23, eighteen months=0; Hiring: apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0, local hiring pact=0, open recruitment=0
- Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites) (τ=129): Location: Anvil Ridge=61, Dunlow Yard=30, Kestrel Park=0, Weir Flats=91; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=17, grid tie-in=34, shared substation=51; Build schedule: five years=0, three years=0, phased over eight years=0, eighteen months=0; Hiring: apprenticeship programme=65, union hall referral=97, local hiring pact=32, open recruitment=0
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Kestrel Park", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Build schedule": "three years", "Hiring": "open recruitment"}
💬 Proposing Kestrel Park with shared substation, three-year schedule, and open hiring to meet my threshold.
Maximizing my points: Kestrel Park (55) + shared substation (45) + three-year schedule (97) + open recruitment (0) = 197 > 112 threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.35
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 clears my threshold. I accept to enable progress.
P1 meets my threshold (108 >= 93). Accepting ensures the deal can proceed, as my veto is required.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+21.8, bestresponse=+0
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Weir Flats", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Build schedule": "three years", "Hiring": "open recruitment"}
💬 I need a better location. I propose Weir Flats with shared substation to meet my threshold.
P1 scores 32 (below threshold). Need to pivot to Weir Flats (56) + shared substation (32) = 88. Other options don't add value. Propose this combination to meet threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Kestrel Park", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Build schedule": "five years", "Hiring": "open recruitment"}
💬 P1 meets my threshold, but I'll propose a revised package with a five-year build schedule for higher value.
P1 scores 120 (above threshold). Accepting it would require others to accept, but Casey and Ember may not. Proposing a modified deal with five-year schedule could boost my score further.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+8.81, bestresponse=+1.25
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Build schedule": "three years", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 meets my threshold. I'll accept to move forward.
P4 scores 148, highest for me. Need to push for acceptance. Others may have different priorities.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to support a strong package that meets my threshold and allows progress.
P2 scores 88, well above my threshold. Accepting it secures my support and gives others a strong package. P4 is exactly 51 but has fewer acceptors. Proposing P2 ensures progress.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 clears my threshold and has Blake's support. I'll accept to advance progress.
P4 meets my threshold (104) and has Blake's acceptance. Accepting P4 would bring us closer to a deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+39, acceptance=+39, bestresponse=+0
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P4
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+5.66, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P4
💬 I accept P4 to support progress. Let's finalize the deal.
P4 meets my threshold. Accepting it brings four acceptances. Need Casey to accept P4 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+18, acceptance=+18, bestresponse=+0
[10] Casey — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P4
💬 I accept P4 to meet my threshold and finalize the agreement.
P4 meets my threshold. Accepting it will finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+37, acceptance=+37, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Build schedule": "three years", "Hiring": "union hall referral"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.9816 · USW 196.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.3347 · per-party surplus [67.0, 55.0, 0.0, 25.0, 49.0]