scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-afe4f155ca
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-d9a0ef3c04 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Power supply", "Location", "Compensation", "Site access"], "option_labels": [["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "shared substation"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park"], ["one-off site payment", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure"], ["new spur road", "widened lane", "rail siding", "existing haul route"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Power supply (grid tie-in, on-site turbines, solar with storage, shared substation); Location (Anvil Ridge, Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats, Kestrel Park); Compensation (one-off site payment, rates abatement, annual community fund, in-kind infrastructure); Site access (new spur road, widened lane, rail siding, existing haul route)
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=95): Power supply: grid tie-in=19, on-site turbines=57, solar with storage=38, shared substation=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=12, Dunlow Yard=37, Weir Flats=25, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=32, widened lane=0, rail siding=65, existing haul route=97
- Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive) (τ=46): Power supply: grid tie-in=48, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=24, shared substation=71; Location: Anvil Ridge=7, Dunlow Yard=21, Weir Flats=14, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=46): Power supply: grid tie-in=21, on-site turbines=63, solar with storage=42, shared substation=0; Location: Anvil Ridge=10, Dunlow Yard=29, Weir Flats=20, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=101): Power supply: grid tie-in=41, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=21, shared substation=62; Location: Anvil Ridge=19, Dunlow Yard=56, Weir Flats=37, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, rates abatement=14, annual community fund=42, in-kind infrastructure=28; Site access: new spur road=42, widened lane=28, rail siding=0, existing haul route=14
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=116): Power supply: grid tie-in=54, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=27, shared substation=80; Location: Anvil Ridge=19, Dunlow Yard=58, Weir Flats=39, Kestrel Park=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=31, rates abatement=93, annual community fund=62, in-kind infrastructure=0; Site access: new spur road=0, widened lane=0, rail siding=0, existing haul route=0
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 Proposing a package with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard, existing haul route, and in-kind compensation. This meets my threshold.
Maximizing my top choices: on-site turbines (57), Dunlow Yard (37), existing haul route (97). Compensation is 0 regardless. Total 57+37+97 = 191 > 95.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.9
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
REJECT P1
💬 P1 doesn't meet my threshold. I'll reject and seek a better deal.
P1 scores 21, below my threshold. Rejecting to push for better options.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "rail siding"}
💬 I propose a revised deal to address concerns and secure necessary approvals.
P1 scores 92 for me but needs Blake's acceptance. Since Blake rejected it, I should propose a modified deal that might align better with Blake's priorities while keeping my high-value options.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0.2
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to support progress.
P3 scores 174, well above my threshold. Accepting it secures my support. Blake's veto is needed, but I can't control that. Better to accept and let others handle the veto.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to advance the deal.
P3 scores 69, above my threshold. Accepting it ensures progress. Others may follow.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+7.35, bestresponse=+0
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to advance the deal.
P3 scores 50 (above threshold). Accepting it ensures progress. No need to propose alternatives.
oracle regret: threshold=+42, acceptance=+42, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 clears my threshold. I accept to close the deal.
P3 meets my threshold and has majority support. I'll accept to finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to close the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Avery, and it's my turn in Round 2. The current live offers are P1, P2, and P3. P3 has been accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember. My own acceptance threshold is 95 points. Let me check the scores for each offer.
For P3, the power supply is grid tie-in, which I value at 19. Location is Dunlow Yard, worth 37. Compensation is annual community fund, which is 0. Site access is existing haul route, worth 97. Adding those up: 19 + 37 + 0 + 97 = 153. My threshold is 95, so 153 is above that. But wait, the mediator's message says P3 gives me 153 total, which is above my threshold. However, I need to check if accepting P3 is the best move here.
But wait, the problem is that Blake is the veto party. The deal can't pass unless he accepts. But Blake has already accepted P3. So P3 has four acceptances: Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Avery hasn't accepted yet. Wait, the mediator's message says P3 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So only Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember have accepted. Avery hasn't. So the deal isn't closed yet. But Blake is the veto party, so if all veto parties accept, then the deal can pass. Since Blake has accepted, and the others have accepted, but Avery hasn't. So if Avery accepts, then all parties except maybe someone else have accepted. Wait, the original parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if P3 has Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember accepting, and Avery hasn't, then the deal isn't closed yet. But Blake is the veto party, so if he accepts, then the deal can proceed. But the rule says that a deal closes only when all parties have accepted the same offer. So since Avery hasn't accepted P3 yet, the deal isn't closed. So I need to decide whether to accept P3 or not.
But my score for P3 is 153, which is above my threshold of 95. So accepting P3 would be good for me. However, I need to check if there's a better offer. Let's look at P1 and P2.
P1 has power supply on-site turbines (57), location Dunlow Yard (37), compensation in-kind infrastructure (0), site access existing haul route (97). Total is 57+37+0+97=191. That's even higher than P3's 153. But P1 has been accepted by Avery only. Wait, the mediator's message says P1 is accepted by Avery. But Blake rejected P1. So P1 is only accepted by Avery. So that's not enough. But if I can get others to accept P1, but Blake rejected it. So maybe P1 isn't viable.
P2 has power supply on-site turbines (57), location Dunlow Yard (37), compensation annual community fund (0), site access rail siding (65). Total is 57+37+0+65=159. That's also above my threshold. But P2 is accepted by Casey. Others? The mediator says P2 is accepted by Casey. So only Casey has accepted. Not enough.
So the only offer that has multiple acceptances is P3, which has Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. If I accept P3, then all parties would have accepted it. Because Avery is the only one left. So that would close the deal. Since my score for P3 is 153, which is above 95, I should accept it. Otherwise, if I don't accept, the deal might not pass. But Blake is the veto party, and he's already accepted. So if I accept, then all parties accept, and the deal closes. Therefore, I should accept P3.
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Site access": "existing haul route"} (closed by consensus)
primary 1.0 · USW 195.0 · ESW 4.0 · NSW 16093376.0 · Gini 0.2933 · per-party surplus [58.0, 23.0, 4.0, 52.0, 58.0]