scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-c7db4612ef
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L0-a483b0d80d · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Build schedule", "Site access", "Power supply", "Compensation"], "option_labels": [["five years", "phased over eight years", "eighteen months", "three years"], ["widened lane", "new spur road", "existing haul route", "rail siding"], ["on-site turbines", "shared substation", "solar with storage", "grid tie-in"], ["in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "one-off site payment"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Build schedule (five years, phased over eight years, eighteen months, three years); Site access (widened lane, new spur road, existing haul route, rail siding); Power supply (on-site turbines, shared substation, solar with storage, grid tie-in); Compensation (in-kind infrastructure, rates abatement, annual community fund, one-off site payment)
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=63): Build schedule: five years=0, phased over eight years=11, eighteen months=32, three years=21; Site access: widened lane=21, new spur road=0, existing haul route=63, rail siding=42; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0, solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0; Compensation: in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=41, annual community fund=62, one-off site payment=21
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=40): Build schedule: five years=0, phased over eight years=17, eighteen months=51, three years=34; Site access: widened lane=0, new spur road=0, existing haul route=0, rail siding=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0, solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0; Compensation: in-kind infrastructure=44, rates abatement=15, annual community fund=0, one-off site payment=29
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=71): Build schedule: five years=0, phased over eight years=9, eighteen months=26, three years=18; Site access: widened lane=0, new spur road=0, existing haul route=0, rail siding=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, shared substation=58, solar with storage=87, grid tie-in=29; Compensation: in-kind infrastructure=57, rates abatement=19, annual community fund=0, one-off site payment=38
- Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority) (τ=65): Build schedule: five years=0, phased over eight years=18, eighteen months=54, three years=36; Site access: widened lane=0, new spur road=39, existing haul route=20, rail siding=59; Power supply: on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0, solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0; Compensation: in-kind infrastructure=40, rates abatement=13, annual community fund=0, one-off site payment=27
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=63): Build schedule: five years=0, phased over eight years=8, eighteen months=25, three years=16; Site access: widened lane=0, new spur road=0, existing haul route=0, rail siding=0; Power supply: on-site turbines=17, shared substation=50, solar with storage=33, grid tie-in=0; Compensation: in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=52, annual community fund=78, one-off site payment=26
Turns
[0] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure"}
💬 I propose an 18-month build with in-kind compensation. Others can adjust site/power as needed.
Maximize compensation and build schedule. In-kind infrastructure (44) + 18mo (51) = 95. Other issues neutral.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.75
[1] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "annual community fund"}
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.5
[2] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I'll accept it to move forward.
P1 gives 114, P2 gives 113. Both above my threshold. P1 has better compensation, P2 better site access. Since Blake is already on P1, maybe pushing for P1.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[3] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to support moving the deal forward.
P2 scores 153, above my threshold. Accepting it would help push the deal forward, but need Blake's acceptance. Since I can't influence Blake's choice, I'll accept P2 to signal support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "annual community fund"}
💬 I propose a revised deal combining strengths of P1 and P2 to meet all parties' needs.
P1 has Blake and Devon, but needs Casey and Ember. P2 has Casey and Ember, but needs Blake. My threshold is met on both. Proposing a new deal combining P2's compensation and site access with P1's build schedule and power supply.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+27, bestresponse=+0.55
[5] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+38.7, bestresponse=+0
[6] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I'll accept P1 to keep momentum, but others must follow.
P1 has Blake and me, but needs others. P2 has Casey and Ember. P3 has Avery. Need to push for acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[7] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll accept to keep momentum.
P2 scores 153 (above threshold), but needs Blake's acceptance. P3 is identical to P2 but proposed by Avery. Since Blake is the veto party, I must ensure he accepts. However, I can't force him. My best bet is to accept P2 to keep momentum, as it meets my threshold and has Casey's support. If others accept, it could close.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll accept to push for closure.
P2 scores 136 (surplus +73). Blake and Devon are on P1, but need to switch to P2 for closure. Since Blake is a veto party, their acceptance is critical. I can't force them, so better to accept P2 and let others follow.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[9] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to meet my threshold and help close the deal.
P1 gives me 95, which is great. But I need all parties to accept the same offer. Since P2 has 51 and is accepted by Avery, Casey, Ember, I can switch to P2 to meet my threshold. But Devon is on P1. If I accept P2, then P2 has 4 acceptors (Avery, Casey, Ember, Blake), but Devon is on P1. To close, all must accept the same. So I should accept P2 to push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+44, acceptance=+44, bestresponse=+0
[10] Devon — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 is ready to close. I accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 has four acceptors; accepting it would close the deal. My score for P2 is 113, above threshold. No need to propose a new deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+1, acceptance=+1, bestresponse=+35.6
Outcome
deal: {"Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "annual community fund"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.896 · USW 235.0 · ESW 11.0 · NSW 45096480.0 · Gini 0.3711 · per-party surplus [73.0, 11.0, 13.0, 48.0, 90.0]