scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-f5b52fb6d0
model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L2-103cef6017 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Cooling", "Site access", "Hiring", "Power supply"], "option_labels": [["air cooling", "closed-loop plant", "reclaimed water", "river draw"], ["rail siding", "widened lane", "existing haul route", "new spur road"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "solar with storage", "on-site turbines"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Cooling (air cooling, closed-loop plant, reclaimed water, river draw); Site access (rail siding, widened lane, existing haul route, new spur road); Hiring (open recruitment, local hiring pact, apprenticeship programme, union hall referral); Power supply (grid tie-in, shared substation, solar with storage, on-site turbines)
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=45): Cooling: air cooling=11, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=33, river draw=22; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=38, shared substation=0, solar with storage=19, on-site turbines=58
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=88): Cooling: air cooling=13, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=38, river draw=25; Site access: rail siding=18, widened lane=54, existing haul route=0, new spur road=36; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=28, shared substation=85, solar with storage=57, on-site turbines=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=93): Cooling: air cooling=15, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=44, river draw=30; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=19, local hiring pact=58, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=39; Power supply: grid tie-in=28, shared substation=83, solar with storage=56, on-site turbines=0
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=91): Cooling: air cooling=15, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=45, river draw=30; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=28, existing haul route=85, new spur road=57; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=18, shared substation=53, solar with storage=35, on-site turbines=0
- Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority) (τ=86): Cooling: air cooling=16, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=48, river draw=32; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=63, apprenticeship programme=42, union hall referral=21; Power supply: grid tie-in=41, shared substation=0, solar with storage=21, on-site turbines=62
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Power supply": "on-site turbines"}
💬 Proposing a package with reclaimed water cooling and on-site turbines for power. Site access and hiring will use neutral options.
Maximizing my score: Cooling=reclaimed water (33), Power=on-site turbines (58). Site and Hiring options have 0 impact; choose neutral defaults.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I can't support P1. Let's try a package with widened lane and shared substation.
P1 scores 38 (below threshold). Need to push for higher-value site access and power supply options.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+7.78, bestresponse=+0
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I'll accept it to push for a deal.
P3 scores 165, well above my threshold. Need to get Blake's acceptance to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to advance the deal.
P3 scores 132 (above threshold) and has Casey, Devon already. Accepting it pushes toward closure; Blake must accept for deal to pass.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
P3 has 3 acceptances, needs my vote to reach 4. Accepting P3 meets my threshold and pushes the deal forward.
oracle regret: threshold=+82, acceptance=+82, bestresponse=+0
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 is solid. Let's secure Avery's acceptance to close the deal.
P3 has 4 accepts. Need Avery to accept. My score is 165, above threshold. Push for final acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 is ready to close with Avery's acceptance. I accept to finalize.
P3 has 4 acceptances (Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember). Only Avery remains. Accepting P3 again ensures closure once Avery accepts.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let's break this down. I'm Avery, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or propose a new deal. The current live offers are P1, P2, and P3.
First, looking at P3: Cooling is reclaimed water (33 points), Site access is existing haul route (0), Hiring is local hiring pact (0), Power supply is solar with storage (19). Total is 33 + 0 + 0 + 19 = 52. My threshold is 45, so 52 is above that. But wait, the user mentioned that the power supply for P3 is solar with storage, which I value at 19. However, my own scores show that I prefer on-site turbines (58) and grid tie-in (38). Solar is lower.
But the problem is that P3 has already been accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember. Blake is the veto party, so if he accepts, the deal can pass. But I need to check if I can accept P3. My total for P3 is 52, which is above my threshold of 45. So I should accept it to close the deal.
Wait, the mediator's message says that P3 is the standing offer. The other offers are P1 and P2. P1 has power supply as on-site turbines (58), which is better for me. But P1 is only accepted by Avery. So if I accept P3, then all parties have accepted it, and the deal closes.
But why hasn't the deal closed yet? Because Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember have accepted P3, but Avery hasn't. Wait, the user's previous action was to accept P3. Wait, looking back:
In the previous steps, Devon and Ember accepted P3, then Blake accepted P3. Then Casey accepted P3. So now, the acceptors are Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember, and Avery hasn't accepted yet. Wait, no. The initial proposal by Avery was P1, which was accepted by Avery. Then Blake proposed P2, which was accepted by Blake. Then Casey proposed P3, which was accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So P3 has four acceptors. Since Blake is the veto party, and he's accepted, the deal can pass if all others accept.
But Avery hasn't accepted P3 yet. So if I accept P3, then all five parties (including Blake) have accepted, and the deal closes.
But my score for P3 is 52, which is above my threshold. So I should accept P3.
Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new deal that's better for me. But the current standing offer is P3. The mediator's message says that the standing offer is P3. So if I accept P3, the deal closes.
Wait, the user's last action was that Devon and Ember accepted P3, then Blake accepted P3. Then Casey accepted P3. So now, the acceptors are Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Avery hasn't accepted yet. So the deal is pending Avery's acceptance.
Therefore, I need to accept P3 to close the deal. Since my score for P3 is 52, which is above 45, I should accept it.
So the correct action is to accept P3.
oracle regret: threshold=+39, acceptance=+39, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.9578 · USW 199.0 · ESW 7.0 · NSW 10841740.0 · Gini 0.3859 · per-party surplus [7.0, 7.0, 65.0, 74.0, 46.0]