scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-03b64ebb8e
model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-aabb4d986b · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Build schedule", "Site access", "Power supply", "Location"], "option_labels": [["phased over eight years", "three years", "five years", "eighteen months"], ["rail siding", "new spur road", "widened lane", "existing haul route"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage"], ["Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge"]], "party_roles": ["Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Build schedule (phased over eight years, three years, five years, eighteen months); Site access (rail siding, new spur road, widened lane, existing haul route); Power supply (grid tie-in, shared substation, on-site turbines, solar with storage); Location (Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats, Kestrel Park, Anvil Ridge)
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=68): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=32, five years=48, eighteen months=16; Site access: rail siding=58, new spur road=39, widened lane=19, existing haul route=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=14, Weir Flats=27, Kestrel Park=41, Anvil Ridge=0
- Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive) (τ=49): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=22, five years=33, eighteen months=11; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=26, widened lane=51, existing haul route=77; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=90): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=28, five years=42, eighteen months=14; Site access: rail siding=54, new spur road=36, widened lane=18, existing haul route=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=99, shared substation=66, on-site turbines=33, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=90): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=20, five years=30, eighteen months=10; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=32, widened lane=64, existing haul route=96; Power supply: grid tie-in=47, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=71, solar with storage=24; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=105): Build schedule: phased over eight years=0, three years=28, five years=42, eighteen months=14; Site access: rail siding=0, new spur road=33, widened lane=65, existing haul route=98; Power supply: grid tie-in=0, shared substation=0, on-site turbines=0, solar with storage=0; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=88, Kestrel Park=59, Anvil Ridge=29
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I propose a five-year build schedule, rail siding access, grid tie-in power, and Kestrel Park location. This meets my threshold.
Maximizing my points: Build schedule=5 years (48), Site access=rail siding (58), Power supply=grid tie-in (0), Location=Kestrel Park (41). Total=147 > 68. Proposing this package.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 to advance the best package, but Blake must join. Let's move forward.
P1 scores 195 (above threshold), but Blake may block. P2 scores 141, but Avery isn't on board. Need to secure majority.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to push the deal forward.
P2 scores 173 (above threshold). Accepting P2 adds my support. Blake already accepts; others may follow.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to support closing the deal.
P2 scores 199, above my threshold. Accepting it moves the deal forward with Blake and Devon already on board. Need Avery and Casey to join.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+22.8
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+23.4, bestresponse=+3.05
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I support P1's terms. Blake's acceptance is key to closing the deal.
P1 has high points but needs Blake's acceptance. P2 has Blake's acceptance but needs Avery's. Since Blake is the veto party, their acceptance is critical. I should push for P1 to secure better terms.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+51.9, bestresponse=+2.55
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to push the deal forward.
P2 scores 173 (above threshold). Blake, Devon, Ember already accept. Need Avery and Casey to accept P2 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 is strong and Blake has accepted. I'll support closing with Avery's acceptance.
P2 meets my threshold and has Blake's acceptance. Need Avery to accept to close. P1 is stuck without Blake. Better to push P2.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+22.8
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to move towards closure, but Casey must also accept to finalize.
P2 meets my threshold. Accepting it will bring four parties on board. Need Casey's acceptance to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+58, acceptance=+58, bestresponse=+0
[10] Casey — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
P2 has Blake's acceptance and meets my threshold. Accepting P2 closes the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+54, acceptance=+54, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"} (closed by consensus)
primary 0.9825 · USW 310.0 · ESW 21.0 · NSW 509712462.0 · Gini 0.2297 · per-party surplus [21.0, 61.0, 51.0, 83.0, 94.0]