scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-28241c9812

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-d9a0ef3c04 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Power supply", "Location", "Compensation", "Site access"], "option_labels": [["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage", "shared substation"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park"], ["one-off site payment", "rates abatement", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure"], ["new spur road", "widened lane", "rail siding", "existing haul route"]], "party_roles": ["Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 Proposing a deal with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard location, existing haul route, and in-kind compensation. This meets my threshold.
Maximizing my score: Power=on-site turbines (57), Location=Dunlow Yard (37), Site Access=existing haul route (97). Compensation is neutral (0). Total=57+37+97=191 > 95 threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.9

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 P1 is too low. I propose a better package with shared substation and Dunlow Yard.
P1 scores 21 (below threshold). Need to propose a deal with shared substation (71) and Dunlow Yard (21) to meet my threshold. Other options can be left as default.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.15

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I support P1. Let's secure Blake's acceptance to finalize the deal.
P1 scores 92 (above threshold) but needs Blake's acceptance. Blake's P2 scores 29 (below threshold). Proposing P1 with my support to push for acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P2
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept.
P2 scores 138 (above threshold). Blake and Devon have accepted; accepting P2 secures my support and moves toward closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 P2 is solid. Let's get Casey on board.
P2 meets my threshold and has majority support. Need Casey to accept to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.6, bestresponse=+1.15

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

(invalid: An "accept" action needs an "offer_id" naming a standing offer (e.g. "O1").)
💬 I support P1. Blake's acceptance is needed to finalize.
P1 meets my threshold at 92 points. Blake needs to accept to close the deal. P2 is below my threshold. I'll stick with P1 and wait for Blake's acceptance.

[7] Casey — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 to support closing the deal with Blake's approval.
P1 meets my threshold at 92 points. Blake's acceptance is needed to close the deal. I'll formally accept P1 to push for finalization.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[8] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[9] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P2 scores 138 (above threshold). Accepted by Blake, Devon, and me. Need Avery and Casey to accept. But Blake is veto, so if he accepts, deal can pass. However, Avery and Casey are still needed. But since I can't propose a new deal now, I should accept P2 to push closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0

[10] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to help finalize the deal with Casey's support.
P1 has my support and Casey's. Need Blake's acceptance. P2 has Blake, Devon, Ember. Need Casey's acceptance. My threshold is met on both. Prioritize closing with P2 by getting Casey on board.
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+57, bestresponse=+0

[11] Casey — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
💬 I propose a revised deal with on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard, existing haul route, and in-kind compensation to meet my threshold and secure the deal.
P1 meets my threshold (92 points) but needs Blake's acceptance. P2 is below my threshold (29 points). I must propose a deal that meets my threshold and can secure Blake's support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0.2

[12] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.3, bestresponse=+2.6

[13] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has majority support. Let's secure Casey's acceptance to close the deal.
P2 has 138 points, meeting my threshold. It's accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, and me. Only Casey remains. I need to push for P2's closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0

[14] Avery — turn (round 3)

none
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has majority support. Let's secure Casey's acceptance to close the deal.
P2 has 134 points (above threshold) and is accepted by 4 parties. Need Casey to accept to close. Since I already accepted P2, I can't propose again. Must wait for Casey to accept.

[15] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 has majority support. I'll accept it to help close the deal with Casey's approval.
P2 has 4 acceptances, missing Casey. Need Casey to accept P2 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[16] Devon — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Power supply": "shared substation", "Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Site access": "existing haul route"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.3, bestresponse=+2.6

[17] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 has my support. Let's secure Casey's acceptance to close the deal.
P2 meets my threshold (138 points) and has majority support. With Blake's acceptance, the veto is satisfied. Only Casey remains to accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+32.5, bestresponse=+0

[18] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 has Blake's acceptance and meets my threshold. I'll accept it to finalize the deal with Casey's support.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the situation is that we're in the fourth round of negotiations, and it's my turn as Avery. The goal is to get a deal that meets my acceptance threshold of 95 points. Let me look at the live offers. First, looking at the offers listed: - P1: Power supply is on-site turbines (57 points), Location Dunlow Yard (37), Compensation in-kind (0), Site access existing haul route (97). Total is 57+37+0+97 = 191. My threshold is 95, so this is way above. But the acceptances are Avery, Casey. Wait, but Blake hasn't accepted yet? Wait, the mediator's state shows P1 is accepted by Avery and Casey. But Blake is the veto party, so even if others accept, without Blake's acceptance, the deal can't pass. Wait, but Blake is the veto party, so no deal passes without Blake accepting. Wait, but in the current state, P2 has accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Wait, the mediator's state shows P2 has 4 acceptances: Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. So P2 is already accepted by all except Casey. Wait, but Casey is the landholder, so if Casey hasn't accepted, then the deal can't close. But the problem is that Blake is the veto party, so even if others accept, Blake must accept. Wait, the rules say that Blake holds a veto: no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts. So, if Blake is the only veto party, then all offers need Blake's acceptance. Looking at the current offers, P2 has Blake's acceptance. So if Casey accepts P2, then all parties (including Blake) would have accepted. Let me check the current acceptances. The mediator's state says P2 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. So only Casey hasn't accepted yet. So if Casey accepts P2, then all parties are in. But the problem is that the user is Avery, and the last action was that Blake accepted P2. Then Devon proposed P3, but maybe that's not relevant. Wait, the current standing offer is P6, which is the last one. Let me check the details. The live offers include P6, which is the same as P2? Wait, no, looking at the offer details: P2: Power supply=shared substation (0), Location=Dunlow Yard (37), Compensation=in-kind (0), Site access=existing haul route (97). Total is 0+37+0+97 = 134. My threshold is 95, so that's above. Accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. P6 is the same as P2? The mediator's state shows P6 as accepted by Devon. But the offer details for P6 are the same as P2? Wait, maybe there's a mistake here. But regardless, the key is that P2 is already accepted by four parties, and Casey is the only one left. So, if Casey accepts P2, then all parties (including Blake) have accepted, and the deal closes. But Casey has not accepted yet. The user is Avery, and the current turn is mine. So I need to see if I can push Casey to accept P2. But in the last round, Casey proposed P4, which is the same as P1 (on-site turbines, Dunlow Yard, in-kind, existing haul route). But P1 is already accepted by Avery and Casey. Wait, no, the mediator's state shows P1 has acceptances from Avery and Casey. But Blake hasn't accepted P1. So if Casey is considering P1, but Blake hasn't accepted it. But since Blake is the veto party, P1 can't close unless Blake accepts. But the current situation is that P2 has Blake's acceptance. So maybe the best path is to get Casey to accept P2. But how? Since it's my turn, I can either propose a new deal or accept an existing one. Wait, the options are to take one formal action. The possible actions are propose, accept, reject, walk, or none. Looking at the current state, the standing offer is P6. But the user's turn is to act. Since the standing offer is P6, which is the same as P2 (but maybe different in some way?), but the mediator's state shows that P6 is accepted by Devon. Wait, the mediator's state for offers: P6: Power supply=shared substation (0), Location=Dunlow Yard (37), Compensation=in-kind infrastructure (0), Site access=existing haul route (97). Total is 0+37+0+97 = 1
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+57, bestresponse=+0

[19] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 has majority support. I urge Casey to accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, I'm Blake, and the County Executive with a veto. The goal is to get all parties to accept the same deal. Let's look at the current state. The live offers are P1 to P6. My focus is on P2 and P5, which have the highest points for me. P2 has 92 points, which is way above my threshold of 46. The accepted parties for P2 are Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Casey hasn't accepted it yet. P5 is also at 92, but only Devon has accepted it. Wait, the Mediator's message says that P2 has four acceptances: Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. But Casey is still waiting. If Casey accepts P2, then all five parties would be on board, right? Because the original five parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if Casey accepts P2, then P2 would have all five acceptances, and the deal would close. Looking at the offers, P2's details are Power supply: shared substation (71 points for me), Location: Dunlow Yard (21), Compensation: in-kind (0), Site access: existing haul route (0). Total 92. Casey's score for these options: Location is Dunlow Yard which is 21, but other options? Wait, Casey's compensation options—wait, no, the compensation for P2 is in-kind infrastructure, which Casey's score for compensation is 0. But maybe Casey's other options? Wait, no, I need to check Casey's private scores. Wait, no, I don't have Casey's scores. But the problem is that Casey hasn't accepted any offer yet. Wait, looking at the offer_accepts: P2 has [4, 3, 1, 0]. Wait, the negotiation_state's offer_accepts for P2 is [4, 3, 1, 0]. Wait, but the parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So the indices might correspond to each party. But maybe the numbers are the order of acceptance. Wait, maybe I should look at the current acceptances. The Mediator's message says P2 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. So only Casey hasn't accepted. So if Casey accepts P2, then all five parties are on board, and the deal closes. But Casey might have their own preferences. Alternatively, maybe Casey is holding out for a better deal. But since P2 is already at 92 points for me, and Casey's scores are private, but maybe Casey's best option is somewhere else. But since Casey hasn't accepted any offer yet, maybe they are waiting for someone else to accept. But since I have a veto, and the deal needs all parties to accept. If I can get Casey to accept P2, then the deal closes. Alternatively, if Casey doesn't accept, maybe another offer could be made. But the current round is the fourth, and the deadline is 4. Looking at the current offers, P2 is the most favorable for me. So I should try to get Casey to accept P2. But how? Since I can't make a proposal myself in this round (since it's my turn, but the Mediator's message says it's my turn, and I need to take an action). Wait, the user's last message says it's my turn, Blake. So the options are: either accept P2 (if I haven't already), or propose a new deal. But I already accepted P2 in a previous turn. Wait, the negotiation_state's offer_accepts for P2 includes Blake. So I have already accepted P2. Wait, the current state shows that P2 has been accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. So only Casey hasn't. Therefore, the only way to close the deal is for Casey to accept P2. But how can I convince Casey? Since I can't propose a new deal (since the Mediator's message says it's my turn, but the previous proposals have already been made). Wait, the protocol says that in each round, the parties take turns in a fixed rotation. The opening proposal rotates each round. But in this case, we're in Round 4, and it's Blake's turn. But since the current offers are already on the table, my options are to either accept an existing offer (but I already accepted P2) or propose a new one. However, since the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer, and only Casey is missing, I need to get Casey to accept P2. But since I can't make a proposal in this round (since the previous proposals have already been made), perhaps I should make a message to Casey, encouraging them to accept P2.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Casey — turn (round 4)

WALK
💬 I cannot accept P2 as it falls below my threshold. P1 and P4 require Blake's acceptance, which I cannot guarantee. I will walk to preserve my threshold.
P1 and P4 score 92 (above my threshold). P2 scores 29 (below). Need Blake's acceptance to close. Blake has accepted P2, but it's below my threshold. If I accept P1 or P4, Blake must also accept. But Blake has already accepted P2. However, Blake is the veto party and must accept for the deal to pass. Since P2 has Blake's acceptance but scores below my threshold, I cannot accept it. P1 and P4 have my threshold but lack Blake's acceptance. Blake may not accept them. Alternatively, if I accept P1 or P4, Blake might not accept, leaving the deal unpassed. But the only way to close is if all accept the same offer. Since P2 has Blake's acceptance but not mine, and others have accepted it, I must decide whether to accept P2 (even though it's below my threshold) to close the deal, or walk. Walking would mean no deal, which is worse than P2? Wait, my threshold is 46. P2 gives me 29, which is worse than no deal. So I can't accept P2. Therefore, I must walk to avoid accepting a deal below my threshold. But if I walk, the deal fails. However, the mediator says that walking never lowers the fixed acceptance quorum. But since I'm the only one not accepting, and others have accepted P2, but Blake is the veto party. Wait, if I walk, then the acceptors of P2 are Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. That's four parties. But Blake is the veto party, so even if he accepts, without me, the deal can't pass. Wait, the rules say that a deal closes when at least 5 of the original 5 parties have accepted the same offer. So if I walk, then the parties are Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember, and me (Casey). If I walk, I'm no longer part of the table. So the acceptors for P2 would be Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember — four parties. Since the quorum is 5, it doesn't meet. Therefore, the deal fails. But if I accept P1 or P4, which have higher scores, but Blake hasn't accepted them, then the deal can't pass. So my best option is to accept P1 or P4, even if Blake doesn't accept, but that would leave the deal unpassed. Alternatively, if I accept P2, even though it's below my threshold, but Blake has accepted, and others have accepted, but I'm the fifth. Wait, if I accept P2, then the acceptors would be Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember, and me. That's five parties. But P2's score is 29, which is below my threshold. So I can't accept it. Therefore, I must walk to avoid accepting a deal below my threshold. But walking means no deal. However, the problem states that walking never lowers the fixed acceptance quorum. So if I walk, the deal can't pass. But I can't accept P2. So the only way to close the deal is if I accept P1 or P4, but Blake must accept as well. But Blake has already accepted P2. So perhaps Blake would accept P1 or P4? Maybe not. So I'm stuck. Since I can't accept P2 (it's below my threshold), and P1 and P4 require Blake's acceptance, which I don't know if he'll give, I have to walk. Therefore, I'll walk to take the no-deal outcome.
oracle regret: threshold=+46, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+3.8

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]