scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-33d35ef238

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-19dae4b672 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Compensation", "Build schedule", "Location", "Hiring"], "option_labels": [["one-off site payment", "annual community fund", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement"], ["five years", "eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "three years"], ["Anvil Ridge", "Kestrel Park", "Weir Flats", "Dunlow Yard"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"]], "party_roles": ["Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "local hiring pact"}
💬 Proposing a deal with Annual Community Fund, Three-Year Build, Anvil Ridge location, and Local Hiring Pact to meet my threshold.
Maximizing my points: Annual Community Fund (91), Three-Year Build (67), Anvil Ridge (35), Local Hiring Pact (75). Total: 268 > 125 threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.3

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose a faster build timeline and union hiring to meet my threshold.
P1 scores 57 (below threshold). Need to propose a deal with Build=18mo (84), Location=Anvil Ridge (57), Hiring=union referral (65) = 206. Compensation is irrelevant to me but must be chosen.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.7

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "three years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose a deal with in-kind infrastructure, three-year build, Anvil Ridge, and union hiring to meet my threshold.
Proposing in-kind infrastructure for higher compensation value, three-year build schedule (highest score), Anvil Ridge location (top choice), and union hall referral (neutral hiring). Total: 42+82+38+0=162 > threshold 69.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.9, bestresponse=+3.3

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I'll support a deal with eighteen-month build and Anvil Ridge if others align.
P2 meets my threshold, but needs Blake's acceptance. Proposing a modified offer to incentivize broader support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+23.1, bestresponse=+0.45

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "phased over eight years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "apprenticeship programme"}
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+28.2, bestresponse=+2

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
💬 I propose an 18-month build, Anvil Ridge, union hall referral, and in-kind infrastructure to meet my threshold and secure Blake's support.
P2 and P4 are top-scoring, but need Blake's acceptance. Proposing a deal with 18-month build, Anvil Ridge, union hall referral to maximize my points and align with Blake's potential interests.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+58.4, bestresponse=+1.7

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold and aligns with my preferences. I'll accept it to move closer to a deal.
P3 scores 162, above my threshold. Only Devon has accepted it. Need others to accept. Blake's acceptance is critical. P1 has 134, accepted by Avery and Blake. If I accept P1, it meets my threshold (134 > 69). But Blake already accepted it. However, Casey and Ember may not. Alternatively, P5 has 135, accepted by Blake. But others need to accept. Maybe pushing for P3 is better.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 clears my bar. I accept to advance the deal.
P6 meets my threshold. Accepting it adds my support, pushing closer to closure with Blake's needed acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I support P1, which meets my threshold. Let's get Casey on board.
P1 has Avery and Blake, needs 3 more. P3 has Devon, needs 4. P2 has Casey, needs 4. P6 has Casey and Ember, needs 3. My threshold is 125. P1 gives 268, which is good. Need to push Casey to accept P1.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 clears my bar. I accept to advance the deal.
P6 meets my threshold (206 points) and aligns with my preferences. Accepting it pushes us closer to closure with Blake's support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P3
💬 I'll accept P3 to advance the deal, as it meets my threshold and aligns with key preferences.
P3 has high value for me (162 points) but needs more acceptors. Blake's acceptance is critical. P1 has Blake's support but lower value. P6 is accepted by Casey and Ember but lacks Blake. Need to secure Blake or push for P3.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 clears my bar. I accept to advance the deal.
P6 meets my threshold and has strong support. I'll accept to push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 clears my bar and has Blake's support. Let's finalize it.
P1 meets my threshold and has Blake's acceptance. P3 and P5 also meet my threshold but lack Blake's support. I should push for P1 to secure the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "phased over eight years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "apprenticeship programme"}
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+28.2, bestresponse=+2

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and has Blake's support. I accept to finalize the deal.
P1 has Blake's acceptance and meets my threshold. I'll accept to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 meets my threshold and has Casey's support. I'll accept to push for closure.
P6 scores 105 (above threshold) and has Casey's support. Accepting it would bring us closer to quorum.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 clears my bar and has Blake's support. Let's finalize the deal.
P1 meets my threshold and has Blake's support. I'll accept to finalize the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "phased over eight years", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "apprenticeship programme"}
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+28.2, bestresponse=+2

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I'll accept P2 to finalize the deal and meet my threshold.
P2 and P4/6 meet my 94-point threshold. P2 has 206 points, P4 and P6 also 206. But only Casey and Ember accept P6. Need to push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "eighteen months", "Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Hiring": "union hall referral"}
Okay, let's see. The negotiation is down to the final move. I'm Ember, and my acceptance threshold is 43 points. The current offers on the table are P1 through P8. Let me check which of these meet my threshold. Looking at the Mediator's list: - P1 gives me 25 points (below 43). - P2 gives 105 (above 43). - P3 is 25 (no). - P4 is 105 (yes). - P5 is 52 (yes). - P6 is 105 (yes). - P7 is 52 (yes). - P8 is 52 (yes). So offers P2, P4, P5, P6, P7, P8 meet my threshold. But I need to consider which ones have enough acceptances. The goal is to get a deal that has at least 5 acceptances (since there are 5 parties, and Blake is the veto party). Let's check the current acceptances: - P1: accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon (3 parties). - P2: Casey (1). - P3: Devon (1). - P4: Ember (1). - P5: Blake (1). - P6: Casey, Ember (2). - P7: Blake (1). - P8: Blake (1). So, the only offers with more than one acceptance are P1 (3), P6 (2), and others have 1. But Blake is a veto party, so any deal needs all veto parties (just Blake here) to accept. Wait, the rules say that Blake holds a veto: no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts. Since Blake is the only veto party, the deal needs Blake's acceptance. Looking at the current acceptances: - P1 has Blake's acceptance. But the others? Let's check the Mediator's list again. Wait, in the Mediator's message, the offers have accepted parties listed. For example, P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon. So that's three parties. But the deal needs all five parties to accept, but since Blake is the only veto party, maybe the quorum is different? Wait, the rules say: "A deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTed the SAME standing offer." So all five parties must accept the same offer. But currently, none of the offers have all five. But Blake is a veto party, so even if others accept, without Blake's acceptance, the deal can't pass. Wait, the rule says "no deal passes without you" for Blake. So Blake's acceptance is required. So for a deal to pass, all five parties must accept the same offer. But currently, no offer has all five. The closest is P1, which has Avery, Blake, Devon. But Casey and Ember haven't accepted it. But the Mediator's message says that the rounds are over, and Ember must make a final move: either propose one last deal or walk. So, I need to decide whether to propose a new deal that might get enough acceptances or walk. Looking at the existing offers, P6 has Casey and Ember. If I propose a new deal that combines elements from P6 and others, maybe I can get more acceptances. Alternatively, if I walk, the deal defaults to no deal. But I need to check if any existing offer can reach the required acceptances. For example, P2 has Casey. If I can get others to accept P2, but how? Alternatively, maybe propose a new deal that has higher points and can get more acceptances. But given that the rounds are over, I can only propose one last deal. Let me check my own preferences. My score sheet: - Compensation: all options give me 0. - Build schedule: 18 months is 80, which is high. - Location: Anvil Ridge is 25, which is the only location with points. - Hiring: all options give 0. So, the best options for me are build schedule of 18 months and location Anvil Ridge. Looking at the existing offers, P2, P4, P6 have 18 months and Anvil Ridge. If I propose a deal with 18 months, Anvil Ridge, and any compensation and hiring that meets my threshold. But since my compensation and hiring options give 0, the total would be 80 (build) +25 (location) = 105, which is above my threshold. So, I can propose a deal that has 18 months, Anvil Ridge, and any other options. But since others might have different preferences,
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+23.1, bestresponse=+0.45

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P9
💬 P9 falls short of my threshold. I reject to preserve my position.
Okay, let's see. The user is Avery, and the current situation is that we're in the final round of voting on offer P9. The goal is to get at least 5 acceptances, including Blake since he's the veto party. Let me check the current acceptances for P9. According to the data, P9 has been accepted by Devon (seat 3?), Ember (seat 4?), and maybe others? Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P9 is [4, 2], which might mean Devon (seat 3?) and Casey (seat 2)? Wait, the seats are numbered 0 to 4 for the parties: Avery (0), Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4). So P9's acceptances are [4, 2], which would be Ember and Casey. Plus, the "received" array shows that P9 has been received by some parties. But the key is, how many have accepted P9 so far? Looking at the "offer_accepts" for P9: [4, 2]. That's two acceptances. But the "received" array includes entries from each party. Wait, the "received" is a list of all the offers each party has received. But the "offer_accepts" is the list of parties that have accepted each offer. For P9, the acceptances are [4, 2], which are Ember (4) and Casey (2). Then, the current acceptances for P9 are two parties. But the minimum required is 5 parties (since there are 5 original parties, and the veto party Blake must accept). Wait, the "min_accept" is 5, so all five parties need to accept the same offer. But currently, P9 has only two acceptances. So Avery needs to decide whether to accept P9 or not. But Avery's own score for P9: Compensation is in-kind infrastructure (61), Build schedule is eighteen months (0), Location Anvil Ridge (35), Hiring union hall referral (25). Total is 61+0+35+25=121. Avery's threshold is 125, so 121 is below that. Therefore, Avery cannot accept P9 because it doesn't meet their threshold. But the problem is that if Avery doesn't accept, then P9 can't reach the required 5 acceptances. However, maybe there's another offer that Avery can accept. Let's check other offers. Looking at P1: Compensation annual community fund (91), Build schedule three years (67), Location Anvil Ridge (35), Hiring local hiring pact (75). Total is 91+67+35+75=268. That's way above the threshold. P1 has been accepted by Avery, Blake, Devon. So if Avery can accept P1, then P1 has three acceptances. But Blake is the veto party, so all parties must accept for it to close. Wait, the "accepted by" for P1 is [3,1,0], which are Devon (3), Blake (1), and Avery (0). So three parties. But to close, all five must accept. So P1 needs two more acceptances: Casey and Ember. Alternatively, P7: Compensation annual community fund (91), Build schedule phased over eight years (45), Location Anvil Ridge (35), Hiring apprenticeship programme (0). Total is 91+45+35+0=171, which is above threshold. P7 is accepted by Blake (1). So if Avery accepts P7, that's two acceptances. But again, need three more. But the current standing offer is P9. Since Avery can't accept P9 (score too low), maybe they should try to push for another offer. However, the user's turn is to act on P9. Since the user is Avery, and they can't accept P9, they might have to reject it. But if they reject, then P9 fails. Alternatively, maybe they can propose a new offer? Wait, no, the protocol says that in the final round, the action is to vote on P9. The user's turn is to act on P9. Since Avery can't accept P9, the best option is to reject it. But the user's action must be to either accept, reject, or walk. Since the user can't accept P9, they have to reject it. But the problem is that if they reject, then P9 doesn't pass, and maybe the deal falls through. But the user's threshold is 125, and P9 is 121, so rejecting is necessary. Therefore, the correct action is to reject P9. But wait, the user's message says that this is the final up/down
oracle regret: threshold=+143, acceptance=+81.8, bestresponse=+0

[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P9
oracle regret: threshold=+60, acceptance=+28.2, bestresponse=+0

[23] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P9
💬 P9 clears my bar. I accept to finalize the deal.
P9 meets my threshold and has strong support. Accepting it will push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[24] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P9
💬 P9 meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities. I accept to advance the deal.
Okay, let's see what's going on here. I'm Devon, and the final vote is on P9. The mediator says it's the last chance to vote on P9. Let me check the details of P9. P9 has Compensation: in-kind infrastructure (which I value at 42), Build schedule: eighteen months (0 points for me), Location: Anvil Ridge (38 points), Hiring: union hall referral (0). So my total is 42 + 0 + 38 + 0 = 80. My threshold is 69, so 80 is above that. The surplus is +11, which is good. Now, the current acceptances for P9 are Casey and Ember. The acceptances needed are 5 parties, including the veto party Blake. Wait, the min_accept is 5, and the veto_seats is [1], which is Blake. So Blake has to accept for the deal to pass. Looking at the offer_accepts for P9: [4, 2], which I think means Casey (seat 2) and Ember (seat 4) have accepted. Avery (seat 0) and Blake (seat 1) and others? Wait, the offer_accepts for P9 are [4, 2], so only Casey and Ember have accepted so far. But the current state shows that P9 is the standing offer. The other offers like P1 have Avery, Blake, Devon accepted. But Blake is a veto party. Wait, P1 has Avery (seat 0), Blake (seat 1), and Devon (seat 3) accepted. But Blake is a veto party, so if P1 has Blake's acceptance, then that would meet the veto requirement. However, the mediator's message says it's the final vote on P9. So maybe other offers are not being considered now. But the problem is that the current standing offer is P9. The question is, should I accept P9? Let me check my own points again. My total for P9 is 80, which meets my threshold. But the deal needs 5 acceptances, including Blake. Currently, P9 has Casey and Ember accepted. If I accept P9, that would be three acceptances (Casey, Ember, and me). Then, we need Blake and Avery to accept as well. But Avery might not be interested in P9. Wait, Avery's previous actions: they accepted P1, which has a different build schedule. But the current standing is P9. If I accept P9, maybe others can be persuaded. However, the deadline is round 4, and it's the final up/down vote. So I need to decide whether to accept or reject P9. Alternatively, maybe there's another offer that's better. But the mediator says this is the final vote on P9. So the options are to accept or reject. Since my score for P9 is 80 (above threshold), and I need to get enough acceptances. If I accept, then Casey, Ember, and me are in. Then, Blake and Avery need to accept. But Blake is a veto party. If Blake accepts, then the deal can pass. However, Blake might not accept P9. Alternatively, if I reject P9, maybe the deal falls through. But maybe there's a way to push for P1. However, the mediator says this is the final vote on P9. So I can't propose a new deal. So the only action is to accept or reject P9. Since my score is above threshold, and I want to move towards closure, I should accept P9. Even though Blake hasn't accepted yet, maybe he will. But the problem is that the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer. If I accept P9, and others also accept, then it can pass. But in the current state, the acceptances are Casey and Ember. If I accept, then that's three. If Avery and Blake also accept, then it meets the 5 required. But Blake is a veto party, so if he accepts, the deal passes. But since I'm Devon, and I have to make a move now. The mediator says this is the final up/down vote. So I need to decide whether to accept or reject. Since my score is acceptable, and I want to get the deal done, I'll accept P9. Wait, but the current acceptances for P9 are Casey and Ember. If I accept, that's three. Then, Avery and Blake need to accept. But if they don't, the deal fails. But maybe the other offers are not viable. Alternatively, maybe the system will automatically check if any other offers have enough acceptances. But according to the mediator's message, it's the final vote on P9. So I have to act. So,
oracle regret: threshold=+82, acceptance=+82, bestresponse=+0

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]