scorable_negotiation-moves

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-9a1b1c0960 · seed 0 · status done ·

{"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Location", "Power supply", "Compensation", "Build schedule"], "option_labels": [["Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats"], ["solar with storage", "grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "shared substation"], ["one-off site payment", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement", "annual community fund"], ["eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "five years", "three years"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "in-kind infrastructure", "Build schedule": "five years"}

💬 Proposing Anvil Ridge site with in-kind compensation, five-year build, and shared substation power.

Maximizing my points: Anvil Ridge (41) + in-kind infrastructure (65) + five-year schedule (44) = 150. Power supply neutral choice.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.45

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1

💬 P1 meets my requirements. I accept this offer.

P1 scores 187, above my threshold. Accepting now ensures the deal can proceed if others agree.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1

💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept.

P1 scores 91, meeting my threshold. Accepting to secure progress.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+31.7, bestresponse=+0

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "five years"}

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P2

💬 I accept P2. It meets my threshold and aligns with necessary infrastructure.

P2 scores 97 (above threshold). Accepting it could push the deal forward.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "three years"}

💬 I propose a stronger package with Anvil Ridge, grid tie-in power, and a 3-year schedule to maximize value.

P1 is already accepted by 3 parties, but I can propose a better deal. Anvil Ridge (94) + grid tie-in (97) + 0 compensation + 3-year schedule (9) = 200, which exceeds my threshold. This would be better than P1's 187.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.5, bestresponse=+0.35

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}

💬 I'll adjust P2's location to Dunlow Yard (my top choice) and keep shared substation power for infrastructure alignment.

P1 scores 91 (threshold 89) and has 3 acceptances. Need Devon and Ember to accept. P2 scores 146 but only 2 acceptances. Proposing a hybrid to attract more.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+23.3, bestresponse=+1.2

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "five years"}

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+46.4, bestresponse=+3

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2

💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll support it to reach quorum.

P2 and P5 score 97, above my threshold. Need to push for acceptance. P2 has two acceptances; P5 has one. P2's location aligns with my top choice. I'll support P2 to meet quorum.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1

💬 P1 meets my threshold. I'll accept to push quorum.

P1 has 3 accepts (Avery, Blake, Casey). Need 2 more (Devon, Ember). P4 has 1 accept (Casey). P3 has 1 (Blake). P2 and P5 are below threshold. Accepting P1 is best path.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}

💬 I'll strengthen P5 by aligning with my top preferences to secure necessary acceptances.

P1 scores 91 (threshold 89) and has 3 acceptances. P5 scores 163 and has 1 acceptance. Proposing P5 with adjustments to secure quorum.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+40.3, bestresponse=+1.2

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "five years"}

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+46.4, bestresponse=+3

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P7

💬 P7 aligns with my priorities. I accept to push toward quorum.

P7 meets my threshold (97 points). Accepting it would bring total acceptances to 2 (Devon + me). Need 5 for quorum. Blake's acceptance is critical.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1

Okay, let's see. I'm Avery, and I need to decide what to do on my turn. The current situation is that there are several offers on the table. Let me check the details of each offer and how they align with my scores. First, my acceptance threshold is 80 points. The offers that have been accepted so far are P1, P2, P3, P4, P5, P6, P7. But I need to see which of these meet or exceed my threshold. Looking at P1: Location Anvil Ridge (41), Power supply shared substation (0), Compensation in-kind infrastructure (65), Build schedule five years (44). Total is 41+0+65+44 = 150. That's way above my threshold of 80. It's accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. P4: Location Dunlow Yard (0), Power supply shared substation (0), Compensation annual community fund (44), Build schedule five years (44). Total is 0+0+44+44 = 88. That meets my threshold. Accepted by Casey. P6: Location Dunlow Yard (0), Power supply on-site turbines (0), Compensation annual community fund (44), Build schedule five years (44). Same as P4, total 88. Accepted by Casey. P7: Location Dunlow Yard (0), Power supply on-site turbines (0), Compensation rates abatement (0), Build schedule five years (44). Total is 44, which is below my threshold. So I can't accept that. Other offers like P2, P3, P5 have totals below 80. So the viable options are P1, P4, P6. Now, the goal is to get a deal that meets my threshold and gets enough acceptances. The current acceptances for P1 are Avery, Blake, Casey. If I accept P1, then Blake and Casey are already on board. But the quorum requires at least 5 parties (since Blake is a veto party). Wait, the original parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So to close the deal, all five must accept the same offer. Looking at P1: currently accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. So if I accept P1, then we need Devon and Ember to accept. But Devon and Ember might have their own preferences. Alternatively, P4 and P6 are accepted by Casey. If I can get others to accept those. But P4 and P6 have 88 points each, which meets my threshold. Let me check the current acceptances. P4 is accepted by Casey. P6 is accepted by Casey. But I need to see if other parties might accept. But since it's my turn, I need to decide whether to accept an existing offer or propose a new one. Looking at the current offers, P1 is the only one that has three acceptances. If I accept P1, then the deal would have Avery, Blake, Casey, and if I accept, that's four. Then we need Devon and Ember to accept. But if I accept P1, maybe others will follow. Alternatively, I could propose a new offer that combines elements that might be more appealing to others. Let me think about my own preferences. My top location is Anvil Ridge (41 points), then Weir Flats (14), then Kestrel Park (28), and Dunlow Yard (0). So I prefer Anvil Ridge. My compensation is highest for in-kind infrastructure (65), then annual community fund (44), then one-off site payment (22), then rates abatement (0). So I prefer in-kind. Power supply options are all zero for me, so I don't care as long as it's feasible. Build schedule: five years (44) is best, then eighteen months (29), three years (15), phased over eight years (0). So five years is best. So P1 has Anvil Ridge, shared substation, in-kind, five years. That's exactly my preferences. If I accept P1, then maybe others will accept. But Devon and Ember are still not on board. Looking at the current acceptances, P1 has Avery, Blake, Casey. If I accept P1, that's four parties. Then I need Devon and Ember to accept. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new offer that's similar to P1 but adjust something to get more acceptances. But I need to check what others might prefer. Casey is the only one who accepted P4 and P6. Maybe Casey is pushing for Dunlow Yard. But I prefer Anvil Ridge. Devon's last proposal was P5, which is Dunlow Yard

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1

💬 I accept P1 to meet my threshold and push for quorum.

P1 meets my threshold with 187 points. It's accepted by Avery, Blake, and Casey. Need two more acceptances. P3 is better (200) but only Blake has accepted. Push for P1 to close quorum.

oracle regret: threshold=+13, acceptance=+13, bestresponse=+0

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "rates abatement", "Build schedule": "five years"}

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+46.4, bestresponse=+3

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P7

Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, I'm Ember, and it's my turn in the fourth round. The goal is to get a deal that meets my acceptance threshold of 53 points. Let me check the current live offers. Looking at the offers listed, P1 has a total of 41 points for me, which is below my threshold. So I shouldn't accept that. P2, P4, P5, P6, P7, and P8 all have 97 points, which is way above my threshold. But I need to see which of these offers can get enough acceptances to reach quorum. The quorum requires at least 5 of the original 5 parties to accept the same offer. Let's check the current acceptances. P1 is accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. That's three parties. P2 is accepted by Devon and me. P4 by Casey. P5 by Devon. P6 by Casey. P7 by Devon and me. P8 by Devon. So, for P7, which has 97 points, the acceptances are Devon and me. That's two. If I can get others to accept, maybe Avery or Casey? But Avery already accepted P1. Wait, but they can accept multiple offers? Wait, no. Once a party accepts an offer, they can't accept another? Or can they? Wait, the rules say that a deal closes when at least 5 parties have accepted the same offer. So, if a party has already accepted another offer, they can still accept another one? Or do they have to choose one? Wait, looking back, when Avery accepted P1, they might still accept another offer. But in the current state, the offers are P1 to P8. Let me check the "offer_accepts" field. For P1: [2, 1, 0] — that's Blake, Avery, Casey? Wait, the numbers might correspond to the parties. But the exact mapping isn't clear. However, the key is that P7 is accepted by Devon and me. So if I can get others to accept P7, that would help. But the problem is that the current standing offer is P8. Wait, the mediator says the standing offer is P8. Wait, the negotiation_state shows "standing": "P8". So maybe the last proposed offer is P8. But the user's last action was Devon proposing P8. Wait, the last message from Devon was proposing P8. But in the live offers, P8 is listed with acceptances from Devon. But for me, since my threshold is 53, and P7 and P8 have 97 points, which is above, I need to see if I can get others to accept. Let me check the parties. Casey has accepted P4 (which is Dunlow Yard, shared substation, annual community fund, five years). But P4 has 97 points. So if Casey is already on P4, but maybe they can switch. But the problem is that the deal closes when the same offer is accepted by 5 parties. So if P4 has Casey as an acceptor, but others need to accept it too. Alternatively, maybe I should focus on P7 or P8. Since P7 is already accepted by Devon and me. If I can get Avery, Blake, or Casey to accept P7, that would reach 4 (Devon, me, plus two others). But Blake has already accepted P1. But Blake is a veto party. Wait, no, Blake is a veto party, but they can accept offers. Wait, Blake is the veto party, but the deal can't pass without their acceptance. Wait, the rule says that no deal passes without the veto party accepting. But Blake has already accepted P1. But P1 is not meeting my threshold. However, the deal needs to have all veto parties (Blake) accept. But if Blake is on P1, and others are on P7, that's not helpful. Wait, the current standing offer is P8, which has been accepted by Devon. So maybe I should try to get others to accept P8. But how? Alternatively, perhaps I should accept P7 and try to get others to accept it. Let me check the current acceptances for P7: accepted by Devon and me. So two parties. If I can get Avery, Blake, or Casey to accept P7, then it would meet the quorum. But Avery has already accepted P1. But maybe they can accept P7 as well? Wait, the rules don't say that a party can only accept one offer. So, if Avery is on P1, they can also accept P7. But if they do, then P7 would have three acceptances (Devon, me, Avery). Then Blake and Casey would need

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1

💬 I propose to finalize P1 to meet my threshold and secure the deal.

P1 meets my threshold and has three acceptances. Need Devon and Ember to accept to close the deal.

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1

💬 I accept P1 to meet my threshold and push for quorum.

P1 meets my threshold with 187 points. Three acceptances needed for quorum. I need to secure two more votes.

oracle regret: threshold=+13, acceptance=+13, bestresponse=+0

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1

💬 I accept P1 to reach quorum and finalize the deal.

P1 meets my threshold (91 points) and has three acceptances. Accepting it will push quorum. Need Devon and Ember to join.

oracle regret: threshold=+72, acceptance=+72, bestresponse=+0

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "shared substation", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}

Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the situation is that we're at the final stage of negotiations. The mediator has given me a deadline, and I need to make my final move. The options are either to table one last proposal for an up/down vote or walk away. Looking at the live offers on the table, there are several offers, but the key ones for me are P2, P4, P5, P6, P7, and P8. Let me check the scores for each of these from my perspective as Ember. From the data provided, my scores are: - Location: Dunlow Yard is worth 56 points. - Power supply: All options except shared substation are 0. Wait, no, the power supply options for the offers: P2, P4, P5, P6, P7, P8 all have on-site turbines or shared substation. Wait, no. Wait, looking back, the user's private info says that for Power supply, all options are 0 except shared substation? Wait no, the user's secret score sheet says for Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0. Wait, that can't be right. Wait, the user's score sheet for Power supply is all zeros? Wait, no. Wait the user's private score sheet says: Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0. Wait, that's all zeros? That seems odd. But according to the user's private info, all power supply options are worth 0 to me. But then, looking at the offers, for example, P2 has shared substation power. But according to my score sheet, shared substation is 0. So that's a problem. Wait, maybe I misread. Wait, the user's secret score sheet says for Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0. So all power supply options are worth 0 points. That's strange. But that's the info I have. So for any power supply option, I get 0 points. But then, looking at the offers, for example, P2 has shared substation, which is 0. So that's not helpful. But then, looking at the other issues. For Location, Dunlow Yard is worth 56, which is high. For Build schedule, five years is worth 41. So if an offer has Location=Dunlow Yard and Build schedule=five years, that would be 56 + 41 = 97 points. But the Power supply and Compensation would add 0. Looking at the offers: P2: Location=Dunlow Yard (56), Power supply=shared substation (0), Compensation=rates abatement (0), Build schedule=five years (41). Total is 56+0+0+41=97. Accepted by Devon and Ember. P4: Location=Dunlow Yard (56), Power supply=shared substation (0), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (41). Total same as P2, 97. Accepted by Casey. P5: Location=Dunlow Yard (56), Power supply=on-site turbines (0), Compensation=rates abatement (0), Build schedule=five years (41). Total 97. Accepted by Devon. P6: Location=Dunlow Yard (56), Power supply=on-site turbines (0), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (41). Total 97. Accepted by Casey. P7: Same as P5, accepted by Devon and Ember. P8: Same as P5, accepted by Devon. So all these offers have 97 points, which is above my threshold of 53. So they are all acceptable for me. Now, the problem is that the deal needs to be accepted by at least 5 parties, including the veto party (Blake). Let me check the current acceptances. Looking at the offers: P1: Accepted by Avery, Blake, Casey. That's three parties. But Blake is the veto party, so if P1 is accepted by Blake, then it's okay. But the other parties are Avery, Casey. So total of three. But we need five. P2: Accepted by Devon and Ember. Two parties. P4: Accepted by Casey. One party. P5: Accepted by Devon. One party. P6: Accepted by Casey. One party. P7: Accepted by Devon and Ember. Two parties. P8: Accepted by Devon. One party. So the only offers with multiple accept

oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+2.2

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P9

💬 P9 meets my threshold. I accept to push quorum.

Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the situation is that we're in the final round of negotiations for building the data center at Northgate. The current standing offer is P9, and it's my turn as Avery. The mediator has given me the negotiation state, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk away from P9. First, I need to check the details of P9. According to the information provided, P9 has the following options: Location is Dunlow Yard (which I value at 0 points), Power supply is shared substation (0 points), Compensation is annual community fund (44 points), and Build schedule is five years (44 points). Adding those up, my total score for P9 is 0 + 0 + 44 + 44 = 88 points. My acceptance threshold is 80, so 88 is above that, which means it meets my minimum requirement. Now, looking at the acceptance status of P9: it's currently accepted by Ember (seat 4) and Casey (seat 2). The required number of acceptances is 5, including the veto party Blake. Wait, Blake is the veto party, and the rules state that no deal can pass without Blake's acceptance. But in the current state, Blake hasn't accepted P9. Let me check the offer_accepts for P9: it's listed as [4, 3], which I think means Ember (seat 4) and Devon (seat 3) have accepted. Wait, but the initial list of accepted parties for P9 says "accepted by: Ember". Hmm, maybe there's a discrepancy here. Let me recheck. Looking at the "offer_accepts" field for P9: it's [4, 3], which probably corresponds to seats 4 (Ember) and 3 (Devon). But the initial description said "accepted by: Ember". Maybe that's an error or maybe Devon also accepted. Either way, Blake hasn't accepted P9 yet. Since Blake is the veto party, the deal can't pass unless Blake accepts. However, the current offer_accepts for P9 might not include Blake. Wait, the "must_vote" flag is set to true, which probably means that the current round is the final vote, and all remaining parties need to act. The current state shows that the standing offer is P9, and it's my turn. The other parties have already accepted or rejected some offers. But since Blake is the veto party, even if all other parties accept P9, Blake's acceptance is required. However, looking at the "offer_accepts" for P9, it's only accepted by Ember and Devon. Blake hasn't accepted yet. So, for the deal to pass, Blake must accept P9. But Blake is the one who has a veto, so if Blake doesn't accept, the deal can't go through. Wait, but in the previous steps, Blake accepted P1. But P1 is a different offer. However, the current standing offer is P9. So, Blake needs to accept P9 for it to pass. But in the current state, Blake hasn't accepted P9. So, my options are: either accept P9, which would add my acceptance, but Blake still needs to accept. But since Blake is the veto party, even if I accept, if Blake doesn't, the deal fails. Alternatively, maybe I can try to get Blake to accept P9. But since I can't communicate directly with Blake, maybe I can accept P9, and if Blake doesn't accept, the deal fails. Alternatively, maybe I should reject P9 and propose a new offer. But the mediator says this is the final up/down vote on P9. So, the only options are to accept or reject P9. Wait, the user's message says "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P9." So, the current round is the last chance to accept or reject P9. Since I'm Avery, and the current standing offer is P9, and I have to act. My score for P9 is 88, which meets my threshold. If I accept P9, then the current acceptances are Ember, Devon, and me. But Blake hasn't accepted. So, even with my acceptance, there are only three acceptances. The required quorum is 5 parties (since there are 5 parties). However, Blake is the veto party, so the deal needs all 5 parties, including Blake. So, even if I accept, Blake's acceptance is still needed. But if Blake hasn't accepted P9, then the deal can't pass. So, perhaps the only way for the deal to pass is for Blake to accept P9. But since I can't force Blake's hand, and this is the final vote, I have to

oracle regret: threshold=+62, acceptance=+62, bestresponse=+0

[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

WALK

💬 P9 doesn't meet my requirements. I'm walking to protect my threshold.

P9 scores 93, below my threshold. Cannot accept. Rejecting P9 and walking to preserve my threshold.

oracle regret: threshold=+82, acceptance=+29.5, bestresponse=+6.65

Outcome

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]

scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-7d3d13bf11

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

Outcome

scorable_negotiation `scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-7d3d13bf11`