scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-865a1e84d3
model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L0-34733a57e6 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Site access", "Hiring", "Location", "Power supply"], "option_labels": [["existing haul route", "rail siding", "widened lane", "new spur road"], ["local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "open recruitment", "union hall referral"], ["Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge"], ["grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "shared substation", "solar with storage"]], "party_roles": ["Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Site access (existing haul route, rail siding, widened lane, new spur road); Hiring (local hiring pact, apprenticeship programme, open recruitment, union hall referral); Location (Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats, Kestrel Park, Anvil Ridge); Power supply (grid tie-in, on-site turbines, shared substation, solar with storage)
- Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority) (τ=44): Site access: existing haul route=0, rail siding=0, widened lane=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=15, open recruitment=44, union hall referral=29; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=22, on-site turbines=45, shared substation=0, solar with storage=67
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=81): Site access: existing haul route=0, rail siding=0, widened lane=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=15, open recruitment=44, union hall referral=29; Location: Dunlow Yard=19, Weir Flats=57, Kestrel Park=38, Anvil Ridge=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=66, on-site turbines=33, shared substation=99, solar with storage=0
- Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites) (τ=50): Site access: existing haul route=52, rail siding=17, widened lane=0, new spur road=35; Hiring: local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=8, open recruitment=24, union hall referral=16; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=15, on-site turbines=30, shared substation=0, solar with storage=45
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=60): Site access: existing haul route=0, rail siding=0, widened lane=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=14, open recruitment=41, union hall referral=27; Location: Dunlow Yard=32, Weir Flats=16, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=48; Power supply: grid tie-in=18, on-site turbines=36, shared substation=0, solar with storage=54
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=69): Site access: existing haul route=14, rail siding=0, widened lane=43, new spur road=29; Hiring: local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=18, open recruitment=55, union hall referral=37; Location: Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=0, Kestrel Park=0, Anvil Ridge=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=46, on-site turbines=23, shared substation=69, solar with storage=0
Turns
[0] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Location": "Weir Flats", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 Proposing a deal with open recruitment, Weir Flats location, and shared substation power supply to exceed my threshold.
Maximizing my points: Hiring=open recruitment (44) + Location=Weir Flats (57) + Power=shared substation (99) = 200. Site access irrelevant (0). Threshold 81 met.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1
[1] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Location": "Weir Flats", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[2] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll accept it, but Blake must also accept for the deal to pass.
P2 scores 111, above my threshold. Blake's veto is critical. Need to secure his acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[3] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to meet my threshold, but Blake must still accept for the deal to pass.
P2 meets my threshold, but Blake's veto is needed. Accepting P2 adds my support, but without Blake's acceptance, the deal fails. Proposing a new deal with shared substation and other high-value options could push toward consensus.
oracle regret: threshold=+69, acceptance=+69, bestresponse=+0
[4] Avery — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept it to push for final agreement.
P2 scores 111 for me, meets threshold. Need Blake to accept. If I accept P2, it gets 4/5 acceptances. Blake must accept for deal to pass.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[5] Casey — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Location": "Weir Flats", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+36.1, bestresponse=+0
[6] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 is viable. I'll continue supporting it until Blake accepts.
P2 meets my threshold. Blake's acceptance is the only missing piece. I'll keep supporting P2 to push for final agreement.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[7] Ember — turn (round 2)
none
💬 P2 meets my threshold, but Blake's acceptance is still required. I'll wait for their decision.
P2 meets my threshold (69) but needs Blake's acceptance. Since Blake is the veto party, the deal can't pass without them. I've already accepted P2, but Blake's acceptance is pending. No need to propose a new deal; wait for Blake to accept P2.
[8] Avery — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 scores 111 for me. I accept to finalize the deal with Blake's approval.
P2 meets my threshold. Accepting it pushes for final agreement with Blake.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[9] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let's break this down. I'm Blake, and my threshold is 81 points. The current offers are P1, P2, and P3. Let me check each one.
P1 has Power supply as shared substation, which is worth 99 points to me. The other options: Site access is existing haul route (0), Hiring is open recruitment (44), Location Weir Flats (57). Total is 0+44+57+99 = 200. That's way above my threshold. But P1 is only accepted by Blake. I need at least 5 parties, including myself. The others have accepted P2 and P3.
P2 has solar with storage for power, which is 0 points. So my total there is 0+44+57+0 = 101. That's above 81. But P2 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if I accept P2, that's 5 parties (including me), which meets the quorum. But wait, the mediator said that the deal closes when all other active parties accept the same offer. Since P2 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember) and I'm Blake, if I accept P2, that would make 5, right? But the current status shows P2 is accepted by 4, and I need to accept it. But the problem is, the other parties have already accepted P2. So if I accept P2, the deal would pass. But why hasn't it passed yet? Maybe because the mediator hasn't confirmed. Wait, the rules say a deal closes when every other active party has accepted the same offer. So if P2 has 4 acceptances (excluding me), and I accept it, then all 5 are in, so it closes.
But looking at the current state, the offers are P1, P2, P3. P1 is only accepted by Blake. P2 is accepted by Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember. So if I accept P2, that's 5 parties, so the deal would pass. However, the problem is that the user's previous actions show that Casey proposed P2 and P3, and others accepted. But the mediator's state shows that P2 is accepted by 4 (Avery, Casey, Devon, Ember). So if I accept P2, then it's 5, and the deal closes. But why isn't it closed yet? Maybe because the mediator hasn't processed the acceptances. But according to the rules, the deal closes when all parties accept the same offer. So if I accept P2, then it's done.
Alternatively, maybe I should check if there's a better option. P1 is already accepted by Blake, but others haven't accepted it. So if I propose P1, but others need to accept. But P1's power supply is shared substation, which is high value for me. But others might not like it. However, the current state shows that P1 is only accepted by Blake. So unless others accept it, it can't pass. But since the other parties have already accepted P2, maybe they prefer that.
But since my threshold is 81, and P2 gives me 101, which is above, I should accept P2. But the problem is that the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer. So if I accept P2, then the deal is done. But why hasn't it been closed yet? Maybe because the mediator is waiting for my acceptance. So the correct action here is to accept P2, which would make the deal pass. Therefore, I should accept P2 now.
oracle regret: threshold=+99, acceptance=+99, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
deal: {"Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "open recruitment", "Location": "Weir Flats", "Power supply": "solar with storage"} (closed by consensus)
primary 1.0 · USW 209.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.3617 · per-party surplus [67.0, 20.0, 71.0, 51.0, 0.0]