scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-a1de60bc37
model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L2-103cef6017 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Cooling", "Site access", "Hiring", "Power supply"], "option_labels": [["air cooling", "closed-loop plant", "reclaimed water", "river draw"], ["rail siding", "widened lane", "existing haul route", "new spur road"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "solar with storage", "on-site turbines"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Cooling (air cooling, closed-loop plant, reclaimed water, river draw); Site access (rail siding, widened lane, existing haul route, new spur road); Hiring (open recruitment, local hiring pact, apprenticeship programme, union hall referral); Power supply (grid tie-in, shared substation, solar with storage, on-site turbines)
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=45): Cooling: air cooling=11, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=33, river draw=22; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=38, shared substation=0, solar with storage=19, on-site turbines=58
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=88): Cooling: air cooling=13, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=38, river draw=25; Site access: rail siding=18, widened lane=54, existing haul route=0, new spur road=36; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=28, shared substation=85, solar with storage=57, on-site turbines=0
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=93): Cooling: air cooling=15, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=44, river draw=30; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=19, local hiring pact=58, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=39; Power supply: grid tie-in=28, shared substation=83, solar with storage=56, on-site turbines=0
- Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels) (τ=91): Cooling: air cooling=15, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=45, river draw=30; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=28, existing haul route=85, new spur road=57; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=0, apprenticeship programme=0, union hall referral=0; Power supply: grid tie-in=18, shared substation=53, solar with storage=35, on-site turbines=0
- Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority) (τ=86): Cooling: air cooling=16, closed-loop plant=0, reclaimed water=48, river draw=32; Site access: rail siding=0, widened lane=0, existing haul route=0, new spur road=0; Hiring: open recruitment=0, local hiring pact=63, apprenticeship programme=42, union hall referral=21; Power supply: grid tie-in=41, shared substation=0, solar with storage=21, on-site turbines=62
Turns
[0] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "apprenticeship programme", "Power supply": "on-site turbines"}
💬 Proposing a deal with reclaimed water cooling and on-site turbines for power. These options maximize my score while meeting my threshold.
Maximizing my points: Cooling=reclaimed water (33), Power=on-site turbines (58). Other issues have 0, but must choose. Total 91 > 45 threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[1] Blake — turn (round 1)
REJECT P1
💬 P1 doesn't meet my threshold. I'll reject and propose a revised deal.
P1 scores 38, below my threshold. Must reject and push for better options.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[2] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.25
[3] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2. Let's secure Blake's acceptance.
P2 scores 183 for me. Blake rejected P1 but may prefer different power supply. Switching to shared substation (53) is best for me. Need Blake's acceptance; P2 is viable if others accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to strengthen the deal, but we need Blake's approval. Let's adjust the package to better align with his priorities.
P2 scores 111 (above threshold). Blake's veto is blocking. Accepting P2 adds my support, but not enough. Need to push Blake. Propose a modified deal with higher-value options for him.
oracle regret: threshold=+41, acceptance=+41, bestresponse=+0
[5] Blake — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I propose a revised deal with widened lane for Site access, boosting my score to 177. Let's finalize this package.
P2 scores 123 (38+85), but Site access is 0. Switching Site access to widened lane (54) boosts total to 177. This meets my threshold and improves the deal. I'll propose this revised offer.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[6] Casey — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P3
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[7] Devon — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I'll table P4: reclaimed water cooling, existing haul route, local hiring pact, shared substation. This meets my threshold and addresses Blake's priorities.
P2 scores 183 (above threshold) but needs Blake's acceptance. P3 has Blake's support but lower score. Proposing a revised P4 with existing haul route (my top choice) and shared substation (Blake's likely priority) to secure his nod.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+47.3, bestresponse=+3.7
[8] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2 but need Avery's acceptance to finalize. Let's secure it.
P4 has 111 points, which meets my threshold. I need to ensure Blake accepts to close the deal. However, P2 and P3 are also viable. Since P3 includes widened lane (worth 0 to me) but Blake accepts it, maybe adjusting the package to include his priority could help. Alternatively, push for P2 with Avery's acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+41, acceptance=+41, bestresponse=+0
[9] Avery — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "on-site turbines"}
💬 I'll propose a revised deal that includes reclaimed water cooling and on-site turbines to meet my threshold while addressing Blake's priorities.
P1 meets my threshold but needs Blake's acceptance. P2-P4 are below my threshold. Blake's acceptance is critical. I need to secure his support by adjusting the package.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+18.4, bestresponse=+0.35
[10] Casey — turn (round 3)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+46.8, bestresponse=+3.25
[11] Devon — turn (round 3)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I propose P7: reclaimed water cooling, widened lane access, local hiring pact, shared substation. This meets my threshold and aligns with Blake's priorities.
P2 has 183 points (above threshold) but needs Blake's acceptance. Blake prefers widened lane. Proposing P7 with widened lane and shared substation to secure his vote.
oracle regret: threshold=+57, acceptance=+47.3, bestresponse=+3.7
[12] Ember — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P5
💬 I support P5's high score. Let's secure Blake's acceptance.
P5 scores 173 for me, meets threshold. Needs Blake's acceptance. P2 has 111, but Blake hasn't accepted. Proposing P5 with my support could push it toward closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[13] Avery — turn (round 3)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "on-site turbines"}
💬 I propose P8: reclaimed water cooling, widened lane access, local hiring pact, on-site turbines. This meets my threshold and addresses Blake's priorities.
P5 has 91 points, above my threshold. Need Blake's acceptance. Blake prefers widened lane (P3/P7). Keep reclaimed water and on-site turbines to meet my score, but adjust Site access to widened lane to align with Blake's priority.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+18.4, bestresponse=+0.35
[14] Blake — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P3
💬 I accept P3 to meet my threshold and help finalize the deal.
P3 and P7 offer 177 points, meeting my threshold. I'll accept P3 to push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[15] Devon — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2. Let's secure Blake's acceptance to finalize the deal.
P2 scores 183 (above threshold), accepted by Casey, Devon, Ember. Need Blake's acceptance to close. Proposing P2 to secure support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[16] Ember — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P3
💬 I'll accept P3 to meet Blake's priorities and ensure the veto is secured.
P5 and P8 score high for me, but Blake's acceptance is needed. P3 has Blake's support but lower scores. Need to secure a deal with Blake's acceptance and sufficient support.
oracle regret: threshold=+62, acceptance=+62, bestresponse=+0
[17] Avery — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P5
💬 I accept P5 to meet my threshold and support finalizing the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Avery, and I need to decide my next move. The current round is the fourth and last one. The mediator has listed all the live offers, and I need to check which ones are still active.
Looking at the offers, P1, P2, P3, P4, P5, P6, P7, P8 are all there. But I need to see which ones have enough acceptances. The key here is that a deal closes when at least 5 parties (including the veto party Blake) accept the same offer.
Blake is the veto party, so his acceptance is crucial. Let's check each offer's acceptances.
P1 is accepted by Avery only. That's just one, so not enough. P2 has Casey, Devon, Ember. That's three. P3 has Blake, Casey, Ember. Three again. P4 is only Devon. P5 has Avery and Ember. P6 is Casey. P7 is Devon. P8 is Avery.
So none of the offers have reached the 5 acceptances needed. But wait, the current round is the last one, so I need to act now. My options are to either accept an existing offer, reject it, or propose a new one.
But looking at the offers, the ones that have higher scores for me are P1, P5, and P8. P1 has cooling as reclaimed water (33 points) and power supply as on-site turbines (58), totaling 91, which is above my threshold of 45. However, P1 is only accepted by Avery. Similarly, P5 and P8 also have high scores but need more acceptances.
Wait, the problem is that the other parties might not have accepted these offers yet. For example, P5 is accepted by Avery and Ember. If I can get others to accept P5 or P8, that could work. But since it's the last round, I need to act quickly.
Alternatively, maybe I can accept an offer that's close to being accepted. For example, P3 has Blake, Casey, Ember. If I accept P3, that would make it four acceptances (Blake, Casey, Ember, Avery). But then Devon hasn't accepted it. However, if I accept P3, and Devon is still active, maybe they can accept it. But since it's the last round, maybe I should push for an offer that's already close.
Wait, the current offers that have three acceptances are P2, P3. If I can get two more acceptances, they could reach the required five. But with only one turn left, I need to decide which offer to support.
Looking at my own points, P3's cooling is reclaimed water (33) and power supply is shared substation (0). That totals 33, which is below my threshold. So I can't accept that. Similarly, P2 has the same. P5 and P8 have higher scores.
But if I accept P5, which has cooling=reclaimed water (33), site access=widened lane (0), hiring=local pact (0), power=on-site turbines (58). Total is 91. That's above my threshold. But P5 is accepted by Avery and Ember. If I accept it, that's three acceptances. Then, Blake, Casey, Devon need to accept. But Blake has already accepted P3. Wait, no, Blake accepted P3.
Wait, looking back at the previous moves, Blake accepted P3. So if I accept P5, which is a different offer, that might not help. Alternatively, if I accept P8, which is similar to P5.
Wait, the current live offers include P5 and P8. Let me check their acceptances. P5 is accepted by Avery and Ember. P8 is accepted by Avery. So if I accept P5, that would bring it to three acceptances (Avery, Ember, and me). Then, if Blake or others accept, it could reach five. But since this is the last round, maybe I should accept an offer that's already close.
Alternatively, maybe I should propose a new offer that combines the best options for me and others. But since it's the last round, maybe the best option is to accept an existing offer that's close to getting enough acceptances.
Wait, the problem is that Blake is the veto party. If he hasn't accepted an offer, it can't pass. So if I can get Blake to accept an offer, that would help. But Blake has already accepted P3.
Alternatively, maybe P3 is the one that Blake has accepted, and others are trying to get it to pass. But P3's score for me is 33, which is below my threshold. So I can't accept that.
So, given
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[18] Blake — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P3
💬 I accept P3 to meet my threshold and push for closure.
P3 has 177 points, meets my threshold. Accepted by Casey, Ember, and me. Need Avery and Devon. P8 has 92, accepted by Avery and Ember. If I accept P3, we need Avery and Devon. P2 has 123, accepted by Casey, Devon, Ember. If I accept P2, need Avery. P7 is similar to P3 but only Devon accepts. Best to accept P3 to secure my threshold and push for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[19] Casey — turn (round 4)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+46.8, bestresponse=+3.25
[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)
PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "on-site turbines"}
Okay, let's see. I'm Ember, and I need to make my final move. The rounds are over, and there's no agreement yet. The mediator is giving me a chance to either propose one last deal or walk. Let me check the live offers on the table.
Looking at the offers, P5 and P8 have higher scores for me. P5 gives me 173 points, which is way above my threshold of 86. But the acceptance status: P5 is accepted by Avery and me. P8 is accepted by Avery. But Blake hasn't accepted any of these yet. Wait, Blake is the veto party, so without his acceptance, the deal can't pass.
Looking at the current accepted offers, P2, P3, P5, etc., but they don't have Blake's acceptance. So even if I accept a deal, if Blake hasn't accepted, it's not enough. Let me check the offers again.
The user mentioned that Blake has accepted P3. Wait, in the previous messages, Blake accepted P3. So P3 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Ember. But Avery hasn't accepted P3. Wait, no, the live offers show P3 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Ember. But Avery hasn't accepted it. Wait, the acceptance list for P3 is [4,1,2], which corresponds to Blake (1?), maybe the indexes are different. Maybe I should focus on the current state.
Wait, the Mediator's message says the live offers include P5, which is accepted by Avery and Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted P5. So for a deal to pass, all parties must accept the same offer. Since Blake is a veto party, he needs to accept.
Looking at the current offers, P3 has Blake's acceptance. But P3's power supply is shared substation, which gives me 0 points. My score for P3 is 48 (cooling) + 0 (site access) + 63 (hiring) + 0 (power) = 111. That's above my threshold. But the problem is that Avery hasn't accepted P3. If I can get Avery to accept P3, then Blake, Casey, Devon, and me would have accepted it. Wait, Devon has accepted P2 and P4, but maybe not P3.
Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new deal that includes the options that have higher scores for me and get the necessary acceptances. Let me check my score sheet again. My highest points are for cooling: reclaimed water (48), hiring: local hiring pact (63), power supply: on-site turbines (62). Site access options are all 0 for me. So the best combination is reclaimed water cooling, local hiring pact, on-site turbines. But site access is a problem. Since all site access options are worth 0 to me, maybe I can push for the best combination of other options.
Looking at the existing offers, P5 has reclaimed water, widened lane (0), local hiring pact, on-site turbines. That gives me 48 + 0 +63 +62 = 173. But only Avery and I have accepted it. If I can get Blake to accept P5, then it would have Blake, Avery, and me. But what about Casey and Devon? They might not have accepted it.
Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new deal that combines the best options for me and try to get the necessary acceptances. Since I can't make a new proposal, the mediator says I can either propose one last deal or walk. So I need to make a final proposal.
Wait, the Mediator says I can table one last complete proposal for an immediate up/down vote. So I can propose a new deal. Let me check what options I can choose.
Cooling: reclaimed water (48), Site access: any (all 0), Hiring: local hiring pact (63), Power supply: on-site turbines (62). That's the best combination for me. So the deal would be Cooling: reclaimed water, Site access: any (maybe widened lane or existing haul route), Hiring: local hiring pact, Power supply: on-site turbines.
But which site access option? Since all are 0, maybe pick one that others might accept. If I choose widened lane, which Blake might prefer (since he accepted P3 with widened lane?), but in P3, the power supply was shared substation. Alternatively, if I pick widened lane for site access, and on-site turbines for power, that's the combination that gives me 173 points.
So the deal would be Cooling: reclaimed water, Site access: widened lane, Hiring: local hiring pact, Power supply: on-site turbines. Let me check if this is possible.
But I need to make sure that this deal can get the necessary
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+45.5, bestresponse=+2.3
[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)
ACCEPT P10
💬 P10 meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities. I accept.
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, the situation is that we're in the final round of negotiations for building the data center at Northgate. The main issue is that there are several offers on the table, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or propose a new deal.
First, let me recall my own preferences and thresholds. As Avery, my score sheet is crucial here. My acceptance threshold is 45 points. Let me check the current offers, especially P10, which is the standing offer.
Looking at the details provided, P10 has Cooling: reclaimed water (which is worth 33 points to me), Site access: widened lane (0 points), Hiring: local hiring pact (0 points), Power supply: on-site turbines (58 points). Adding those up: 33 + 0 + 0 + 58 = 91 points. That's well above my threshold of 45, so it's a good deal for me.
Now, the current state of the offers: P10 is the one being voted on. The negotiation state shows that P10 has been accepted by Ember (seat 4). The other acceptances are: Avery (seat 0), and others. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P10 is [4], which is Ember. But the "received" array shows that Avery has a score of [2, 1, 1, 3], which might be the scores from other parties. Wait, maybe I need to focus on the acceptance counts.
The key point is that Blake is the veto party. For a deal to pass, all veto parties (Blake) must accept. Let me check which offers have Blake's acceptance. Looking at the "offer_accepts" entries, P3 has Blake (seat 1) as an acceptor. But P10's acceptors are only Ember (seat 4) so far. Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P10 is [4], meaning only Ember has accepted it. But Blake hasn't accepted yet.
But the user message says that this is the FINAL up/down vote on P10. So, the current standing offer is P10, and it's the last chance to decide. The question is, do I accept P10, or propose something else?
Wait, the "must_vote" is true, so I need to take an action. Let me check the current state of acceptances. The "offer_accepts" for P10 is [4], which is Ember. The other parties: Avery has accepted P10? Wait, the "received_by_opponent" shows that for seat 0 (Avery), the received offers include [2, 2, 1, 1], [2, 2, 1, 1], [2, 2, 1, 1]. Wait, maybe that's not directly relevant.
But Blake hasn't accepted P10 yet. So, for P10 to pass, Blake needs to accept. However, the current round is the final one, and the user is Avery, whose turn it is.
Wait, the Mediator's message says that this is the FINAL up/down vote on P10. So, the options are either accept P10, reject it, or propose a new deal. But since it's the final round, maybe the only options are to accept or reject P10.
But the rules say that a deal closes when at least 5 parties (including veto) accept the same offer. Currently, P10 has been accepted by Ember (seat 4) and Avery (seat 0)? Wait, the "offer_accepts" for P10 is [4], which is Ember. But the "received" array includes Avery's score. Maybe the "received" array is the scores that Avery has received from others.
Alternatively, perhaps the "offer_accepts" for P10 includes Avery? Let me check again. The "offer_accepts" for P10 is [4], which is Ember. So, only Ember has accepted it. But Avery is the one whose turn it is now.
Wait, the "my_offers" array for Avery is [[2, 2, 2, 3], [2, 1, 1, 3], [2, 1, 1, 3]], which might be the scores of the offers Avery has proposed. But perhaps that's not directly relevant.
Given that, if I accept P10, then it would add my acceptance. But Blake hasn't accepted it yet. However, Blake is the veto party, so even if others accept, without Blake's acceptance, the deal can't pass.
But the current standing offer is P10. The question is, can I accept P
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)
ACCEPT P10
💬 P10 meets my threshold. I accept to help finalize the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and the situation is that we're in the final round of negotiations. The mediator is giving me the chance to vote on P10. Let me check the details of P10.
Looking back, P10 has Cooling as reclaimed water, which is worth 38 points to me. Site access is widened lane, worth 54. Hiring is local hiring pact, which is 0. Power supply is on-site turbines, worth 0. So total is 38 + 54 = 92. My threshold is 88, so 92 is above that. The surplus is +4.
Now, the deal needs to be accepted by at least 5 parties, including the veto party (which is me). Let me check the current accepts for P10. The offer_accepts show P10 is accepted by Avery and Ember. So that's two parties. I need three more to reach the quorum of five.
Wait, the negotiation_state says that the current standing offer is P10, and the must_vote is true. So I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk. Since I have already accepted P3, which has a higher score (177) and is accepted by Blake, Casey, Ember, and others, but the problem is that the deal needs to be the same across all parties.
Wait, no. Each offer is a separate package. The current standing offer is P10. The other offers like P3 are still on the table. But the mediator is now focusing on P10.
Wait, the user's message says: "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P10." So the final decision is on P10. The other offers might have been rejected or are still active, but the current round is about P10.
So, my options are to accept or reject P10. Since I have already accepted P3, but that's a different offer. However, the deal closes only when a live offer is accepted by enough parties.
But the problem is that the current standing offer is P10, and I need to accept it. If I accept P10, then the total accepts would be Avery, Ember, and me. That's three. We need five. But the other parties (Casey, Devon) might have accepted other offers. Wait, looking at the offer_accepts for P10: it's accepted by Avery and Ember. If I accept, that's three. Then, if other parties accept, we can reach five. But the final vote is on P10.
Wait, the user's message says "This is the FINAL up/down vote on P10." So it's the last chance to accept or reject P10. If I accept, then the total accepts would be Avery, Ember, and me. But we need five. The other parties (Casey, Devon) might have accepted other offers, but they are not part of P10. So if I accept P10, and others accept, but since the deal has to be the same, the only way for the deal to close is if all parties accept the same offer.
Alternatively, maybe the other offers (like P3) are still active, and if I accept P3, that could be the deal. But the mediator is now focusing on P10.
But according to the negotiation_state, the standing offer is P10. So the final decision is on P10.
Since P10 meets my threshold (92 points), and I need to accept it to help reach the quorum. If I accept, then Avery and Ember are already in. Then, if Casey and Devon also accept, that's five. But if they don't, then the deal might not close. However, given that this is the final vote, and the other parties might be able to accept, I should accept P10.
Alternatively, if I reject P10, the deal might not close, leading to a no-deal. But since I have a veto, and the deal requires my acceptance, rejecting would mean no deal. So it's better to accept P10 and hope others accept.
Therefore, I should accept P10.
oracle regret: threshold=+85, acceptance=+85, bestresponse=+0
[23] Casey — final_vote (round 5)
ACCEPT P10
oracle regret: threshold=+83, acceptance=+83, bestresponse=+0
[24] Devon — final_vote (round 5)
WALK
💬 I cannot accept P10. It falls short of my threshold. I walk to protect my position.
P10 scores 73 (below threshold). Accepting it would fail. Better to walk and preserve my threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+92, acceptance=+47.3, bestresponse=+70.3
Outcome
no deal (no_deal)
primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]