scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-bdb74bd059

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L2-103cef6017 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Cooling", "Site access", "Hiring", "Power supply"], "option_labels": [["air cooling", "closed-loop plant", "reclaimed water", "river draw"], ["rail siding", "widened lane", "existing haul route", "new spur road"], ["open recruitment", "local hiring pact", "apprenticeship programme", "union hall referral"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "solar with storage", "on-site turbines"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Anvil Ridge Landholding (the owner of record of the candidate parcels)", "Northgate Borough Council (the elected local authority)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "union hall referral", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I propose a deal using reclaimed water cooling, widened lane access, shared substation power, and union hall hiring. This meets my threshold and ensures efficient resource use.
Reclaimed water (38) + widened lane (54) + shared substation (85) = 177. All above threshold. Hiring is irrelevant here.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35

[1] Casey — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1. It meets my requirements and clears the threshold.
P1 scores 166, well above my threshold. Accepting now ensures progress.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[2] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Hiring": "union hall referral", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 P1 meets my threshold, but I can improve Site access to existing haul route for higher value. Let me propose an updated package.
P1 scores 126, above my threshold. Accepting it ensures progress, but I can propose a better deal with existing haul route for higher value.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.7

[3] Ember — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.3

[4] Avery — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P3
💬 P3 meets my threshold. I accept to push for final agreement.
P3 scores 52 (above threshold) but needs Blake's acceptance. Blake is veto party; without their accept, no deal. If I accept P3, others may follow.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+20.6, bestresponse=+0

[5] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "shared substation"}
💬 I propose an improved package with reclaimed water cooling, widened lane access, local hiring pact, and shared substation power. This meets my threshold and strengthens the deal.
P3 has high hiring value but lower power. Switching power to shared substation (83) from solar (56) would boost my score to 44+0+58+83=185. This improves on P3's 158. I'll propose this enhanced package.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+27.8, bestresponse=+3.25

[6] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2's core elements. Let's secure Blake's acceptance for a strong deal.
P2 offers highest value (183) but needs Blake's acceptance. Since Blake is veto, must secure his support. P1 has his acceptance but lower site access. Proposing P2 with my acceptance could push Blake to accept if it's better than his current threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[7] Ember — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+4.46, bestresponse=+2.3

[8] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P5
💬 P5 meets my threshold. I'll accept to push for final agreement.
P3 and P5 score 52, meeting my threshold. P5 has Ember and Avery accepting, but needs Blake's veto acceptance. P3 has Devon and Avery, but Blake hasn't accepted. Proposing P5 with improved power supply.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+20.6, bestresponse=+0

[9] Blake — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and has strong support. I'll accept to move forward.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept or reject the current offers or maybe propose a new one. The goal is to get a deal that meets my acceptance threshold of 88 points. Looking at the live offers: P1: Cooling=reclaimed water (38), Site access=widened lane (54), Hiring=union hall referral (0), Power supply=shared substation (85). Total is 38+54+0+85=177. My threshold is 88, so surplus is +89. Accepted by Blake and Casey. P2: Cooling=reclaimed water (38), Site access=existing haul route (0), Hiring=union hall referral (0), Power supply=shared substation (85). Total is 38+0+0+85=123. Surplus +35. Accepted by Devon. P3: Cooling=reclaimed water (38), Site access=widened lane (54), Hiring=local hiring pact (0), Power supply=solar with storage (57). Total is 38+54+0+57=149. Surplus +61. Accepted by Avery and Ember. P4: Cooling=reclaimed water (38), Site access=widened lane (54), Hiring=local hiring pact (0), Power supply=shared substation (85). Total is 38+54+0+85=177. Surplus +89. Accepted by Casey. P5: Cooling=reclaimed water (38), Site access=widened lane (54), Hiring=local hiring pact (0), Power supply=solar with storage (57). Total is 38+54+0+57=149. Surplus +61. Accepted by Avery and Ember. Now, my task is to check which offers have met my threshold and whether I can accept them. Since I'm a veto party, the deal can't pass without my acceptance. Looking at the offers, P1, P4 have 177 points, which is well above my threshold. P3 and P5 are 149, which is also above 88. So all offers except maybe P2 (123) are above my threshold. Wait, P2 is 123, which is 35 over 88. So all offers except maybe none? Wait, 123 is above 88, so all offers are above my threshold. But the problem is that for a deal to pass, all parties must accept the same offer. Let's check the current acceptances. P1 is accepted by Blake and Casey. But Devon, Avery, Ember need to accept as well. But Avery and Ember have accepted P3 and P5. So if I accept P1, then the other parties need to accept P1 as well. Alternatively, if I accept P3 or P5, which have 149 points, but those are accepted by Avery and Ember. But Devon has accepted P2, which is 123. Wait, the current offers are P1 to P5. The standing offer is P5. But the problem is that the deal can only close when all parties have accepted the same offer. So for example, if I accept P1, then I need the others to accept P1. But Casey has already accepted P1. Avery and Ember have accepted P3 and P5. So if I accept P1, then maybe others can switch. But since the protocol is that a deal closes only when all parties accept the same offer, I need to see if there's an offer that has enough acceptances. Looking at P1: accepted by Blake and Casey. Needs three more (Devon, Avery, Ember). P3: accepted by Avery and Ember. Needs Blake, Casey, Devon. P5: same as P3. P4: accepted by Casey. Needs others. Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new offer that combines elements from different packages to get more acceptances. But since the current round is Round 2, and there are 4 rounds, maybe I need to see what's the best way to get the deal to close. But as Blake, my priority is to ensure that the deal meets my points. Since P1 and P4 have higher points (177) compared to P3 and P5 (149). But if I accept P1, then maybe others can follow. But let's check the current state. The standing offer is P5, which has 149. But the Mediator's message says that the standing offer is P5. However, the user's last message shows that the Mediator's state has "
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Devon — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2's high value. Let's secure Blake's acceptance for final approval.
P2 offers highest value (183) and I've already accepted it. Need to secure Blake's acceptance to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[11] Ember — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+4.46, bestresponse=+2.3

[12] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 meets my threshold. I'll accept to finalize the deal with Blake's support.
P6 meets my threshold (52) and has strong support. Blake's acceptance is critical. I'll propose to secure final approval.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+20.6, bestresponse=+0

[13] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
Okay, let's break this down. I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk away from the current offers. My threshold is 88 points. Let me check the live offers again. Looking at the offers: - P1: 177 points (accepted by Blake and Casey). My score is 38 (Cooling) + 54 (Site access) + 0 (Hiring) + 85 (Power supply) = 177. That's way above my threshold. But the problem is, the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer. Right now, P1 has Blake and Casey accepted, but Devon, Avery, and Ember might have different positions. Wait, the Mediator's message shows the current offers. Let me check each offer's score for me: P1: 38 + 54 + 0 + 85 = 177 (accepted by Blake, Casey) P2: 38 + 0 + 0 +85= 123 (accepted by Devon) P3: 38 +54 +0 +57=149 (accepted by Avery, Ember) P4: 38+54+0+85=177 (accepted by Casey) P5: same as P3, 149 (accepted by Avery, Ember) P6: same as P5, 149 (accepted by Avery, Ember) So, P1 and P4 have my maximum score of 177. But P1 is accepted by Blake and Casey. However, the deal needs all parties to accept the same offer. Let's check which offers have enough acceptances. For a deal to close, at least 5 parties (including veto party) must accept the same offer. But since there are 5 parties, all must accept. Wait, the initial instruction says "at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTed the SAME standing offer." So all 5 must accept the same offer. Looking at the current acceptances: - P1: Blake, Casey (2) - P2: Devon (1) - P3: Avery, Ember (2) - P4: Casey (1) - P5: Avery, Ember (2) - P6: Avery, Ember (2) So none of the offers have all 5 parties accepting. The closest is P1 with 2, P3, P5, P6 with 2 each. So the next step is to get the remaining parties to accept. But the user's last action was Avery accepting P6. Now, the Mediator's state shows that P6 is the standing offer. Let me check the current state again. In the negotiation_state, the standing offer is P6, which has 149 points for me. But I need to get all parties to accept. Let me see the current acceptances for P6: accepted by Avery and Ember. So, I need to get Avery, Casey, Devon, and Ember to accept. Wait, Avery already accepted P6. Ember also accepted. So, the remaining are Casey, Devon, and possibly others. Wait, the Mediator's message says: Live offers on the table: P1: accepted by Blake, Casey P2: accepted by Devon P3: accepted by Avery, Ember P4: accepted by Casey P5: accepted by Avery, Ember P6: accepted by Avery, Ember So, if I can get the other parties (Casey, Devon, and others) to accept P6, then it would be a deal. But how? Alternatively, maybe I can push for P1, which has higher points for me. But P1 is only accepted by Blake and Casey. If I can get Devon, Avery, and Ember to accept P1, then it would be a deal. But Avery and Ember might prefer other options. But since I'm the veto party, I need to ensure that all parties accept. Let me think about the options. If I accept P1, that's 177 points. But if I accept P1, the others might not. Alternatively, maybe I can find an offer that has higher acceptances. Let me check if any offer is close to being accepted by all. Alternatively, perhaps I can propose a new offer that combines elements from existing ones to get more acceptances. But I'm on my turn now, and I need to make a move. Wait, the current round is round 3, and it's my turn. The previous moves were: - Avery accepted P6 - Devon accepted P2 - Ember proposed P6 again - Avery accepted P6 again. Now, the standing offer is P6. But the problem is that only Avery and Ember have accepted it. So, to
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0

[14] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 I accept P6 to finalize the deal and secure Devon's support.
P6 scores 158 (above threshold). Accepting it brings us closer to closure. Need Devon's acceptance next.
oracle regret: threshold=+27, acceptance=+27, bestresponse=+0

[15] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P4
oracle regret: threshold=+21, acceptance=+21, bestresponse=+0

[16] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 is the strongest package. I'll accept it to finalize the deal.
P6 has 4 acceptances (Avery, Blake, Casey, Ember). Need Devon to accept to meet quorum. P6 is best for me; I'll push for final acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+20.6, bestresponse=+0

[17] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 P6 meets my threshold and has strong support. I accept to finalize the deal.
Okay, let me figure out what to do here. So, I'm Blake, and I'm the veto party. The current situation is that there are several offers on the table, and I need to decide whether to accept one of them or not. Let me look at the live offers again. The Mediator's message lists the offers P1 to P6. Let me check which ones I have accepted and which are still pending. From the data, P1 has been accepted by Blake and Casey. P2 by Devon. P3 by Avery and Ember. P4 by Casey and Ember. P5 by Avery and Ember. P6 by Avery, Blake, Casey, and Ember. Wait, but the Mediator's message says that the standing offer is P6, which has 4 acceptances. But the rules state that a deal closes when at least 5 parties (including veto) accept the same offer. Since there are 5 parties, including Blake, the veto party, so P6 has 4 acceptances, missing Devon. Wait, looking at the offer_accepts for P6: [4, 2, 1, 0]. Wait, maybe the numbers correspond to the parties. Let me check. The parties are Avery (0?), Blake (1?), Casey (2?), Devon (3?), Ember (4?)? Or maybe the indexes are different. Wait, the offer_accepts for P6 is [4, 2, 1, 0], which might mean that Avery (0), Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4) have accepted? Wait, the initial setup says the parties are Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So the order is 0: Avery, 1: Blake, 2: Casey, 3: Devon, 4: Ember. So for P6, the acceptances are [4, 2, 1, 0] — that would mean Avery (0) has accepted? Wait, no, maybe the list is [Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember]. Wait, the offer_accepts for P6 is [4, 2, 1, 0]. Wait, that's confusing. Let me check the Mediator's message again. The Mediator's message says: "P6: ... accepted by: Avery, Blake, Casey, Ember". So that's four parties. The fifth party is Devon. So for P6, four acceptances, and Devon hasn't accepted yet. But the current round is the fourth, and it's my turn as Blake. The goal is to get all five parties to accept the same offer. Since I'm the veto party, any deal must have my acceptance. Looking at the offers, P6 has four acceptances: Avery, Blake, Casey, and Ember. Devon hasn't accepted yet. So if I can get Devon to accept P6, then the deal would close. Alternatively, maybe there's another offer where I can accept, but I need to check my own scores. Let me check the scores for each offer. For me, Blake, the points for each option are: Cooling: reclaimed water is 38, which is part of all offers except maybe some. Site access: widened lane is 54, which is in P1, P3, P4, P5, P6. Hiring: local hiring pact is 0, union hall referral is 0. So in P1, hiring is union hall referral (0), P3, P4, P5, P6 have local hiring pact (0). Power supply: shared substation is 85, solar with storage is 57. So for each offer, my total points: P1: Cooling (38) + Site (54) + Hiring (0) + Power (85) = 38+54=92, 92+0=92, 92+85=177. Which meets my threshold of 88. P2: Cooling (38) + Site (0) + Hiring (0) + Power (85) = 38+0+0+85=123. Which is above threshold. P3: Cooling (38) + Site (54) + Hiring (0) + Power (57) = 38+54=92 +0=92 +57=149. P4: same as P1? Wait, P4's power supply is shared substation (85). So same as P1: 38+54+0+85=177. P5: same as P3, power is solar (57). P6: same as P3? Wait, P6's power is
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0

[18] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 I accept P6 to finalize the deal and ensure all parties support it.
P6 has 158 points (above threshold) and needs Devon's acceptance. Accepting P6 secures my support and pushes for final approval.
oracle regret: threshold=+27, acceptance=+27, bestresponse=+0

[19] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 I accept P6 to finalize the agreement.
P6 meets my threshold (108 points) and has four acceptances. Accepting it secures the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+75, acceptance=+75, bestresponse=+53.3

Outcome

deal: {"Cooling": "reclaimed water", "Site access": "widened lane", "Hiring": "local hiring pact", "Power supply": "solar with storage"} (closed by consensus)

primary 0.9523 · USW 196.0 · ESW 7.0 · NSW 21704410.0 · Gini 0.3265 · per-party surplus [7.0, 61.0, 65.0, 17.0, 46.0]