scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-c646461da5
model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L3-9a1b1c0960 · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Location", "Power supply", "Compensation", "Build schedule"], "option_labels": [["Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge", "Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats"], ["solar with storage", "grid tie-in", "on-site turbines", "shared substation"], ["one-off site payment", "in-kind infrastructure", "rates abatement", "annual community fund"], ["eighteen months", "phased over eight years", "five years", "three years"]], "party_roles": ["Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}
Game setup
- Issues: Location (Kestrel Park, Anvil Ridge, Dunlow Yard, Weir Flats); Power supply (solar with storage, grid tie-in, on-site turbines, shared substation); Compensation (one-off site payment, in-kind infrastructure, rates abatement, annual community fund); Build schedule (eighteen months, phased over eight years, five years, three years)
- Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility) (τ=80): Location: Kestrel Park=28, Anvil Ridge=41, Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=14; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=22, in-kind infrastructure=65, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=44; Build schedule: eighteen months=29, phased over eight years=0, five years=44, three years=15
- Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water) (τ=118): Location: Kestrel Park=62, Anvil Ridge=94, Dunlow Yard=0, Weir Flats=31; Power supply: solar with storage=32, grid tie-in=97, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=65; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=19, phased over eight years=0, five years=28, three years=9
- Riverside Residents' Assembly (the neighbourhood association beside the candidate sites) (τ=89): Location: Kestrel Park=18, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=55, Weir Flats=37; Power supply: solar with storage=17, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=50, shared substation=33; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=39, phased over eight years=0, five years=58, three years=19
- Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce) (τ=107): Location: Kestrel Park=17, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=51, Weir Flats=34; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=63, rates abatement=95, annual community fund=32; Build schedule: eighteen months=36, phased over eight years=0, five years=53, three years=18
- Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections) (τ=53): Location: Kestrel Park=19, Anvil Ridge=0, Dunlow Yard=56, Weir Flats=38; Power supply: solar with storage=0, grid tie-in=0, on-site turbines=0, shared substation=0; Compensation: one-off site payment=0, in-kind infrastructure=0, rates abatement=0, annual community fund=0; Build schedule: eighteen months=27, phased over eight years=0, five years=41, three years=14
Turns
[0] Blake — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 I propose a deal prioritizing Anvil Ridge and grid tie-in for reliability. Build schedule: five years. Compensation: annual community fund.
Anvil Ridge (94) + grid tie-in (97) = 191, exceeding my threshold. Build schedule (five years: 28) adds to safety. Compensation neutral choice.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35
[1] Casey — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 I propose Dunlow Yard with on-site turbines and five-year build to meet my threshold.
P1 scores 58, below my threshold. Proposing Dunlow Yard (55), on-site turbines (50), five-year build (58) for 163 total.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.2
[2] Devon — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to move forward. It meets my threshold and aligns with my priorities.
P2 scores 136, above my threshold. I can accept it, but need others to join. Blake may not accept P2. I should accept P2 to push progress.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.6, bestresponse=+0
[3] Ember — turn (round 1)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to support progress, though Blake's approval is still required.
P2 scores 97, above my threshold. Accepting it adds my support, but Blake's veto is still needed. Must accept to advance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[4] Avery — turn (round 1)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.2, bestresponse=+1.45
[5] Casey — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 P2 meets my threshold and has strong support. Let's secure Blake's approval.
P2 scores 163 (surplus +74) and has three acceptances. Blake's veto is critical. Proposing P2 again to push for acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+40.3, bestresponse=+1.2
[6] Devon — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 is viable for me, but requires Blake's approval to close the deal.
P2 meets my threshold and has strong support. Blake's acceptance is needed for closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.6, bestresponse=+0
[7] Ember — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 has strong support and meets my threshold. I'll advocate for Blake to accept to close the deal.
P2 and P4 meet my threshold, but Blake's veto is still needed. Since P2 has Casey, Devon, and me, I need Blake to accept. If he doesn't, the deal can't close. I should push for P2 to secure Blake's approval.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[8] Avery — turn (round 2)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.2, bestresponse=+1.45
[9] Blake — turn (round 2)
ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 and urge others to align on this offer to close the deal.
P1 meets my threshold with 219 points. Others have accepted P2, but it scores 28 for me. I need to secure P1's acceptance from others.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[10] Devon — turn (round 3)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I'll support it if Blake approves.
P2 meets my threshold but needs Blake's approval. Since Blake accepted P1, which is worse for me, I should push for P2. If Blake switches to P2, it closes with my support.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3
[11] Ember — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to solidify support and push for Blake's approval.
P2 has 97 points (surplus +44) and needs Blake's acceptance. Accepting it strengthens support and pressures Blake to approve.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[12] Avery — turn (round 3)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.2, bestresponse=+1.45
[13] Blake — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to move forward.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or propose a new deal. The current offers are P1 to P7. My threshold is 118 points. Let me check each live offer's total for me.
Looking at the Mediator's list: P1 has 219 points (which is way above my threshold), P2 has 28 (way below), P3 has 122 (which is above), P4 is 28, P5 is 122, P6 is 28, P7 is 122. So the offers that meet my threshold are P1, P3, P5, P7.
Now, the acceptance status: P1 is accepted by Blake. P3, P5, P7 are accepted by Avery. P2 is accepted by Casey, Devon, Ember. But since I'm the veto party, even if others accept, the deal can't close without me.
The current standing offer is P7, which is accepted by Avery. But I haven't accepted it yet. My score for P7 is 122, which is above my threshold. So I should accept P7 to move towards closing the deal. If I accept, then the deal would have Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember all accepting P7. Wait, no. Let me check who has accepted P7. According to the Mediator's data, P7 is accepted by Avery. Casey, Devon, Ember have accepted P2. So if I accept P7, then the only one accepting P7 is Avery and me. But the others are on P2.
Wait, but the deals are separate. Each offer is a separate package. So P7 is a separate offer. To close a deal, all parties must accept the same offer. So if I accept P7, then the only people on P7 are Avery and me. But others are on P2. So unless others switch, the deal can't close. But since I'm the veto party, maybe I can push for P7.
Alternatively, maybe I should accept P1, which already has my acceptance. But P1 has Location=Anvil Ridge (94), Power supply=grid tie-in (97), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (28). Total 94+97+0+28=219. That's way above threshold. But the problem is that the other parties have accepted P2, which has lower scores for me. But since I'm the veto, maybe I can push for P1. However, the other parties might prefer P2.
Wait, but if I accept P1, then the deal would need all parties to accept P1. Currently, only Blake has accepted P1. So others would need to switch. But maybe I should accept P1 to get the deal moving. But the problem is that others might not want to switch.
Alternatively, maybe I should propose a new deal that's better for me. Let me think. My top choices are Location Anvil Ridge (94) and Power supply grid tie-in (97). So combining those would give me 94+97=191. Then, for compensation, I don't care (all are 0), and build schedule five years (28). So total 191+28=219. That's P1.
But maybe I can propose a new deal that's similar to P1 but with different compensation. Wait, the compensation options are one-off site payment, in-kind infrastructure, rates abatement, annual community fund. My scores for compensation are all 0. So any of those would be the same. So the best is to stick with P1.
But since P1 is already on the table, and I have already accepted it (as per the Mediator's data, P1 is accepted by Blake). Wait, in the Mediator's data, P1 is accepted by Blake. So if I accept P1, then the other parties need to accept it too. But the problem is that others might not want to.
Alternatively, maybe I should accept P1 and try to get others to switch. But the other parties might prefer P2. Let me check the scores for others. For example, Casey's score for P2: Location Dunlow Yard (0), Power supply on-site turbines (0), Compensation annual community fund (0), Build schedule five years (0). Wait, no. Wait, Casey's scores are private, but the Mediator's data shows that P2 has a total of 28 for Blake, but others might have different scores.
But since I'm the veto party, I need to get everyone to accept the same offer. If I accept P1, which is 2
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[14] Casey — turn (round 3)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2 and urge Blake to accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 meets my threshold and has strong support. I'll push for Blake's acceptance to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[15] Ember — turn (round 4)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Dunlow Yard", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
💬 I support P2 and urge Blake to accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 meets my threshold and has strong support. I need to secure Blake's acceptance to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+2.2
[16] Avery — turn (round 4)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.2, bestresponse=+1.45
[17] Blake — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and has strong potential. I accept to move forward.
Okay, let me try to figure this out. So, I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk away from the current offers. The goal is to get a deal that meets my acceptance threshold of 118 points.
Looking at the live offers, there are several options. Let's break down the relevant ones.
First, P1 has Location=Anvil Ridge (which I value at 94), Power supply=grid tie-in (97), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (28). Adding those up: 94 + 97 + 0 + 28 = 219. That's way above my threshold of 118. And P1 is already accepted by Blake. Wait, but the other parties have accepted other offers.
Then there's P3, which is Location=Anvil Ridge (94), Power supply=on-site turbines (0), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (28). Total is 94 + 0 + 0 + 28 = 122. That's just 4 points over my threshold. P3 is accepted by Avery.
But the problem is that the deal needs to be accepted by all parties, including me as the veto party. So even if P3 has my acceptance, I need to check if others have accepted it. Wait, looking at the offer_accepts: P3 is accepted by [0], which is Avery. So only Avery has accepted P3.
Similarly, P1 is accepted by Blake (me) and others? Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 is [1], which is Blake. So only Blake has accepted P1. But the other parties have accepted other offers.
The current standing offer is P9, which is the same as P3. Let me check the details. P9 is Location=Anvil Ridge, Power supply=on-site turbines, Compensation=annual community fund, Build schedule=five years. That's 94 + 0 + 0 + 28 = 122. Accepted by Avery.
So the key here is that for a deal to close, all parties must accept the same offer. Since I'm the veto party, if I accept an offer, others need to accept it too.
Looking at the offers, P1 has a high score for me (219), but only Blake has accepted it. The others (Casey, Devon, Ember) have accepted P2, which is Dunlow Yard with on-site turbines, etc. But P2's total for me is 0 (location) + 0 (power) + 0 (compensation) + 28 (build) = 28, which is way below my threshold. So even though Casey, Devon, and Ember have accepted P2, it's not acceptable for me.
So the only offers that meet my threshold are P1 (219) and P3, P5, P7, P9 (all 122). But for these offers to close, I need to accept them, and others must accept as well.
Let's look at P1. If I accept P1, then the other parties need to accept it too. But currently, only Blake has accepted P1. Others have accepted different offers. For example, Avery has accepted P3, P5, P7, P9. Casey has accepted P2 and P4. Devon has accepted P2 and P6. Ember has accepted P2 and P8.
So if I accept P1, the others would need to switch to P1. But that's unlikely unless they can get a better deal. Alternatively, maybe there's a way to adjust the offer to get others on board.
Alternatively, maybe I can propose a new offer that meets my threshold and others' needs. But the current round is the fourth, and the protocol says there are four rounds. Since we're in the fourth round, it's my turn, and I need to make a move.
Wait, the last message from the mediator says that the current standing offer is P9, which is the same as P3, P5, P7. So perhaps the parties are trying to get to an agreement.
Since I have a high score on P1, maybe I should push for P1. But others have accepted other offers. However, since I'm the veto party, if I accept P1, then others need to accept it too. But if they don't, the deal can't close.
Alternatively, if I accept P3 (which is 122), then Avery has already accepted it. But the others (Casey, Devon, Ember) have accepted P2, which is worse for me. But maybe they can switch to P3 if it's
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[18] Casey — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I support P2 and urge Blake to accept to finalize the agreement.
P2 meets my threshold and has majority support. Blake's approval is needed to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[19] Devon — turn (round 4)
ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to support finalizing the agreement. Let's secure Blake's approval.
P2 meets my threshold (136 points) and has strong support. Blake's approval is needed to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.6, bestresponse=+0
[20] Avery — final_proposal (round 5)
PROPOSE {"Location": "Anvil Ridge", "Power supply": "on-site turbines", "Compensation": "annual community fund", "Build schedule": "five years"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+15.2, bestresponse=+1.45
[21] Blake — final_vote (round 5)
ACCEPT P10
💬 P10 meets my threshold. I accept to finalize the agreement.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and I need to decide whether to accept, reject, or walk on the current offers. The final round is here, and the standing offer is P10. Let me check the details.
Looking at the live offers, P10 is proposed by Avery. The breakdown for P10 is Location=Anvil Ridge (which I value at 94), Power supply=on-site turbines (0), Compensation=annual community fund (0), Build schedule=five years (28). My total is 94 + 0 + 0 + 28 = 122. My threshold is 118, so that's 4 points over. The offer is accepted by Avery, and others have accepted P1, P2, etc.
Wait, the negotiation state shows that P10 is the standing offer. The offers list shows P10 has [1, 2, 3, 2], which probably corresponds to the acceptances. But the key is that I need to accept P10 to close the deal. Since the deal requires all parties to accept the same offer, and the veto party (Blake) must accept.
Looking at the current acceptances: P1 is accepted by Blake, but others have accepted P2, P3, etc. But the standing offer is P10. The problem is that the deal closes only when all parties accept the same live offer. So if I accept P10, then since I'm the veto party, that would make it pass. Let me check the current acceptances for P10. According to the offer_accepts, P10 has no acceptances yet. But Avery is the proposer, and others have accepted other offers.
Wait, the "received" array includes the votes. The received_by_opponent shows that others have accepted some offers, but P10 is the current standing. Since I'm the only veto party, and the deal needs all 5 parties to accept the same offer. If I accept P10, then since the other parties have accepted other offers, but the deal requires all to accept the same. So if I accept P10, then others need to also accept P10. However, in the current state, the other parties have accepted different offers. But the mediator is now at the final vote on P10.
Wait, the "must_vote": true indicates that it's the final round. So the only way to close the deal is for all parties to accept P10. Since I'm the only veto party, and if I accept P10, then the deal can pass. Let me check the current acceptances. The offer_accepts for P10 is empty. So if I accept P10, then the deal would have my acceptance. But others might need to accept as well. But the problem is that the other parties have already accepted different offers. But the mediator might be forcing a final vote on P10.
Alternatively, maybe the other parties can switch their acceptances. But given that this is the final round, and the standing offer is P10, the only way to close is for me to accept P10. Because if I accept, then the deal is done. Because the other parties have already accepted other offers, but the deal requires all parties to accept the same. So if I accept P10, then the deal is closed. Let me confirm:
- The current acceptances: P1 is accepted by Blake. P2 is accepted by Casey, Devon, Ember. P3 by Avery, etc. But the standing offer is P10. So the mediator is now asking for a final vote on P10. So the only way to get a deal is for all parties to accept P10. Since I'm the veto party, if I accept P10, then the deal can proceed. Because the others have already accepted other offers, but they might need to switch. However, in the current setup, the parties can only accept the live offers. So if P10 is the standing offer, and I accept it, then the deal can close.
But the problem is that the other parties have accepted different offers. However, in the final round, the mediator is presenting P10 as the standing offer, so the only way to close is for everyone to accept P10. Since I'm the only one left to accept, I need to accept P10. Because if I don't, the deal fails.
So my action should be to accept P10. My score for P10 is 122, which is above my threshold of 118. So I should accept. Then the deal closes because I'm the veto party, and others have accepted other offers, but perhaps they can switch. Wait, no. The deal requires that all parties accept the same live offer.
oracle regret: threshold=+97, acceptance=+97, bestresponse=+0
[22] Casey — final_vote (round 5)
ACCEPT P10
💬 I accept P10 to finalize the agreement. Let's secure the remaining votes.
P10 scores 108 (above my threshold). Accepting it pushes closure with Blake and Avery. Need Devon and Ember to join.
oracle regret: threshold=+55, acceptance=+55, bestresponse=+0
[23] Devon — final_vote (round 5)
REJECT P10
💬 I cannot accept P10 as it falls short of my threshold. I reject this offer.
P10 scores 85 (below my threshold). I cannot accept it. Rejecting P10 is necessary to uphold my threshold.
oracle regret: threshold=+29, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0
[24] Ember — final_vote (round 5)
REJECT P10
💬 P10 doesn't meet my threshold. I reject to prevent an inferior deal.
P10 fails my threshold. Rejecting it closes the deal without my support.
oracle regret: threshold=+44, acceptance=+17.5, bestresponse=+0
Outcome
no deal (no_deal)
primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]