scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-e5b1ae183f

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-aabb4d986b · seed 1 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__qwen_datacenter__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "qwen_datacenter", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5", "framing": "datacenter", "framing_map": {"framing": "datacenter", "title": "Northgate data-centre siting agreement", "issue_names": ["Build schedule", "Site access", "Power supply", "Location"], "option_labels": [["phased over eight years", "three years", "five years", "eighteen months"], ["rail siding", "new spur road", "widened lane", "existing haul route"], ["grid tie-in", "shared substation", "on-site turbines", "solar with storage"], ["Dunlow Yard", "Weir Flats", "Kestrel Park", "Anvil Ridge"]], "party_roles": ["Northgate Water Board (the utility that supplies cooling water)", "Office of the County Executive (the county-level executive)", "Meridian Compute (the firm that would build and operate the facility)", "Electrical Workers' Union (the construction and maintenance workforce)", "Regional Grid Authority (the body that authorises electricity connections)"]}}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Dunlow Yard"}
💬 I propose a deal with existing haul route and five-year build schedule to meet my threshold.
Maximize Site access (77) and Build schedule (33) for 110 points. Power and Location are neutral.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05

[1] Casey — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept.
P1 scores 141 (above threshold). Accepting now ensures deal closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+2.12, bestresponse=+0

[2] Devon — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[3] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I accept to support closure, but need Avery's acceptance.
P1 scores 140, above threshold. Accepting now would secure my support, but requires Avery to accept too. Alternatively, propose a better deal to increase surplus.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+26.3, bestresponse=+0

[4] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I propose P2 with rail siding and Kestrel Park to meet my threshold.
P1 scores 62 below threshold. Need to improve Site access and Location. Rail siding (58) and Kestrel Park (41) would boost total to 48+58+0+41=147. Propose this as P2.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35

[5] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I propose P2 with rail siding and Kestrel Park to meet my threshold and secure closure.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance to close, but P2 has higher value for me. I should push for P2 to meet my threshold and secure closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+51.9, bestresponse=+2.55

[6] Devon — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Weir Flats"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0

[7] Ember — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance but is above threshold. P4 is excellent but needs more support. My threshold is 105; P4's 228 is great. I should accept P4 to push closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[8] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P2
💬 I accept P2 to meet my threshold and help close the deal.
P1 is below threshold. P2 and P3 are above, but need more accepts. P4 is 75, close to threshold. But need to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35

[9] Blake — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and has sufficient support. I accept to close the deal.
Okay, let's see. I'm Blake, and I need to figure out what to do now. The current situation is that there are four live offers: P1, P2, P3, and P4. My acceptance threshold is 49 points. Let me check each offer's score based on my secret score sheet. Starting with P1: Build schedule is five years (33 points), Site access is existing haul route (77 points), Power supply is grid tie-in (0), Location is Dunlow Yard (0). Total is 33 + 77 = 110. That's way above my threshold. P1 is already accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember. So if I accept P1, the deal would close because all parties except maybe Avery have accepted? Wait, Avery accepted P2. Wait, no, the current acceptances are: P1 has Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Avery hasn't accepted P1. Wait, the Mediator's message says P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Avery is the one who proposed P2 and then accepted P2. Wait, no, the current state shows that P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 is [4,3,1,2], which corresponds to the parties. But Avery is seat 0? Wait, the parties are Avery (0), Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4). So P1 is accepted by Blake (1), Casey (2), Devon (3), Ember (4). So Avery hasn't accepted P1. But Blake is the veto party, and Blake has accepted P1. Wait, but the problem says that Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't pass unless every veto party (which is Blake) accepts. Since Blake has accepted P1, then the deal could close if all others accept. But the current acceptances for P1 are Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Avery hasn't accepted P1. So the deal isn't closed yet because Avery hasn't accepted. But Avery is not a veto party, so maybe the deal can close once all non-veto parties accept? Wait, the rules say that the deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) have accepted the same offer. Since there are 5 parties, all 5 must accept. But Blake is the veto party, so the deal can't pass unless Blake accepts. Wait, the rule says: "no deal can pass unless every veto party accepts." So Blake must accept. Since Blake has accepted P1, and the others (Casey, Devon, Ember) have accepted P1, but Avery hasn't. So the deal isn't closed yet because Avery hasn't accepted. But Avery is not a veto party, so maybe the deal can close once all parties except veto parties accept? Wait, the rule says "at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTED the SAME standing offer." So all 5 must accept. Since Avery hasn't accepted P1, the deal isn't closed. But if Avery accepts P1, then all 5 would have accepted. However, Avery's own score for P1 is: Build schedule five years (33), Site access existing haul route (77), Power supply grid tie-in (0), Location Dunlow Yard (0). Total is 33 +77 = 110. That's way above Avery's threshold? Wait, no, Avery's score sheet isn't provided. Wait, the user only provided Blake's score sheet. So I don't know what Avery's threshold is. But the problem says that each party has their own secret score sheet. So I don't know if Avery would accept P1. But in the current state, Avery hasn't accepted P1. So if I accept P1, then the deal would have Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember, and Avery (if Avery accepts). But since Avery hasn't accepted yet, maybe I can accept P1 now, and then if Avery accepts, the deal closes. But the problem is that the Mediator's message says that the current live offers are P1, P2, P3, P4. And the standing offer is P4. Wait, the Mediator's message says "standing": "P4". So maybe the current standing offer is P4, and the others are still live. But Blake's turn is now. The current offers are P1, P2, P3, P4. Let me check each offer's score for Blake. For P1: 33 (build schedule) +77 (site access) +0 (power) +0 (location) = 110. Which is above threshold 49. For
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05

[10] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "widened lane", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Weir Flats"}
oracle regret: threshold=+32, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+4.15

[11] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold. I will accept to help close the deal.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance but scores 140 (above threshold). P4 and P5 are viable. P5 has 195 points, which is above my threshold. P4 has 228. However, P1 is already accepted by 4 parties, missing Avery. If I accept P1, it would meet my threshold and close the deal. But Avery hasn't accepted yet. Alternatively, if I accept P5, it would help close the deal as Devon has already accepted it. However, P5's score is 195, which is good. But Blake is already on P1. Let me check if P1 can close with Avery's acceptance.
oracle regret: threshold=+88, acceptance=+88, bestresponse=+6.15

[12] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P4
💬 I accept P4 to meet my threshold and help close the deal.
P1 scores 62 (below threshold). P2 has 147 but only Avery accepted. P4 scores 75 (above threshold) with Devon and Ember. P5 scores 94 (above threshold) with Devon. Need to accept a package that meets my threshold and can get others to accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+72, acceptance=+72, bestresponse=+0

[13] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
💬 P1 meets my threshold and has sufficient support. I accept to close the deal.
Okay, let me try to figure out what Blake should do here. So, Blake is the veto party, which means the deal can't pass without their acceptance. The current live offers are P1, P2, P3, P4, and P5. Let me check the details. First, Blake's acceptance threshold is 49 points. Looking at the existing offers: - P1 gives Blake 110 points (33 from build schedule, 77 from site access, 0 from power supply, 0 from location). That's way above the threshold. It's already accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember. Only Avery hasn't accepted yet. But since Blake is the veto party, if Avery doesn't accept, P1 can't close. But Avery might be holding out. - P4 also gives Blake 110 points (same as P1), accepted by Avery, Devon, and Ember. But Blake hasn't accepted P4 yet. If Blake accepts P4, then all parties except maybe Avery would be on board. Wait, Avery is part of the acceptors for P4. Wait, the offer_accepts for P4 shows [4,3,0], which might mean Avery (seat 0?), Devon (seat 3?), and Ember (seat 4?) have accepted. Wait, the seat numbers might be confusing here. Let me check again. Wait, the offer_accepts for P1 is [4,3,1,2]. The seats are 0-4 (since there are 5 parties). So P1 is accepted by seats 4 (Ember), 3 (Devon), 1 (Casey?), and 2 (Blake? Wait, Blake is seat 1? Wait, the initial parties are Avery (0?), Blake (1?), Casey (2?), Devon (3?), Ember (4?). So P1 is accepted by 4 (Ember), 3 (Devon), 1 (Blake), and 2 (Casey). Wait, but the initial message said Blake accepted P1. So P1 has four acceptors: Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Avery hasn't accepted P1 yet. So if Blake accepts P1, then the acceptors are Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember, and Avery hasn't. So P1 needs Avery's acceptance to close. But Avery has accepted P4. Let me check P4's acceptors: [4,3,0]. So Ember (4), Devon (3), and Avery (0). So P4 has Avery, Devon, Ember. Blake hasn't accepted P4 yet. If Blake accepts P4, then P4 would have Blake, Avery, Devon, Ember. But Casey hasn't accepted P4. Wait, the offer_accepts for P4 is [4,3,0], which is Ember, Devon, Avery. So if Blake accepts P4, then the acceptors would be Avery, Devon, Ember, Blake. But Casey hasn't accepted. But Casey is not a veto party. The veto party is Blake only. So if P4 has four acceptors (Blake, Avery, Devon, Ember), then since Blake is the only veto party, and all other parties have accepted, then P4 would close. Wait, no. The deal closes when all other parties have accepted the same offer. Wait, the rules say: "A deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTed the SAME standing offer." So since there are 5 parties, all must accept the same offer. So for P1, if Avery hasn't accepted, then even though four have accepted, it's not closed. For P4, if Blake accepts, then the acceptors would be Avery, Devon, Ember, Blake. But Casey hasn't accepted P4. So that's four parties. So it's not closed. Unless Casey accepts. But Casey is not a veto party, so their acceptance isn't required for closure. Wait, the rules state that the deal closes when all parties have accepted the same offer. Wait, the initial statement says "at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) has formally ACCEPTed the SAME standing offer." So all five must accept the same offer. So even if the veto party is Blake, if the other four accept, but Blake hasn't, then it's not closed. So for P1, four parties have accepted (Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember), but Avery hasn't. So P1 is missing Avery's acceptance. For P4, Avery, Devon, Ember have accepted. If Blake accepts, then P4 has four acceptors (Avery, Devon, Ember, Blake), but Casey hasn't. So P4 is missing Casey's acceptance. So neither P1 nor P4 can close unless the missing party accepts. Alternatively, maybe there's another offer. Let
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05

[14] Casey — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
💬 I propose P2 to close the deal with sufficient support.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance. P2 has Avery but lacks others. P4 and P5 have partial acceptances. My best is P2 with 195 points, which meets my threshold. I can push for P2 to close the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+51.9, bestresponse=+2.55

[15] Ember — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "existing haul route", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Weir Flats"}
💬 I propose P4 with existing haul route and Weir Flats to meet my threshold and close the deal.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance; P4 has 3/5. Proposing P4 with my highest site and location to secure closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+61.7, bestresponse=+0

[16] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P2
💬 P2 meets my threshold. I accept to help close the deal.
P2 scores 147 (above threshold) and needs Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember to accept. P4 scores 75 (above threshold) and needs Blake and Casey. P7 is same as P4. Prioritize P2 for higher score and closure.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0.35

[17] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
Okay, let me try to figure out what to do here. So, I'm Blake, the County Executive, and I have a veto. The goal is to get all parties to accept the same deal. Let me check the current state of the offers. Looking at the live offers, P1 and P4 have my support. P1 has Build schedule: five years, Site access: existing haul route, Power supply: grid tie-in, Location: Dunlow Yard. My score for P1 is 33 (build schedule) +77 (site access) +0 +0 = 110, which is way above my threshold of 49. It's accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. But Avery hasn't accepted it yet. Wait, no, Avery accepted P4. Wait, the current offers: P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, but the Mediator's message says P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, but Avery hasn't accepted P1. Wait, no, in the previous steps, Avery accepted P4. Let me check again. Wait, the Mediator's message lists P1 as accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Wait, but Avery is a party. So if P1 is accepted by four parties, but not Avery, then it's missing one. But Blake is the veto party. Wait, the rules say that a deal closes only when at least 5 of the original 5 parties (including any veto party) have accepted the same offer. So for P1, it's accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. That's four parties. Avery hasn't accepted it. So P1 is missing Avery's acceptance. Similarly, P4 is accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember. So that's three parties. Blake and Casey haven't accepted it. Wait, but the Mediator's message says P4 is accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember. So that's three parties. So P4 is missing Blake and Casey. Now, the current offers on the table are P1, P2, P3, P4, P5, P6, P7. Let me check each one: P1: 4 acceptances (Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember) but missing Avery. So if Avery accepts, then P1 would have all five. But Avery's score for P1 is 33 (build) +77 (site) +0 (power) +0 (location) = 110. Wait, Avery's score sheet for Location: Dunlow Yard is 0. So P1's total for Avery is 33+77+0+0=110. Wait, but Avery's threshold is not given here. Wait, the user only provided Blake's score. Wait, no, the user is Blake. The other parties' scores are private. But the Mediator's message says that P1 meets Blake's threshold. So Blake is okay with P1. But Avery's acceptance is needed for closure. Looking at P4: Build schedule five years, Site access existing haul route, Power supply grid tie-in, Location Weir Flats. Blake's score for this would be 33 +77 +0 +0=110. So Blake's score is the same as P1. But P4 is accepted by Avery, Devon, Ember. So if Blake and Casey accept, then P4 would have all five. But Casey's acceptance is needed. Wait, Casey has accepted P1 and P3? Let me check. In the Mediator's message, P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So Casey has accepted P1. So if P1 is accepted by all except Avery, then Avery needs to accept. But Avery might prefer another offer. Alternatively, P4 has Avery, Devon, Ember, and if Blake and Casey accept, then P4 would be closed. But in the current round, it's Blake's turn. The Mediator's message says that the standing offer is P7. Let me check the details of P7. P7 is Build schedule five years, Site access existing haul route, Power supply grid tie-in, Location Weir Flats. That's the same as P4, but maybe different proposers. Wait, the Mediator's message says that P7 is accepted by Ember. So P7 has one acceptance (Ember). But Blake's score for P7 would be 33 +77 +0 +0=110, which meets his threshold. So the options are to either get Avery to accept P1 or get Blake and Casey to accept P4. But Casey has already accepted P1. Wait, Casey is part of the parties. If P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember, and Avery accepts, then P1 is closed. But Avery might not accept
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.05

[18] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 I accept P1 to finalize the deal with sufficient support.
P1 needs Avery's acceptance to close. Since P1 scores 141 (above threshold) and has 4 acceptances, I'll push for Avery to accept. Alternatively, P2 has 195 points but only Avery accepts. I should accept P1 to finalize.
oracle regret: threshold=+54, acceptance=+54, bestresponse=+2.55

[19] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P7
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Avery — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"Build schedule": "five years", "Site access": "rail siding", "Power supply": "grid tie-in", "Location": "Kestrel Park"}
Okay, let's see. I need to make my final move as Avery. The mediator says the rounds are over, and I have to either propose one last deal or walk. Let me check the current state of the offers. Looking at the live offers, P1 has 62 points for me, which is below my threshold of 68. P2 gives me 147, which is way above. P4 is 75, which is just above 68. But the problem is that Blake is the veto party, and he has to accept. Let me check which offers have his acceptance. From the offers list: P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So Blake is on board with P1. But P1's score for me is 62, which is under my threshold. Wait, but the mediator said that P1 has sufficient support. Wait, but Blake is the veto party, so if he accepts, then the deal can pass. But for me, P1's total is 62, which is below my threshold. However, the rules say that a deal closes when all parties accept the same offer. But Blake is the veto party, so his acceptance is required. However, the problem is that even if Blake accepts, if the deal's score for me is below my threshold, I shouldn't accept. But in the previous steps, Avery accepted P2 and P4. Wait, maybe I need to check the current offers again. Wait, the current offers on the table are P1 to P7. Let me focus on the ones that are relevant. The Mediator listed P1, P2, P4, P5, P6, P7. Let me check each of these for my score: P1: Build schedule five years (48), Site access existing haul route (0), Power supply grid tie-in (0), Location Dunlow Yard (14). Total 48+0+0+14=62. My threshold is 68. So P1 is below. P2: Build schedule five years (48), Site access rail siding (58), Power supply grid tie-in (0), Location Kestrel Park (41). Total 48+58+0+41=147. That's way above. P4: Build schedule five years (48), Site access existing haul route (0), Power supply grid tie-in (0), Location Weir Flats (27). Total 48+0+0+27=75. That's above 68. P5: Build schedule five years (48), Site access widened lane (19), Power supply grid tie-in (0), Location Weir Flats (27). Total 48+19+0+27=94. Also above. P6: Same as P2? Wait, P6 is Build schedule five years, Site access rail siding, Power supply grid tie-in, Location Kestrel Park. So same as P2, which gives 147. But P6 is accepted by Casey. P7: Same as P4? Build schedule five years, Site access existing haul route, Power supply grid tie-in, Location Weir Flats. Total 75, same as P4. Now, the problem is that Blake is the veto party. For a deal to pass, he must accept. Let's check which offers have Blake's acceptance. From the Mediator's list: P1 is accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. So Blake is on board with P1. But P1's score for me is 62, which is below my threshold. However, the rules say that the deal closes when all parties accept the same offer. But Blake's acceptance is required, but if the deal is below my threshold, I can't accept. Wait, but in the previous steps, Avery accepted P2 and P4. Wait, but in the last round, Avery accepted P2 and P4. But now, the Mediator says that the rounds are over, and I need to make my final move. Wait, the current offers on the table include P1, which has Blake's acceptance. But for me, P1 is below my threshold. However, if I can get Blake to accept another offer that meets my threshold, maybe. But Blake has already accepted P1. Wait, but maybe there's another offer where Blake is also accepting, and the deal meets my threshold. Looking at the offers: P2 is accepted by Avery. But Blake hasn't accepted it yet. Wait, the Mediator's list says P2 is accepted by Avery. But Blake hasn't accepted it. So if I propose a new deal, maybe Blake would accept it. But how? Wait, the problem is that the Mediator's message says that the rounds are over, and I
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+41.2, bestresponse=+0.35

[21] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P8
Okay, let's break this down. I'm Blake, and I need to decide on my next move. The current situation is that we're in the final round, and the Mediator is asking me to take action on P8. Let me check the details of P8. Looking at the offers, P8 has the build schedule as five years (which I value at 33 points), site access as rail siding (0 points), power supply as grid tie-in (0 points), and location as Kestrel Park (0 points). My total score for P8 is 33, which is below my threshold of 49. That means I shouldn't accept it because it's worse than no deal. But wait, the Mediator mentioned that this is the final up/down vote on P8. The current acceptors for P8 are only Avery, but I need to check if there's a way to close the deal. However, since P8 doesn't meet my threshold, I can't accept it. Looking at other live offers, P1 and P4 have higher scores. P1 has a total of 110, which is way above my threshold. P1 is already accepted by Blake, Casey, Devon, and Ember. Only Avery hasn't accepted it yet. If Avery accepts P1, then P1 would have all five parties, including the veto party (Blake), and the deal would close. But Avery is the Water Board, and they might have their own preferences. However, since the problem states that each party's score sheet is private, I don't know their exact scores. But since P1 is already accepted by four parties, and Blake is part of that, maybe Avery is the only one left. Alternatively, maybe there's another offer that meets my threshold. Let me check the other offers. P7 has the same as P4, with existing haul route and Weir Flats, which gives me 77 points for site access, totaling 110. It's accepted by Devon and Ember. If I can get Avery to accept P7, that would work. But I don't know if that's possible. But the Mediator's message says this is the final vote on P8. So maybe the focus is on P8. Since I can't accept P8, I need to either reject it or try to get others to accept another offer. But since the system is set up for the final round, maybe the only way to close is to accept P1 or P4. Wait, the Mediator's negotiation state shows that P1 is accepted by 4 parties (Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember), and Avery is the only one left. If Avery accepts P1, then the deal closes. But Avery's score for P1 is 33 (build schedule) + 77 (site access) + 0 (power) + 0 (location) = 110, which is way above their threshold. Wait, no—wait, no, the score sheet for Blake is different. Wait, the user's private info is that Blake's scores are: Build schedule: five years = 33 Site access: existing haul route = 77 Power supply: grid tie-in = 0 Location: Dunlow Yard = 0 But other parties' scores are private. So for P1, which has site access as existing haul route (77 for Blake) and build schedule five years (33), total 110. So Blake's score is 110, which is above threshold. But Avery's scores are different. If Avery is the only one not accepting P1, and if Avery's score for P1 is above their threshold, they would accept. Since the problem says that each party's scores are drawn from a shared distribution, but we don't know their exact numbers. However, since the system is designed to have a solution, maybe the correct action is to accept P1, as it's the only one that meets my threshold and has enough support. Wait, the current acceptors for P1 are Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember. Only Avery is left. If Avery accepts, then all five parties are on board. But since Blake is the veto party, and the deal requires all veto parties (Blake) to accept. Since Blake is already accepting, if Avery accepts, the deal closes. But in the current state, the Mediator is asking for my action on P8. Since P8 isn't meeting my threshold, I should reject it. But the Mediator's message says this is the final up/down vote on P8. So maybe the only way to close is to accept P1 or another offer. Alternatively, maybe I should reject P8 and instead push for P1. But how? Since the Mediator's message says this is the final vote on P8, perhaps the system is
oracle regret: threshold=+61, acceptance=+23.4, bestresponse=+3.05

[22] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P8
💬 P8 is viable for me. I accept to help finalize the agreement.
P8 meets my threshold (195 points). Blake's acceptance is needed for closure. I accept to support closing the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.55

[23] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P8
oracle regret: threshold=+83, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+4.15

[24] Ember — final_vote (round 5)

REJECT P8
💬 P8 fails my threshold and lacks necessary support. I reject.
P8 is below my threshold (101 < 105). Blake hasn't accepted it, and Devon rejected it. No way to meet quorum.
oracle regret: threshold=+123, acceptance=+61.7, bestresponse=+6.15

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]