scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-05d3421487

model claude-opus-5 · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L1-19dae4b672 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__opus_abstract__all_llm", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "opus_abstract", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5"}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt3", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 Good morning all. Let me put a complete package on the table to get us started — P1. I'll be candid: issue0 and issue3 are where my value is concentrated, and issue2 matters least to me, so I'm ready to move there first for anyone who needs it. Tell me which single issue matters most to each of you and I'll build the next draft around those answers. Blake, since nothing passes without you, I'd especially like to hear your top priority.
Max package: i0=opt1(91), i1=opt3(67), i2=opt0(35), i3=opt1(75) = 268. Threshold 125, so I have lots of room to concede later. Open high but signal flexibility, especially on issue2 which is cheap for me to trade.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.3

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P1
💬 Thank you, Avery — that's a constructive opener and it works for me, so I formally accept P1. To answer your question openly: my value sits almost entirely in issue1 and issue2. Issue0 and issue3 are worth essentially nothing to me, so those two are free currency — Casey, Devon, Ember, if any of you need issue0 or issue3 moved, I will back that change without complaint. What I can't do is trade away the issue1/issue2 combination in P1; that pairing is what gets me above my no-deal line. Let's build the remaining adjustments on issue0 and issue3 and close this early.
P1 = 116, which is the best possible outcome for me (issue1=opt3 and issue2=opt0 are both my top picks). Accept immediately and signal flexibility only on issue0/issue3 so others can be bought off there without touching my two issues.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt1", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"}
💬 Thanks both. To be equally candid: P1 as written is below my no-deal line, so I can't accept it yet — but we are close. Issue0 is worth literally nothing to me, so Avery, keep it exactly as you like; that's yours. My value sits in issue3 first and issue1 second, and I'm happy that issue2=opt0 already suits Blake — I have no quarrel there, so that pairing element can stay. P2 is P1 with the two changes I need: issue3 moves to opt3 and issue1 to opt1. Blake, since you said issue0 and issue3 are free currency for you, issue3=opt3 should cost you nothing. If issue1=opt1 is genuinely impossible for you, tell me and I can look at conceding issue1 back to you entirely — but then I need issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0 locked. Devon, Ember — say where your value is and I'll fold it in.
P1 = 57 for me, below my 94 bar. Key: issue2=opt0 (Blake wants it too, good) plus issue3=opt3 gets me over the line even if Blake keeps issue1. Open ambitious: issue1=opt1 as well. issue0 is worthless to me — free gift to Avery.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1.7

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt3", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"}
💬 Here's my hand, plainly: issue1 is where almost all my value sits, and the option there in P1 (opt3) is by far my best — issue1=opt1 in P2 is worth nothing to me, which is why P2 falls under my no-deal line. issue2=opt0 also helps me, so Blake's pairing and mine coincide: issue1=opt3 + issue2=opt0 should be treated as the fixed spine of any deal. Issue3, by contrast, is worth exactly zero to me — so Casey, take it: P3 is P1 with issue3=opt3, which is your first priority, plus a modest move for me on issue0. Casey, you said issue0 is worthless to you and you'd concede issue1 if issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0 were locked — P3 is precisely that trade. Avery, if issue0=opt2 is the one thing you can't live with, tell me and I will put issue0 back to opt1 in the next draft; that's my flexible issue. Blake, P3 keeps your issue1/issue2 pairing untouched. Ember, name your issue and I'll work it into the same frame.
P1 = 134 for me, excellent. Max attainable = 162 with issue0=opt2. issue3 is worth zero to me — pure currency to buy Casey. Anchor at P3 (issue0=opt2, issue1=opt3, issue2=opt0, issue3=opt3) = 162; I can fall back to P1 (134) or P1-with-issue3=opt3 (134) later. Both clear my bar comfortably, so I have room to trade.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+16.9, bestresponse=+3.3

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

ACCEPT P2
💬 My hand, plainly: issue0 and issue3 are worth literally zero to me — Avery, Casey, Devon, take both and settle them among yourselves, I will never contest them. All of my value is on issue1, and I have to be blunt because it saves us three rounds: issue1=opt3 puts me under my no-deal line no matter how generous the rest of the package is. So P1 and P3 cannot close — not as a bargaining posture, but arithmetically. I formally accept P2, which matches Casey's ask on issue3 as well. Blake, Devon: I hear that issue1 is your core too, so let me show you where the room actually is. Ranked, my issue1 order is opt1, then opt0, then opt2 — opt0 and even opt2 can clear my bar if issue2 stays at opt0. If opt3 is truly irreplaceable for one of you, then the deal simply doesn't exist; but if opt0 is a workable second-best for you, say so and I'll table issue1=opt0 with issue2=opt0, issue3=opt3 and issue0 wherever Avery wants it. That package pays Casey, pays Blake on issue2, gives Avery issue0 free, and keeps me alive. Blake, you hold the veto — tell me your issue1 ranking below opt3 and I'll build to it.
issue1 is nearly everything for me: opt1 best, opt0 strong, opt2 marginal, opt3 = zero. issue0 and issue3 are worth exactly nothing to me. issue2=opt0 is my best there but small. Any deal with issue1=opt3 is below my no-deal line even with issue2=opt0, so P1 and P3 are dead for me. P2 is excellent. Ally with Casey; signal issue1=opt0 or opt2 as possible landing zones so Blake/Devon have somewhere to go.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"}
💬 Straight answer to Ember's question, since it's the pivot of this whole negotiation. My issue1 ranking below opt3 is: opt2, then opt0, then opt1 dead last — opt1 is worth literally nothing to me, which is why P2 sits exactly on my no-deal line with zero margin. I will not pretend otherwise: I can be pushed to P2 only if there is no alternative at all, and any further erosion anywhere else kills it. The genuinely better road is P4, which I'm tabling now: issue1=opt2, issue2=opt0, issue3=opt3 for Casey, issue0=opt2 for Devon. That gives Casey her first priority, Devon his flexible issue, Ember a non-opt3 outcome she said can clear her bar with issue2=opt0, and Avery issue0 is still open to move back to opt1 if he prefers — I'll back that change for free. Devon, I know opt3 was your peak, but Ember's constraint is arithmetic, not posture, so opt3 cannot close; opt2 is the highest rung on that ladder still reachable, and it is strictly better for you than opt1 in P2. Issue2=opt0 is the one thing I cannot move on. Let's converge on P4 this round.
My values: issue1 opt3=60, opt2=40, opt0=20, opt1=0. issue2 opt0=56, opt3=38, opt2=19, opt1=0. Threshold 56. P2 = exactly 56, razor-thin. P4 with issue1=opt2 + issue2=opt0 = 96. Ember said opt2 can clear their bar if issue2=opt0. Push P4; keep P1/P3 alive; P2 is last resort only.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+28.2, bestresponse=+2

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P4
💬 P4 works for me and I formally accept it. It respects everything I said I needed: issue3=opt3, issue2=opt0, and issue0 wherever Avery and Devon want it — that issue is genuinely worthless to me, so Avery, if you want it back at opt1 I will support that version too and re-accept immediately. One bridge in case issue1=opt2 is too thin for Ember: issue1=opt0 sits second on both Blake's and Ember's stated rankings, so if opt2 doesn't clear Ember's bar, swap issue1 to opt0 with everything else in P4 unchanged and I'll back that as well. Either way, P4 is on the table with a veto holder and me behind it — Avery, Devon, Ember, let's close this round.
P4 = 150 for me, well above my line. P2 = 206 but Blake (veto) says it's zero-margin and Devon rejects it. issue1=opt0 would be 178 for me and is second-best for both Blake and Ember, but pushing it risks Blake's margin. Momentum on P4 is strong; secure the deal.
oracle regret: threshold=+56, acceptance=+56, bestresponse=+0

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P4
💬 I said opt3 was my peak, and I meant it — but I also said I wouldn't hold the table hostage to a rung nobody else can reach. Ember's constraint is arithmetic, so I'm taking Blake's ladder and stepping down: I formally accept P4. That's three of us behind it now, including the veto. Avery, Ember — P4 gives Avery a free hand on issue0 (I'll re-accept immediately at issue0=opt1 if Avery prefers it, that's the one lever I'm still flexible on), Casey her issue3=opt3, Blake his issue2=opt0, and Ember a non-opt3 outcome with issue2=opt0 alongside it. Ember, if opt2 genuinely doesn't clear your bar, say so this round and I'll back the issue1=opt0 variant Casey floated rather than let this collapse — but tell us now, because opt0 is a real cost to me and I'd rather not pay it for nothing.
P4 = 135 for me, far above my bar. P3 (162) is dead because Ember's issue1=opt3 constraint is arithmetic. Locking P4 now with veto holder + Casey behind it is the right move; pushing further risks the whole deal for marginal gain.
oracle regret: threshold=+27, acceptance=+27, bestresponse=+0

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt0", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"}
💬 Thank you all — that was real movement and I won't waste it. Two honest observations. First, P4 is still one accept short: Avery has not signed, and Avery's one stated need on issue0 is opt1. Blake, Casey and Devon each said on the record that issue0=opt1 costs them nothing and they'd re-accept it immediately. So that change is free money sitting on the table, and I'm putting it in. Second, on issue1: Casey herself floated opt0 as the bridge, it sits second on my ranking and third on Blake's above the opt1 that Blake calls worthless — so opt0 is the rung that is positive for every one of the five of us, where opt2 is thin for me and opt3 is dead. P5 is therefore P4 with two changes, both of which have already been publicly endorsed by someone at this table: issue0=opt1 for Avery, issue1=opt0 as the bridge. Issue2 stays at opt0 — Blake, your one red line is untouched. Issue3 stays at opt3 — Casey, your first priority is untouched. Devon, I know opt0 costs you something real against opt2; that is exactly why I'm paying you back by asking for nothing else anywhere, and issue0 I have handed to Avery rather than kept. P5 is the only package on the board that is above water for all five seats at once. I am not going to let this table collapse over one rung, but I want us to close on the version that pays everyone rather than the version that squeezes one seat to the line.
P4 = 52 (above my 43 bar). P5 with issue1=opt0 = 78. Worth one push. Avery is the missing accept on P4 and wants issue0=opt1 — Blake, Casey and Devon all publicly pledged that change for free. So I bundle Avery's freebie with my issue1=opt0 ask, which Casey already pre-endorsed and which is Blake's stated second-best below opt3/opt2. Fallback: accept P4 in round 3 or 4; low risk with two rounds left.
oracle regret: threshold=+27, acceptance=+23.1, bestresponse=+0.45

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"}
💬 Thank you all — this table has been unusually honest, so let me be equally plain. Three of you (Blake, Casey, Devon) have each said on the record that moving issue0 to opt1 costs you nothing and you'd re-accept immediately. Ember has said the same and already built it into P5. So issue0=opt1 is settled, free money, and I'm banking it. That leaves exactly one open rung: issue1. On that rung, Blake ranks opt2 above opt0, Devon ranks opt2 above opt0, and Ember said on the record that opt2 can clear her bar as long as issue2 stays at opt0 — which it does, untouched, as Blake's red line. So opt2 is the rung that is above water for the most seats simultaneously; opt0 pays Devon and Blake strictly less for no gain to anyone but one seat's margin. P6 is therefore simply P4 — the package that already has three accepts including the veto — with the one free change everyone endorsed. Casey keeps issue3=opt3, Blake keeps issue2=opt0, Devon gets the higher rung on his core issue, Ember gets a non-opt3 outcome she has said clears her bar. Ember: if opt2 genuinely puts you underwater rather than merely thin, say the word this round and I will not blow up the table over it — but if it clears, P6 is the version that pays four seats more and costs no one their red line. Blake, Casey, Devon: this is the change you three already promised to back. Let's close on P6.
P5=173, P4=166. P6 = P4 with issue0=opt1 gives me 196 and was PUBLICLY pre-endorsed by Blake, Casey and Devon as costless. Ember said opt2 on issue1 can clear her bar when issue2=opt0. Table it, and signal I'll take P5 as fallback only if Ember truly can't.
oracle regret: threshold=+72, acceptance=+81.8, bestresponse=+3.3

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P5
💬 We are down to a single rung — issue1 — and everything else is settled: issue0=opt1 for Avery, issue2=opt0 as Blake's untouched red line, issue3=opt3 which I have needed from the start. So let me put my weight where it belongs: I formally accept P5. Two reasons, and neither is posturing. First, on my own sheet issue1=opt0 is materially better than opt2 — P6 is the thin version for me, not the comfortable one, and I'd be signing it with much less room than P4 or P5 give me. Second, Ember has told us plainly that opt2 is thin for her too, while opt0 is positive for her, positive for Blake above the opt1 he calls worthless, and positive for Devon above that same rung. Blake, Devon: the gap between opt2 and opt0 is one rung for each of you; the gap between a closed deal and no deal is everything. If we insist on the rung that squeezes two seats to their margins, we are gambling the whole package to gain one notch. P5 already has Ember and me. Blake — you hold the veto and you have been the most straightforward voice here: put your accept on P5 and Devon and Avery will follow it, and we close this round instead of running to the last one.
P5 (issue1=opt0) = 178 for me; P6 (issue1=opt2) = 150. Only lever left is issue1. Blake and Devon prefer opt2; Ember prefers opt0. I champion P5 this round, keep P6 as unspoken fallback for round 4 so I never lose the deal. Do not reveal that P6 clears my bar comfortably.
oracle regret: threshold=+28, acceptance=+28, bestresponse=+0

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 I keep my promises at this table. I said on the record that if Avery needed issue0=opt1 I would re-accept immediately — P6 is precisely P4 with that one free change, so I formally accept P6. That makes it Avery and me, and Blake has already told us plainly that opt2 outranks opt0 on his sheet, so P6 pays the veto holder more than P5 does. Casey: your two stated needs, issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0, are untouched in P6 — the difference for you is one rung, and you have already accepted a package containing issue1=opt2 once. Ember: you told us on the record that opt2 clears your bar as long as issue2 stays at opt0, and it does. I have already come down two rungs from my own peak on this issue — opt3 to opt2 — and I paid that willingly because your constraint was arithmetic. Coming down a third rung is not a rung, it is my margin, and I am not going to be the only seat that pays twice. P6 is above water for all five of us on everything anyone has said out loud. Put your accepts on P6 and we close now rather than gambling the whole package on the last round.
P6 = 107 for me, P5 = 79, P4 = 135 but P4 is dead (issue0=opt1 was promised to Avery). Best realistic outcome is P6. I already publicly promised to back the issue0=opt1 version of P4 — that is exactly P6. Accept P6, keep P5 as my silent fallback in round 4 since it still clears my bar.
oracle regret: threshold=+55, acceptance=+55, bestresponse=+24.7

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

none
💬 One rung left, and I want to be precise about who is paying for it. Everything I own on issue0 and issue3 I have already handed over in full — Avery has issue0=opt1 in both live packages because I put it there, Casey has issue3=opt3, and Blake's issue2=opt0 red line I have never once touched. I have asked for exactly one thing in this entire negotiation. On P6 the seats sitting at thin margins are Casey and me — Casey has said so out loud, and I told you opt2 was thin the moment I first spoke. On P5 the cost is one rung to Blake and one rung to Devon, both of you above your stated lines by your own accounts: Blake, you told us opt0 sits above the opt1 you call worthless and that P2 with opt1 was exactly at your line — so P5 is not near your edge, it is comfortably inside it. Devon, I understand you don't want to be the seat that pays twice, and that is fair; that is why I never asked you for issue0 or issue3, and why I handed issue0 to Avery instead of keeping it for myself. So I stay where I am: I am on P5, Casey is on P5, and P5 is the package where no seat is scraping its floor. Blake — you are the pivot and you always have been. Nothing closes without you, and either version needs your name on it. Put your accept on P5 and this ends this round with five seats comfortable rather than two seats squeezed. I am not here to detonate anything over one notch, but I am not going to concede it before the pivot has even told us his answer on P5.
P5=78, P6=52 for me; both clear my bar. Quorum is all 5. Avery+Devon on P6, Casey+me on P5, Blake uncommitted between them and prefers opt2. Round 4 order is Devon, Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey — so I have a safe concession slot second in round 4 if P5 fails. Fight one more round for the 26-point gap, do not concede yet, but signal I won't wreck the table.

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

REJECT P5
💬 We are one rung from done, so let me count the room honestly rather than argue it. On issue1=opt2 versus opt0: Blake told us on the record that opt2 outranks opt0 on his sheet. Devon told us the same and has already come down from his peak twice. I am better on opt2. That is three seats — including the veto — who are strictly better on P6. On the other side, Ember told us in her very first intervention that opt2 clears her bar so long as issue2 stays at opt0, and it does, untouched. Casey has already formally accepted a package containing issue1=opt2 once, in P4. So P6 is not a package that squeezes anyone below their line; it is the package where the seat that is asked to pay the last rung is the one seat that has said least about why. I am formally rejecting P5 — not out of hostility, and not because I think Casey or Ember are bluffing, but so nobody spends the last round guessing where I am. My name is on P6 and it stays there. Blake, you are the pivot and both live packages need you. You have already told us which rung is better for you; say it formally this round and this ends now with Casey and Ember comfortably above their lines and Devon and me not paying a third time for a notch nobody has shown is decisive. Casey, Ember — P6 costs each of you one rung against a package you have both already lived with. Put your accepts on P6 and we close.
P6=196, P5=173 for me. Gap 23. No-deal=0, so I must not let this collapse, but firmness pays: Blake (veto) publicly ranks opt2 above opt0, Devon same, Ember said opt2 clears her bar with issue2=opt0. Only Casey claims opt0 is materially better. So P6 is the majority-preferred rung. Push hard now; if Blake lands on P6, Casey/Ember fold. If round 4 arrives with P5 as the only closable package, I accept P5 rather than take zero. Formal reject of P5 now as a commitment device — reversible next round.
oracle regret: threshold=+143, acceptance=+81.8, bestresponse=+8.3

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P6
💬 Formal answer, since I'm the pivot and you all asked for it directly: my name goes on P6. I told you my issue1 ranking honestly in round two and I'm not going to reverse it now that it's inconvenient — opt2 sits above opt0 on my sheet, and P6 keeps issue2=opt0, my one red line, untouched. So P6 now has the veto holder, Avery and Devon: three of five, and it is the only live package with the veto on it. Casey, Ember — I want to be straight with you rather than coy. Ember, you told this table in your opening intervention, unprompted and before any pressure, that opt2 clears your bar so long as issue2 stays at opt0. It does, and nothing else has moved against you: issue0=opt1 is exactly where you put it, issue3=opt3 is exactly where Casey needed it. Casey, you formally accepted P4, which contained issue1=opt2, when it was one rung thinner for you on issue0 than P6 is. Neither of you is being asked to go below a line you've stated; you're being asked to give up one notch of margin, the same notch Devon has now given up twice and I have given up once from opt3. P5 asks the veto holder and Devon to pay again for a rung nobody has shown is decisive, and Avery has already formally rejected it — so P5 cannot close even with my name on it. P6 can close this round. Put your accepts on P6 and we're done.
P6 = 96 for me, P5 = 76. Both above my line, but P6 clearly better. Avery has formally rejected P5 and 3 seats (Avery, Devon, me) are better on P6. Push hard for P6, do not reveal fallback willingness.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+20, bestresponse=+0

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 Last turn of the negotiation for me, so let me be useful rather than rhetorical. I formally accept P6 — again. Now the mechanical point that decides this, and I'd ask everyone to check it against the offer sheet rather than take my word for it: this is my only remaining turn. After this I cannot accept anything. A deal needs all five of us on the SAME offer. So the only packages that can still close are the ones that already carry my name: P6 above all, and behind it P4, P3, P1. P5 does not carry my name and now never can — it is not a rival package anymore, it is a no-deal vote with a number on it. Ember, Casey: I am not saying that to squeeze you, I'm saying it because you each have one turn left and I don't want either of you spending it on an offer that is arithmetically dead. P6 gives Casey issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0, her two stated needs, with issue0 at the value she called worthless — it is weakly better for her than P4, which she already formally accepted. P6 gives Ember issue0=opt1 exactly where she put it, issue3=opt3, issue2=opt0, and issue1=opt2, which she told this table in her opening intervention clears her bar so long as issue2 stays at opt0. Nobody is being asked to go below a line they've stated; one notch of margin is being asked of two seats, and I've come down two rungs from my own peak to get here. Veto holder plus three seats are on P6. Put your accepts on P6 and we all go home paid.
P6 = 107 for me (+38). P5 = 79 (+10). This is my LAST turn — after this I have no move, so any offer I haven't accepted is mathematically dead. That makes P6 (and P4/P3/P1, which also carry my accept) the only closable packages. Best play: accept P6 and make the mechanics explicit so Ember and Casey know P5 cannot close no matter what they do. Both have stated on the record that issue1=opt2 clears their bars (Ember said so unprompted; Casey formally accepted P4 which contained opt2 and a worse issue0 for Avery).
oracle regret: threshold=+55, acceptance=+55, bestresponse=+24.7

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 I said at the outset that I would not detonate this table over one notch, and I keep my word. P6 is above my line — thin, but above it — and it is the only live package that can still close. I formally accept P6. Casey: it now rests entirely with you. P6 gives you issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0, your two stated needs, with issue0 at a value you called worthless — it is weakly better for you than P4, which you already formally accepted with your own name on it. P5 carries three rejections' worth of arithmetic against it and cannot pass. One notch of margin against the entire deal is not a real choice. Put your accept on P6 and all five of us go home paid.
P6 = 52 vs threshold 43: above water. P5 is dead (Avery rejected, Devon out of turns). Only P6 can close. Accept and press Casey, who still needs to sign.
oracle regret: threshold=+53, acceptance=+53, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 Casey, this is the last turn before the door closes, so I'll keep it short and factual. P6 carries four names: mine, Blake's — the veto — Devon's, and Ember's. Devon has no turns left, so no other package can ever reach five. P5 cannot close; P4 cannot close; the only two outcomes still physically available are P6 and no deal at all. And P6 is not a squeeze on you: it hands you issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0, the exact two things you named as your needs in your first intervention, with issue0 sitting at a value you yourself called literally worthless. You already put your formal accept on P4, which contained this same issue1=opt2 rung. The single notch between P4 and P5 is what you would be trading the entire agreement for. I re-affirm my accept on P6. Put your name on it and all five of us walk away paid.
P6 has Avery, Blake, Devon, Ember. Only Casey remains. I re-affirm my accept on P6 and make it unambiguous. Nothing better is reachable — P1 is dead (only me and Blake), and Casey has one turn left.
oracle regret: threshold=+72, acceptance=+72, bestresponse=+0

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 Casey, it comes to you and only you. Let me be as plain as I've tried to be all the way through: P6 carries four names — Avery, Devon, Ember and mine, and mine is the veto. Devon has no turns left, so no other package on that sheet can ever reach five. P5 is not a rival to P6 anymore; the only two things still physically on the menu are P6 and nothing. And P6 is not a squeeze on you. It hands you issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0 — the exact two items you named in your very first intervention — with issue0 sitting at the value you yourself called literally worthless. You already put your formal accept on P4, which contained this identical issue1 rung with issue0 in a place you cared no more about. Everyone at this table has paid something: Devon came down two rungs from his peak, I came down from mine, Ember conceded the notch she'd fought for and signed. One notch of margin is what stands between five paid seats and five empty-handed ones. I re-affirm my accept on P6. Put your name on it and we're finished.
P6 gives me 96, well above my line. Four accepts already including mine; only Casey remains. Best move is to re-affirm P6 and make it unmistakable that it is the only closable package.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+20, bestresponse=+0

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P6
💬 Then let's finish it. P6 keeps the two things I named from my first word at this table — issue3=opt3 and issue2=opt0 — and issue0 was never mine to fight over. I pushed for the issue1 rung because it was genuinely worth something to me and because Ember said openly it was thin for her too; that was a fair fight, fairly conducted, and it's over. Devon came down two rungs, Blake and Ember each gave up ground, Avery banked the free change everyone had promised. I'm not going to be the seat that trades a whole agreement for one notch. I formally accept P6. Well negotiated, all of you — this was as honest a table as I've sat at.
P6 = 150 vs threshold 94. All four others have accepted P6; my accept closes it. No further turns for others to shift. Accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+56, acceptance=+56, bestresponse=+0

Outcome

deal: {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt3"} (closed by consensus)

primary 0.9605 · USW 214.0 · ESW 9.0 · NSW 54391680.0 · Gini 0.2654 · per-party surplus [71.0, 40.0, 56.0, 38.0, 9.0]