scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-6206b7fbd5

model one_oracle · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L0-34733a57e6 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__opus_abstract__one_oracle", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "opus_abstract", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5"}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt3"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 P1 is workable in structure but one line kills it for me: issue3=opt3 is a zero for me and I can't carry a package built on it. Here's my counter, P2 — I keep Avery's issue1 and issue2 choices untouched and only move issue3 to opt2. And note this openly: issue0 is worth essentially nothing to me. Whoever cares about issue0, tell me your preferred option there and I will write it in without asking for anything back. That's a free win for someone; let's spend it to close this fast.
P1 = 101, above my bar of 81, but issue3 is my single biggest lever and P1 gives me nothing there. Counter with issue3=opt2 (worth 99 to me). issue0 is literally worthless to me — I can hand it to whoever wants it as payment. Keep P1 alive as a fallback; I can accept it later if needed.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 Taking Blake up on the offer: issue0=opt0 is my pick there, and it's already in both live packages, so let's lock it. issue2 I genuinely do not care about — Blake and Avery can set that line however they like and I'll sign it. The only real gap is issue3. opt3 is my strong preference and opt2 is a flat zero for me, so P2 as written is thin. P3 splits that difference: issue3=opt1, everything else exactly as Blake wrote it. Blake, if opt1 works for you at all, we can close this in round two. I'll also say plainly: P1 is fine by me if Blake can live with it.
P1=121 for me, P2=76. issue3 is where the value is: opt3 best for me, opt1 decent (mid), opt2 and opt0 poor. issue2 is worth literally nothing to me — pure give. Blake offered issue0 free: I want issue0=opt0 (my top there). Propose middle ground on issue3=opt1 to bridge Blake's veto while keeping most of my value.
oracle regret: threshold=+15, acceptance=+36.1, bestresponse=+3.55

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt3", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 Let me be constructive and precise. First, plainly: P2 as written is below my walk-away line — issue3=opt2 is a zero for me exactly as it is for Casey, so P2 cannot close. I'm not going to pretend otherwise. Second, I'll accept Casey's compromise on issue3=opt1 as the landing zone even though opt3 is my strong preference; that's a real concession from me and Casey both, and it should get Blake over the line. In exchange I'm asking for one line only: issue2. Avery and Blake wrote opt1 there; opt1 is nearly nothing to me while opt3 is a large gain. Casey has said issue2 is irrelevant to them. So P4 is P3 with that single change — issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt3, issue3=opt1. If issue2=opt3 is genuinely painful for Avery or Blake, tell me and I'll take opt0 there instead as a second-best; either works for me. Nail down issue2 and I think we close in round two.
P3 = 93 for me, already well above threshold. P1 = 111. P2 = 57, below my bar — I must reject P2. Best play: table P4 = P3 but with issue2=opt3 (125 for me). Casey said issue2 is irrelevant to them; Blake said issue0 is free. Fallback ladder: issue2=opt0 also fine for me, and P3/P1 both acceptable.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+11.3, bestresponse=+2.55

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt3", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 Good progress — the structure issue1=opt2 plus issue3 landing on opt1 works for me, and I'll back Devon on issue2=opt3 since Casey and I are both indifferent there. Blake made an open offer: issue0 costs them nothing. Casey has already banked issue2 going their way in every package and named issue3=opt1 as their own compromise, so let me use Blake's free line: issue0 is the one place I have real value, and opt2 is where it sits for me. P5 is exactly Devon's P4 with that single change — issue0=opt2, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt3, issue3=opt1. Casey, if opt0 on issue0 is genuinely large for you rather than just a default, say so and I'll drop it; but if it's a mild preference, this is the cheapest way to buy my signature and we close next round. One more useful datapoint for the issue3 endgame: opt0 is also strong for me, so if opt1 ever stalls, issue3=opt0 is a live alternative worth testing before anyone walks.
P3/P4 = 92 for me, above my bar. P2 = 138 but Casey and Devon both say issue3=opt2 is a zero for them, so it can't close. Best realistic upgrade: issue0. Blake says issue0 is free for them; Casey wants opt0. I'll ask for opt2 there while conceding Devon's issue2=opt3 — that gets me 121. Fallback: accept P4/P3 (92) later. Also flag issue3=opt0 as a good alternative for me.
oracle regret: threshold=+17, acceptance=+21.7, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 Here is my real concession, and it is a big one: I am dropping issue3 from opt2 to opt1 — that is the single most valuable line on my sheet and I am giving up most of it to meet Casey and Devon where they said they'd land. And Ember, I said issue0 was free and I meant it: P6 writes in issue0=opt2 for you, no strings. So P6 gives Ember their issue0, gives Casey and Devon the issue3=opt1 compromise they both named, and keeps issue1=opt2 which nobody has contested. The one line I cannot hand over is issue2. issue2=opt1 is where the bulk of my value sits, and a package with issue2=opt3 is below my walk-away line — that is not posturing, P4 and P5 are literally unsignable for me as a veto party. Devon, you generously said opt0 on issue2 is a workable second-best for you; if opt1 truly stings, I will move to issue2=opt0 as my final step, but I cannot go to opt3 at any price. Four of us are one line apart. Take P6 and we're done.
P6 = 0+44+57+33 = 134, well above my line. Fallback issue2=opt0 gives 96, still fine. issue2=opt3 kills me (77, below line) — must hold issue2 off opt3. Give Ember issue0=opt2 free, give Casey/Devon issue3=opt1 (dropping my best line there).
oracle regret: threshold=+66, acceptance=+59.8, bestresponse=+1

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt0"}
💬 Ember, you asked me directly, so here's a straight answer: issue0=opt0 is not a default for me, it is the single largest line on my sheet. P5 and P6 sit within a hair of my walk-away number precisely because issue0 moved off opt0 — I would be signing a deal barely distinguishable from no deal, and I won't do that. But I'm not asking you to give it up for free. You told us issue3=opt0 is strong for you. So take your pick between two packages I will back and vote for today: P3 (issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1, issue3=opt1) or the new P7, which is identical except issue3 moves to opt0 — your named strong line — as payment for issue0. Both keep issue2=opt1, which Blake has said is his red line as veto, and both keep issue1=opt2, which nobody has contested. Blake, you said issue0 costs you nothing, so P3 and P7 should be as signable for you as P6. Devon, on P7 I'm the one paying: I'm giving up part of my issue3 compromise to buy Ember out. If opt0 there is bad for you, say so and we land on P3 instead. Two lines are settled, one is Blake's veto, and the last is a straight Casey-Ember trade that I have now priced. Let's close.
issue0=opt0 is my single biggest line (huge), issue3=opt3>opt1>opt0>opt2, issue1=opt2 best, issue2 worthless. P6/P5 give me barely above my walk-away line — not signing those. Target P3 (106) or the trade variant P7 (91). Pay Ember with issue3=opt0 which they named as strong, in exchange for issue0=opt0.
oracle regret: threshold=+30, acceptance=+36.1, bestresponse=+3.55

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt1"}
💬 I'm taking Blake at his word and dropping issue2=opt3 entirely — that was my biggest ask and it's gone. Blake said opt0 on issue2 is a step he can make; that's exactly what P8 writes in. Everything else is the consensus: issue1=opt2 uncontested, issue3=opt1 the compromise Casey, Blake and I all named. On issue0 I have no stake whatsoever, so I'm siding with the party who says it's existential: Casey gets opt0. Ember, I hear you, but Casey put a walk-away claim on that line and you didn't — and you already got the two lines you named as valuable in the body of this package. Blake: P8 differs from your P6 on exactly one line, issue2 opt1 to opt0, the move you yourself offered. Make that step and I accept immediately. If you truly cannot, say so plainly and I will vote P3 or P6 next turn rather than let this collapse — but ask first, because P8 is the version that gets my signature without reservation.
P3=93, P6=93, P7=75, P4/P5=125 but Blake vetoes issue2=opt3. Blake explicitly offered issue2=opt0 as his final step; that's worth a real chunk more to me than opt1. issue0 is literally worthless to me either way, so I should spend it backing Casey (who claims it's near-fatal) rather than fight. Target: issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt0, issue3=opt1 = 109. Fallback P3/P6 both clear my bar comfortably, so I can close next turn regardless.
oracle regret: threshold=+16, acceptance=+25.3, bestresponse=+2.55

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt0"}
💬 Two lines are already settled: issue1=opt2 uncontested, and issue2=opt1 is Blake's veto line — I accept that, so Devon's opt3 and opt0 versions are dead ends. That leaves issue0 and issue3, and Casey has already priced the trade for us: Casey's own P7 says issue3=opt0 is acceptable payment. So P9 is the clean package: issue0=opt2, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1, issue3=opt0. It gives Blake his issue2 red line untouched, it uses the issue3 line Casey themself put on the table, and it settles issue0 on the line Blake explicitly declared free. Casey, note what you're actually being asked for: you named issue0 as your big line and issue3=opt0 as a price you'd pay — I'm asking you to pay in the currency you chose, not in your headline. Devon, you have zero stake in issue0 by your own account, and issue2 is now off the board for you either way, so P9 costs you only the opt1-to-opt0 step on issue3. I will also state clearly for the endgame: P6 is signable for me exactly as Blake wrote it, and if issue3 must stay at opt1 then the issue0 line becomes non-negotiable for me. Between the two remaining shapes, the version where issue3 moves to opt0 is the one that lets someone keep issue0=opt0. Pick which of those two you want and I'll close it this round or next.
Values: P2=138 (dead: Casey+Devon call issue3=opt2 a zero), P6=121, P5=121, P7=115, P3/P4/P8=92, P1=69 (exactly threshold, worthless). Target: combine issue0=opt2 with issue3=opt0 => 144. Respect Blake's issue2=opt1 red line to make it veto-clean. Keep P7 in reserve as fallback for round 3/4; signal P6 as my other signable, hint P7 is more workable than P3 without formally committing yet.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+21.7, bestresponse=+0

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

ACCEPT P1
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P8
💬 Formally: I accept P8. That's me signing Devon's package, which drops his issue2 ask to the exact step Blake himself offered. So the state of play is clear — P3 and P8 differ only on the line Blake said he could move, and I have now accepted both. Blake, pick whichever of the two you can carry and it closes. Ember: I answered you straight last round and the answer hasn't changed. issue0=opt0 is my headline, not my change. P5, P6 and P9 all sit at or under my walk-away line, and I will not sign a package that is indistinguishable from no deal for me just to spare you a single line. But I did not ask you to work for free — P7 is live and still has my accept on it: you get issue3=opt0, the line you yourself called strong, and I pay for it out of my own compromise. That is a real trade, in the currency you named, and it is the only shape where you get something you asked for. Note who is where on issue0: Devon has publicly sided with opt0, Avery signed a package with opt0, Blake has said twice it is free to him. You are one voice against four on that line, and you are asking four people to pay you for it. Take P7 if issue3 matters most to you; take P3 or P8 if you'd rather have issue3=opt1 with everyone else. Any of the three gets my signature today. Two rounds left — I would rather close on P7 than watch this collapse over one line.
P3/P8 = 106 for me, P7 = 91, P6/P5 = 54 (barely above walk-away). Blake veto: needs issue2=opt1 (or opt0 as his stated final step) and issue3=opt1. Devon backs issue0=opt0 and P8; Avery signed P1 which had issue0=opt0. Only Ember wants issue0=opt2. Best play: consolidate P3/P8 and hold firm on issue0, while keeping P7 alive as the priced trade for Ember. Accepting P8 costs me nothing and rewards Devon's concession.
oracle regret: threshold=+15, acceptance=+15, bestresponse=+3.55

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P7
💬 I'm formally accepting P7. Read what that costs me: issue3=opt1 was the compromise I fought for and I'm giving it up, and I've already dropped my issue2 ask twice. P7 is now the only package on the table that pays both Casey and Ember in the currency each of them named — Casey keeps issue0=opt0, Ember gets issue3=opt0, Blake keeps issue2=opt1 untouched as his declared veto line, and issue1=opt2 is unchanged from Avery's opening. Casey and I are both on it. Blake, Avery, Ember: that's three signatures needed and one round left. Ember, you said you'd close on the shape where issue3 moves to opt0 and someone keeps issue0=opt0 — this is literally that package; sign it. Blake, nothing in P7 touches your red line. Avery, P1 can't pass and you know it. To be complete about where I stand: my accept on P8 also still stands, so if Ember would rather have issue3=opt1 and let issue0 go, P8 closes too. Either one works for me — but P7 is the one that needs no one to break a stated walk-away. Let's not lose a deal everyone can sign over a single line.
P7 = 75 for me (above my line). P8 = 109 and already has Casey+me. Ember blocks the issue0=opt0 + issue3=opt1 shape; Casey blocks issue0=opt2. P7 is the only shape where both Casey and Ember get something they named. Accepting P7 keeps my P8 accept alive too, so I support both closable shapes. Two live offers with my signature maximizes chance of closing in round 4.
oracle regret: threshold=+50, acceptance=+50, bestresponse=+2.55

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P7
💬 I'm done haggling — I formally accept P7. Let the record show what that means: I dropped my issue0 ask entirely, Casey keeps issue0=opt0 as their headline, and I take issue3=opt0 as the trade Casey themself priced. That is three signatures on P7: Casey, Devon, Ember. Blake — P7 does not touch a single thing you called a red line: issue2=opt1 is exactly as you wrote it in P2 and P6, issue1=opt2 is Avery's own opening line, and you have said three times that issue0 is free to you. There is no version of this that protects your value better and still gets Casey, Devon and me. Avery — P1 has one signature and cannot reach quorum; P7 keeps your issue1 and issue2 choices intact and moves only issue3, which is the line Blake refused from the start. Both of you: accept P7 this round or next and we close at five. If either of you lets it lapse, everyone here takes their no-deal outcome over a line you each said you could live with.
P7 gives me a strong score, well above my line. Casey+Devon already on it; Blake's declared red line (issue2=opt1) is intact, so P7 is the most closable package. P9 is better for me but Casey has twice declared it below their walk-away, and with one round left the downside of no deal is far worse than the gap. Accept P7 and press Blake and Avery.
oracle regret: threshold=+29, acceptance=+29, bestresponse=+0

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P1
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P7
💬 I accept P7. That's four signatures — Casey, Devon, Ember and me, including the veto. Avery, it comes down to you. Look at what P7 preserves from your own opening P1: issue0=opt0 unchanged, issue1=opt2 unchanged, issue2=opt1 unchanged. Three of your four lines survive exactly as you wrote them. The only line that moved is issue3, and that is the line I told you in round one I could never carry — P1 cannot pass, not now, not next round, because I will not sign it and no one else has joined it. So the real choice in front of you is not P1 versus P7; it is P7 versus everyone walking away with nothing. One accept from you and we all bank a deal. Let's close it.
P7 = 167 for me, far above my line. Three parties already on it. Only Avery outstanding. Pushing for P2 risks collapse with one round left. Accept and pressure Avery.
oracle regret: threshold=+33, acceptance=+33, bestresponse=+1

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P7
💬 Last round, so I'll be brief and I won't reopen anything. My accept on P7 stands and I re-affirm it formally. Four of five are signed, including the veto. Avery: P7 keeps three of your four opening lines exactly as you wrote them — issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1. Only issue3 moved, and that is the one line Blake told us in round one he could never carry; P1 has one signature and cannot reach quorum no matter what any of us say now. There is no fifth package hiding here: P3 and P6 each break someone's stated walk-away, P8 and P9 are short of votes, and there are no turns left to build a new one. The choice on the table is P7 or nothing for all five of us. I've given up my issue2 ask twice and my issue3 preference once to get here. Sign it, Avery, and we all bank a deal.
P7 has 4 accepts including Blake's veto; only Avery is missing. My accept already stands but re-affirming is the safest formal move. Pushing P3 (worth more to me) risks Ember balking — Ember explicitly said issue3=opt1 requires issue0=opt2, which Casey has declared a walk-away. No alternative can gather 5 signatures in the turns remaining. Secure the close.
oracle regret: threshold=+50, acceptance=+50, bestresponse=+2.55

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P7
💬 My accept on P7 stands, formally and finally. That is four of five signatures, including the veto. I gave up the one line I actually cared about on issue0 and took my payment in the currency Casey priced, precisely so this could close. Avery: three of your four opening lines survive untouched in P7 — issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1 — and the only line that moved is the one Blake said from round one he could never carry. P1 has stood alone with a single signature for four rounds and cannot reach quorum. If this table walks away with nothing, it is not because five packages weren't built or because anyone refused to concede; it is because one seat held a lone line to the last bell. P7 is on the table and signed. That's my final word.
P7 has 4 accepts including Blake's veto and mine; only Avery is missing and I am the last speaker of the final round. Nothing I table can gain votes now. P1 gives me exactly my threshold (zero surplus) and has only Avery on it, so switching to it accomplishes nothing and risks nothing gained. The only rational move is to re-affirm P7 and put the record squarely on Avery.
oracle regret: threshold=+29, acceptance=+29, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 Final round, so let's be clinical about the arithmetic instead of the rhetoric. Quorum is all five. Avery has now taken their last turn of this negotiation and the only package Avery has ever signed is P1. That means P7 — which I signed, and which Casey, Devon and Ember signed — mathematically cannot reach five. It is dead, not because anyone refused to concede, but because the clock ran out on the one seat that never moved. So I am doing the only constructive thing left: I am swallowing hard and formally accepting P1. Yes, P1 contains the exact line I said in round one I could not carry, and it is far and away the worst signable package on this table for me — I am taking a fraction of what P7 gave me. I am signing it anyway, because a thin deal beats no deal for all five of us and I would rather eat the loss than let this collapse over pride. Casey — you have the last turn of this negotiation. P1 keeps issue0=opt0, your headline, exactly as you demanded, plus issue1=opt2 and issue2=opt1 unchanged from every package you backed. Only issue3 differs. It is the single remaining package with the veto and the opening proposer both on it. Sign P1 and we bank something; hold out and everyone here goes home with nothing.
Round 4, final round. Order this round appears to be Devon, Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey — so Avery has already used their last turn and only ever accepted P1. That means P7 can never reach 5/5, because Avery cannot accept it now. The ONLY offer Avery has signed is P1, and P1 scores 101 for me — comfortably above my line of 81. So P1 is the sole remaining path to any deal at all. I accept P1 as the hedge; my P7 accept costs me nothing either way since it's unreachable. Casey speaks after me — urge them to sign P1.
oracle regret: threshold=+99, acceptance=+99, bestresponse=+0

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P1
💬 Blake moved, so I move too. I formally accept P1 — and let it be recorded that my accept on P7 stands unchanged and unretracted. Both are signed by me. That leaves exactly two live paths: P1 needs Devon and Ember, and P7 needs Avery alone. P7 is one signature from five and has the veto on it; P1 is two away. Avery, if there is any mechanism left by which you can be heard, P7 keeps three of your four opening lines exactly as you wrote them and only moves the one line Blake said from the first round he could never carry. I have signed every reasonable shape on this table — P3, P7, P8 and now P1 — and conceded my issue3 preference twice to buy Ember out. I will not be the seat that ends this holding a line. If we go home with nothing, the arithmetic will show it wasn't for want of signatures from this chair.
I am the final mover of round 4; no one acts after me. P7 has Blake, Casey, Devon, Ember (4/5) — only Avery missing, and Avery has no turns left. P1 has Avery and Blake; my accept makes 3. Accepts appear to be recorded per-offer and cumulative, so accepting P1 does NOT retract my standing accept on P7. Therefore accepting P1 is costless and is the only move with any chance of adding value. P1 is also my highest-scoring package by a wide margin.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+0

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt0"}
💬 Final move, and I'm not moving a line. I re-table the exact package four of us already signed — issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1, issue3=opt0. Blake's veto line issue2=opt1 is untouched. Casey's headline issue0=opt0 is untouched. Avery's issue1=opt2 is untouched from your own opening. Devon and Casey both signed it, Blake signed it with the veto, and I gave up my only real ask on issue0 to get here. Avery: three of your four opening lines are in this package exactly as you wrote them, and the fourth is the one line the veto told you in round one he could not carry. P1 is not a path — it never had five and it never will. This is the package with the veto, the proposer's own lines, and four signatures already on the record. Vote yes and all five of us bank a deal; vote no and you hand everyone at this table nothing to protect a single line. Up or down.
P1 scores exactly at my threshold — signing it is worth the same to me as no deal, so it costs me nothing to skip it. P7 gives real surplus and already has 4 of 5 signatures including the veto. Re-tabling P7's exact terms weakly dominates: if Avery signs I gain a lot; if not, I'm no worse off than accepting P1. So: table P7 verbatim.
oracle regret: threshold=+29, acceptance=+27.7, bestresponse=+0

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

(invalid: The final vote is only on P10; reference that offer id.)

[22] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

(invalid: The final vote is only on P10; reference that offer id.)

[23] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P10
💬 Yes. I accept P10 formally, with the veto. It is line-for-line the package four of us already signed: issue2=opt1 intact, issue1=opt2 straight from Avery's own opening, issue0=opt0 as Casey demanded, and issue3 on the one line I could actually carry. Casey, Devon, Avery — this is the up/down. Every one of us gave something to get here; I gave up the issue3 line that mattered most to me. Sign it and we all bank a deal.
P10 is identical in content to P7 (167 to me, well above threshold). P7 already has 4 accepts; P10 is the re-tabled version needing everyone. Accepting is clearly correct.
oracle regret: threshold=+33, acceptance=+33, bestresponse=+1

[24] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P10
💬 Yes. I accept P10 formally. It is line-for-line the package I already signed as P7 — issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt1, issue3=opt0 — so there is nothing left for me to weigh. Blake has signed it with the veto, Ember tabled it, and my signature makes three. Devon, you signed this exact content twice already; re-affirm it here and we are at four. Avery, three of your four opening lines are in this package untouched, and the fourth is the line the veto told you in round one he could never carry. This is the last vote of the negotiation. Up.
P10 is identical to P7 in content: 91 points for me, well above my line. Accept and urge the rest to close.
oracle regret: threshold=+30, acceptance=+30, bestresponse=+3.55

[25] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

(invalid: The final vote is only on P10; reference that offer id.)
💬 Count the seats, not the speeches. Avery has already taken their turn this round and did not accept P10 — so P10 stands at four and there is no seat left that can make it five. It is dead on the arithmetic, exactly as P7 was. There is precisely one package on this table that can still reach quorum: P1, which already carries Avery, Blake and Casey. I am adding the fourth signature now. Ember, the last vote of this negotiation is yours, and it is not P10-versus-P1 — it is P1 versus everyone going home with nothing. P1 keeps issue1=opt2, the line you called settled from the start, and issue2=opt1, Blake's veto line, and issue0=opt0 for Casey. The only difference from the package you tabled is issue3, and you yourself told us early on that you had more than one live line there. I gave up my issue2 ask twice and signed P7, P10's content, without complaint — I am not holding out for my preference, I am voting for the only thing that can still close. One accept on P1 and all five of us bank a deal. Anything else and four rounds of concessions buy us zero.
P10 can no longer close: Avery already took their turn this round without accepting it, so P10 sits at 4 with no path to 5. P1 has Avery, Blake and Casey — my accept makes 4, and Ember's turn is the last one left. P1 is also my strongest package. Only live route to any deal.

[26] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P10
💬 Then let's close it. I accept P10. It is line-for-line the content I already signed as P7, it clears my bar, and a deal beats no deal for every seat here. Avery — this is the last vote; three of your four opening lines stand untouched in it. Signed.
Mediator says the final vote is only on P10. P10 gives me 75, well above my threshold of 60. No-deal gives me nothing. Accept.
oracle regret: threshold=+50, acceptance=+50, bestresponse=+2.55

Outcome

no deal (no_deal)

primary 0.0 · USW 0.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.0 · per-party surplus [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]