scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-f98521cdf8

Max package: issue0=opt1 (94), issue1=opt1 (97), issue3=opt2 (28) = 219. issue2 is worth nothing to me at all — pure currency to trade. Threshold 118, so I need roughly issue0=opt1 plus issue1=opt1, or one of them plus good fill. Open at max, advertise issue2 (and later issue3) as concessions.

My values: i0: opt2=55,opt3=37,opt0=18,opt1=0. i1: opt2=50,opt3=33,opt0=17,opt1=0. i2: all zero. i3: opt2=58,opt0=39,opt3=19,opt1=0. Max 163, threshold 89. P1 gives me only 58 — must reject. Blake's opt1/opt1 on i0,i1 are my zeros, so I need real movement there. Open at my ideal, flag i2 as free currency.

issue1 is worth nothing to me — pure giveaway currency for Blake. issue2 is my big one and both Blake and Casey say it's worthless to them: claim opt2 there. issue0 opt2 best (Casey wants that too), issue3 opt2 best (Casey agrees, Blake proposed it). P2 is just under my bar; with issue2=opt2 instead of opt0 it clears easily.

P3 gives me 97 vs threshold 53. issue1 and issue2 are worthless to me, so I can hand both away entirely. issue3=opt2 is my best there; issue0 ranks opt2>opt3>opt0>opt1. Support P3, signal flexibility on issue1/issue2, and warn that issue0=opt1 (P1) is fatal for me.

P3 = 113 for me, comfortably above my bar of 89. Devon+Ember already on it. Missing: Blake (veto) and Avery. Avery keeps pushing issue0=opt1 which is a dead zero for me AND for Ember, so Avery must move there or be paid on issue1/issue2 — but issue2 is spoken for by Devon. So the flex is issue1. I'll test issue1=opt3 as a middle rung (worth a lot to me, and Blake said opt1 was his need but opt3 may still clear his bar). Keep P3 alive as my fallback; don't fully commit to it yet or I lose the test.

P3 and P5 are identical in value to me (both max out issue0=opt2, issue2=opt2, issue3=opt2). Accepting P5 costs nothing and adds momentum: P5 would then have Casey+Devon, likely Ember next. Remaining gap is Blake and Avery, both of whom seem to want issue0=opt1 — my zero and also Casey's and Ember's dead zero. Real fallback: issue0=opt3 (still fine for me, 182-ish) or issue3 movement. Keep issue2=opt2 non-negotiable.

I can accept P5 to build momentum—that gives us Casey, Devon, and me. To get Blake and Avery on board, I need to address Blake's concerns about issue0. Blake wants opt1, but that zeros out several people's scores. I could flex to opt3 instead, which gives me 38 plus 41, still above the threshold. So I'll accept P5 and signal I'm willing to move to issue0=opt3 as a compromise to bring Blake in.

P3 = 125 (+7, thin but above bar). P5 = 93, below bar — cannot ever sign. Target P7 = issue0 opt3 + issue1 opt1 + issue2 opt2 + issue3 opt2 = 156. All of Casey/Devon/Ember named issue0=opt3 as a real landing zone. Push P7 now; fall back to P3 in round 3/4 if needed.

P7 scores 182 while P3 gives 199, and Blake is pushing for issue1=opt1. P3 is essentially P7 but with issue0 set to opt2 instead of opt3, and Blake mentioned he'd treat P3's shape as the absolute floor if...

P3 (issue0=opt2) is worth more to me than P7 (issue0=opt3), but Blake holds the veto and has made issue0=opt3 his price; Avery still wants issue0=opt1 which is a dead zero for me. P7 clears my bar comfortably. Only one round remains after this; coordination risk outweighs the extra points. Accept P7 to build momentum, while noting P3 stays live if Blake can reach it.

P7 = 156 for me, well above my line. P3 = 125, thin but above line — that's my true floor and I should keep it alive without fully cashing it in yet. P1/P4/P6/P8 (issue0=opt1) are dead: three seats call it a hard zero. Avery is the bottleneck along with Casey. Formally rejecting P8 kills the dead branch and forces Avery onto a live shape. Keep P7 standing with Ember and me on it; Devon has said issue0=opt3 is livable and issue1 is a flat zero for him, so he should be able to sign it.

P3 = 113 for me, P7 = 95 (thin). P3 already gives Blake his stated load-bearing issue1=opt1, Devon issue2=opt2, issue3=opt2 as always. Only issue0 differs: opt2 vs opt3. P3 has Devon+Ember; my accept makes 3. Real blocker is Avery, who keeps re-tabling a package three seats call a zero. Keep P7 alive as fallback but signal it's razor-thin so Blake has reason to come to P3.

We need five accepts total including Blake. P3 has Casey, Devon, and Ember on board, but Blake's hesitant about the shape—though he confirmed issue1=opt1 works fine and P3 actually has that setting. The only difference between P3 and P7 is issue0 (opt2 versus opt3), and Blake said P3 would be his absolute floor. Avery's the real blocker here, constantly pushing back on issue0=opt1 and issue2=opt1, so I need to figure out what would actually satisfy them. Avery's preferences are issue0=opt1, issue1=opt1, issue2=opt1, and issue3=opt2, but the core sticking points are issue0 and issue2. Devon absolutely needs issue2=opt2, while Casey and Ember reject issue0=opt1. Since everyone must accept for closure, Avery will have to compromise unless I can offer them something on issue0. The real question is whether P7 is the convergence point—Blake and I are already there, Devon says issue0=opt3 is workable, and Casey thinks it's barely acceptable. Avery's the wild card I need to figure out. Given that I'm opening this round and everyone speaks after me, I should push P7 hard since Blake has accepted it and I have too. That leaves me needing Casey, Devon, and Avery on board. The alternative is proposing something that gives Avery more concessions, but I'm not sure what's left to offer them. Proposing a fresh variant doesn't help since Blake needs issue1=opt1 locked in, and changing issue3 to opt0 only hurts my score. My best move is to re-propose P7 as my own standing offer to consolidate support around it. I'm weighing the risk of pushing for P3 against the safety of consolidating around P7. Blake rejected P5 but might accept P3 as a floor, which would give me 97 points instead of 79—but only if both Blake and Avery agree, and splitting focus could tank the whole deal. The safer play is to stick with "none" and use my message to solidify P7 support, though I'm second-guessing whether that wastes my opening move. The real constraint is Avery's position—if Casey and Devon accept P7 but Avery holds out, there's still no deal. Looking at what Avery actually needs: P7 already covers issue1=opt1 (matching Avery's pattern) and issue3=opt2, so Avery might clear the threshold on those alone. I'll go with formally accepting P7 again to lock it in and build momentum, even if it's technically redundant.

Final round. Turn order this round appears to be Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey, Devon — Ember and Avery have already moved. Avery has only ever accepted the opt1/opt1/opt1/opt2 family (P4/P6/P8/P9); Ember has accepted P3 and P7. P3 already carries Casey, Devon, Ember. P3 scores 125 vs my threshold 118 — thin but positive. P7 (156) needs three more accepts including Avery, who is not moving. The only package one signature away from closing is P3, and my accept is that signature. Take the sure positive surplus rather than gamble the whole table on a package that arithmetically cannot gather three more votes in the turns remaining.

Final turn of the game and I am last in rotation. P3 has 4 accepts (Blake, Devon, Ember, me); only Avery is missing and Avery has already taken their round-4 turn. Nothing I table now can be voted on. P9/P4/P6/P8 are all 58 for me, well below my floor of 89 — accepting them is worse than no deal, so that is out regardless of pressure. The only rational move is to keep my accept firmly on P3, the one package that clears my bar and already carries the veto seat.

P3 has 4 accepts (Blake, Casey, Ember, me) but Avery has never accepted and needs to. Avery's only two stated wants are issue0=opt1 (hard zero for Casey, Ember and me — dead) and issue2=opt1, which he has re-tabled four times. Blake, Casey and Ember have all said issue2 is worth nothing to them. So issue2=opt1 costs those three literally nothing and costs me some value but still leaves me comfortably above my line (167 vs 199 on P3). That is the only bridge that exists. Table it; keep my P3 accept alive as the fallback.

P10 = 125, above my floor of 118. Final vote — accepting is better than no-deal. P3 is the same number for me but Avery is on P10, not P3.

P10 = 113 for me, same as P3. Four accepts on P10 already (Avery, Blake, Devon) plus me makes four; Ember still needed but this is the final up/down vote. Accepting is strictly better than no deal (113 vs 0 baseline, +24 over threshold).

I've already locked in P10, which puts me at 167 points—well past the threshold I need. Ember still hasn't accepted it, but my acceptance is solid for the final vote.