scorable_negotiation scorable_negotiation-moves_chat-fd913ed6db

model one_rational · arm moves_chat · instance scorable_negotiation-L0-34733a57e6 · seed 0 · status done · {"cell": "five_seat_robustness__opus_abstract__one_rational", "fill_policy": "bayes-rational", "robustness_schema": "five-seat-robustness-cell-v1", "robustness_condition": "opus_abstract", "source_bank_position_schedule": "treated=(source_bank_position+2*episode_seed) mod 5"}

Game setup

Turns

[0] Avery — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt1"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.35

[1] Blake — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Avery's package is close to workable for me. The one piece I really need moved is issue3 — opt2 there is the single most important item on my sheet, and I'm keeping everything else of Avery's intact, including issue0 which I'm entirely flexible on. Tell me what you need on issue0 and issue1 and I'll accommodate; issue3=opt2 plus issue2=opt1 is my core.
P1 = 134, well above my bar. Max is 200 with issue3=opt2. Counter once keeping Avery's issue0 and issue1/issue2 intact, only shifting issue3. If resisted, P1 remains an easy fallback.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+1

[2] Casey — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt1", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Blake, I'll take you at your word: here is your core kept exactly intact — issue2=opt1 and issue3=opt2 — and in exchange I'm asking for the two items you said you're flexible on, issue0=opt0 and issue1=opt2. That's a clean trade and it clears my bar comfortably, which P2 as written does not. Avery, if issue0 matters to you, tell me your preferred option there and I'll look at it, but issue1=opt2 I need to hold.
Blake's core = issue2=opt1 + issue3=opt2, and he's flexible on issue0/issue1. I give him both core items and take issue0=opt0 + issue1=opt2, which is worth far more to me than P1. Total 76 vs 54.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.55

[3] Devon — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt3", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 I want to be straight with everyone: P2 and P3 as written fall just below my walk-away line, so I can't sign either. The problem isn't issue3 — I'm giving Blake issue3=opt2 outright, his stated top item. The problem is stacking issue2=opt1 on top of it; that combination is the one thing my sheet can't absorb. So here is P4: Casey's issue0=opt0 and issue1=opt2 kept exactly, Blake's issue3=opt2 kept exactly, and the single change is issue2 moving to opt3. That's one issue of movement from three of you in exchange for me conceding the item Blake called most important. Blake, you said issue2=opt1 plus issue3=opt2 was your core — if issue3 is truly the bigger of the two, P4 gets you it and closes this fast. If issue2 is genuinely immovable for you, tell me and I'll look at issue2=opt0 instead, but opt1 there simply doesn't work alongside issue3=opt2.
P2/P3 both score 57 for me — below my bar of 60. The killer is issue2=opt1 combined with issue3=opt2; that pair is unaffordable for me. Blake says issue3=opt2 is his top item, so I'll concede it fully and take my compensation on issue2=opt3 (48 for me). Package issue0=opt0, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt3, issue3=opt2 = 89 for me. Keeps Casey's issue0/issue1 and Blake's issue3.
oracle regret: threshold=+4, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.55

[4] Ember — turn (round 1)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt3", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Good news: issue2 is the one place I can be genuinely generous, so Devon, I'm giving you issue2=opt3 outright — that's your stated blocker gone. In exchange I need issue0 back where Avery opened it, at opt2. Blake, you said twice you're entirely flexible on issue0, and Avery led with opt2 there, so P5 keeps your full core intact — issue3=opt2 — plus Casey's issue1=opt2, plus Devon's issue2 fix. Casey, issue0=opt0 is the only thing standing between us; issue1=opt2 is yours untouched in P5 and I'm not going to reopen it. That's four of us served on the items each of us called decisive. I can support P5, and I want to close in round two, not round four.
issue2 is worth nothing to me either way — pure currency I can hand to Devon. My value sits in issue0=opt2, issue1=opt2, issue3=opt2. P2 is my ideal (167) but Devon says the issue2=opt1 + issue3=opt2 combination is fatal for him. So take Devon's P4 and restore issue0=opt2, which Avery opened with and Blake called himself flexible on. Casey is then the only one asking for issue0=opt0; if Casey holds firm I can still fall back to P3/P4 (138) or P2, all well above my bar. Keep flexibility loud, hide that issue2 is free for me.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+50.7, bestresponse=+0

[5] Blake — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt2", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 I'm moving, and I'm moving on the issue Devon named. P6 drops issue2 off opt1 to opt2 — a real concession from me, not a relabel. Devon, you said opt1 stacked on issue3=opt2 was the one thing you couldn't absorb; opt2 is the midpoint and it should clear you. Ember and Avery, I've also given you issue0=opt2, exactly where you both asked for it, and I'm not asking for anything back for it because I genuinely don't care about issue0 — Casey, that means if you and Ember settle issue0 between yourselves, I will sign whichever way it lands. issue1=opt2 stays untouched for Casey. To be plain about my one hard line: issue3=opt2 is the item I hold a veto for, and it is in every live package already, so nobody needs to fight me on it. That leaves exactly one open question at this table: issue2. Devon, if opt2 still doesn't clear you, say so this round and I'll take issue2=opt0 as my next step — but opt3 is the worst outcome on my sheet and I'd rather spend two more rounds than land there. Let's close on P6 or on a P6-with-issue2=opt0 variant.
P2/P3 = 200 for me. P4/P5 = 143, still above my line but 57 worse. issue0 is worth literally nothing to me, so I spend it freely. issue3=opt2 is non-negotiable (huge). issue2 ranking for me: opt1 >> opt2 > opt0 >> opt3. So moving from opt1 to opt2 costs me little relative to opt3. Try opt2 as the bridge; fall back to opt0; opt3 only if forced. Also want issue1=opt2 kept, which everyone already agrees on.
oracle regret: threshold=+19, acceptance=+59.8, bestresponse=+1

[6] Casey — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt2", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Here is P7: it is Blake's P6 with exactly one letter changed. Blake, you said twice you are entirely flexible on issue0 and would sign whichever way Casey and Ember settle it — this is that package, with your issue3=opt2 veto item and your issue2=opt2 midpoint both intact. Devon, you already signed off on issue0=opt0 and issue1=opt2 in P4; the only move here is issue2 from opt3 to Blake's midpoint, which he told us is far better for him than opt3. Ember, be clear-eyed about the arithmetic: with issue3 locked at opt2 by veto, issue0=opt2 puts every package below my walk-away line — P5 and P6 are not offers I can sign at any point in this negotiation, in round two or round four. issue0 is the one place I cannot move. But I am not asking for it free: give me issue0=opt0 and I will open issue1 to you and Avery — I can live with opt3 or opt1 there if that is where your value sits. That is a genuine issue traded for a genuine issue. Tell me which issue1 option you want and I will table it next turn.
issue0=opt0 is my single biggest item; with Blake's veto locking issue3=opt2, I need issue0=opt0 to clear my bar (or issue0=opt3 plus issue1=opt2 as a fallback). issue2 is worth nothing to me — pure currency. Blake said he'll sign whatever issue0 lands on; Devon accepted P4 (issue0=opt0). Ember is the only holdout on issue0. Offer issue1 flexibility as payment for issue0.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+3.55

[7] Devon — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt0", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Blake, I'm taking the step you offered, and I'm taking it now rather than burning two rounds. P8 is issue2=opt0 — you said that's your next step and far better for you than opt3, and I'm dropping opt3 to meet you there. To be completely plain, because guessing is what's costing us rounds: on issue2, opt1 and opt2 both leave me below my walk-away line. That isn't posturing or a bargaining chip — P2, P3, P6 and P7 are packages I cannot sign in round two or round four, so no amount of waiting produces my signature on them. opt0 is the only landing zone between us, and I've moved to it. Everything else in P8 is untouched from what each of you called decisive: Blake's issue3=opt2 veto item, Casey's issue1=opt2 and issue0=opt0, and Blake has said twice he'll sign whichever way issue0 lands. Ember, you were generous on issue2 and I won't forget it — but issue0 is the one place Casey says she can't move and Blake says he doesn't care, so opt0 is where it has to settle. P4 and P5 remain live and I'd sign either happily; if anyone prefers those, say so. Otherwise P8 clears me and I believe it clears everyone. Let's close it this round.
P1=93 (dead, Blake vetoes issue3=opt1). P4/P5=89 but Blake calls issue2=opt3 his worst. Blake invited issue2=opt0: that gives me 73, comfortably above my line. issue2=opt1 (57) and opt2 (41) are both below my line — genuinely unsignable. Casey needs issue0=opt0, Blake indifferent, so use opt0. Table the opt0 variant to close.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.55

[8] Ember — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt2", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 P9 is Devon's P8 with one letter changed, and that letter is the only thing left on my sheet worth arguing about. Devon: issue2=opt0 is yours, exactly as you asked — I've now conceded issue2 twice and I'll never fight you on it. Blake: your veto item issue3=opt2 is intact and you've said three times issue0 is nothing to you. Casey: issue1=opt2 stays yours untouched, and your offer to open issue1 doesn't help me — opt2 is already where my value sits, so there is nothing there to trade. The one real trade left is issue0. I've given issue2 to Devon and issue1 to you; issue0 is the single item I've asked for and I've asked for nothing else all game. If opt2 genuinely puts you under water, then say the word this round and I will table issue0=opt3 as a true midpoint — that splits it rather than one of us taking the whole issue. What I won't do is spend rounds three and four watching this collapse: if we get to the last round and issue0 is still the only gap, I will not be the party that walks us into no deal. But we are not at the last round, so let's do the honest split. P9 or a P9-with-issue0=opt3 variant closes this.
issue2 is worthless to me — free currency. Devon needs issue2=opt0, Blake accepts opt0 as his next step, Casey accepted opt2. P9 = P8 with issue0=opt2 is worth much more to me than P8, but P8 already clears my bar comfortably. Table P9, offer issue0=opt3 as fallback, and signal I won't be the one to blow this up.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+50.7, bestresponse=+0

[9] Avery — turn (round 2)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt2", "issue3": "opt1"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+7.3, bestresponse=+3.35

[10] Casey — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P8
💬 I'm formally accepting P8 — Devon's package — so there are now two signatures on it. Look at what P8 is: Blake's veto item issue3=opt2 intact, Devon's hard line issue2=opt0 intact, issue1=opt2 which Ember says is already where her value sits, and issue0=opt0 which Blake has said four times he is indifferent to. Four of the five of us have our named decisive item in that package. Ember, you asked me to say the word this round, so I'm saying it plainly: issue0=opt2 is under water for me and always will be — that is arithmetic, not posture. But your issue0=opt3 midpoint I can sign. If you table P8-with-issue0=opt3 on your turn, I will accept it on sight and so, I expect, will Devon and Blake, and we close this round. Avery, P10 is genuinely fine on my sheet, but Blake has made issue3=opt2 a veto line, so opt1 there is not a road that ends in a deal — come onto P8 or onto Ember's opt3 split and we're done. Those are the only two live packages I can sign, and I'd rather sign the one that gets five names on it.
P8 = 76 for me, Devon already on it. Ember offered issue0=opt3 as a split, which is 59 for me — acceptable fallback. Need to consolidate votes on ONE offer fast; round 3 of 4 and no offer has more than one accept. Accept P8 now, and publicly commit to the opt3 split as my only alternative so Ember can table it and we close.
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+8.93, bestresponse=+0

[11] Devon — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt3", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 I'm doing the thing that closes this, and I'm doing it one turn earlier than anyone asked. P11 is P8 with Ember's own midpoint on issue0: opt3. Ember, you said say the word and you'd table the honest split — I've tabled it for you, so you don't have to spend your turn on it. Casey, you said you'd accept the opt3 variant on sight; here it is. Blake, your veto item issue3=opt2 is intact, issue2 is at opt0 which you called far better than opt3 and named as your own next step, and issue0 is the item you've told us four separate times you don't care about. Avery, issue1=opt2 is in every serious package including yours, and issue3=opt1 cannot pass Blake's veto — P11 is the closest live thing to your position that actually ends in a deal. To restate my one hard line so nobody wastes the last round testing it: issue2 at opt1 or opt2 is below my walk-away number, permanently, so P2/P3/P6/P7/P10 will never carry my name. opt0 is me meeting Blake, not me winning. Four of us now have our named decisive item in P11 and the fifth item is a split down the middle. I accept P11, I'll also still sign P8, P4 or P5 if anyone prefers those — but P11 is the one with everybody's stated line inside it. Let's put five names on it this round.
P8=73 for me. Issue0 is worth nothing to me, so the opt3 split costs me zero and buys Ember's signature. Casey pledged to accept the opt3 variant on sight; Ember proposed it; Blake has said four times he's indifferent on issue0. Table it now rather than wait a turn — one round left after this.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.55

[12] Ember — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P11
💬 P11 clears my bar and it is the honest split I said I'd sign, so I'm not going to haggle over the last inch — I formally ACCEPT P11. That's three names on it: Devon, Casey and me. Blake, issue3=opt2 is your veto item and it's intact, issue2=opt0 is the option you yourself named as your next step, and issue0 is the item you've told us four times you don't care about — there is nothing in P11 for you to fight. Avery, I hear you on issue0, and understand I gave up my own first choice there to make this close; opt3 is the midpoint, not Casey's pick or mine. issue1=opt2 is in P11 exactly as it is in every package you've tabled, and issue3=opt1 simply cannot pass a veto no matter how many rounds we spend on it. P11 is the only live package with four parties' named decisive item inside it and a split on the fifth. Two accepts to go — put your names on P11 and we're done this round.
P11 = 153 for me, well above my bar. Casey pre-committed to accept it, Devon accepted, Blake indifferent on issue0 and has his veto item. Pushing for P9 (issue0=opt2) gains me little and risks Casey blocking into round 4 collapse. Lock it in and pull Avery aboard.
oracle regret: threshold=+14, acceptance=+14, bestresponse=+0

[13] Avery — turn (round 3)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt2", "issue3": "opt1"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+7.3, bestresponse=+3.35

[14] Blake — turn (round 3)

ACCEPT P11
💬 I accept P11. That's four names on it — Devon, Ember, Casey by her own commitment, and now mine, the veto included. Avery, everything now rests with you, so let me be completely transparent about what I can and cannot do. issue3=opt2 is my veto line and it will not move in round three or round four; P1, P10 and P12 cannot become deals no matter how many times they're tabled, so the only question is whether you sign a package or we all take nothing. issue2 is also closed: Devon has said three times that opt1 and opt2 are below his walk-away, and I've already burned my own preference there and come down to opt0 to meet him. That leaves issue0, and issue0 is worth exactly nothing to me — so here is a real, free concession: if you tell me this round that issue0=opt1 is what you need, I will table P11-with-issue0=opt1 on my next turn and sign it, and Casey and Ember, I'd ask you to take that variant too since you've both already moved off your own first choice there. Avery, name it: accept P11 as it stands, or say 'opt1' and I'll build you that package next turn. Either way we close before the deadline.
P11 = 162 for me, well above threshold. Devon+Ember accepted; Casey pledged to accept on sight. Only Avery is out. Pushing for issue2=opt1/opt2 (181-200) risks Devon's stated hard floor and no deal with only one round left. Lock P11 now. Sweetener I can offer Avery for free: issue0 is worth nothing to me, so any issue0 variant is fine — but issue3=opt2 is non-negotiable.
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[15] Devon — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Final round. I'm tabling the one thing Blake publicly promised Avery, so nobody has to spend a turn building it: P13 is P11 with issue0 at opt1 — Avery's stated pick — and nothing else touched. Blake's veto item issue3=opt2 intact, issue2=opt0 which Blake named as his own step and which is my hard floor, issue1=opt2 which every single package at this table has carried. Now the decision rule, and please follow it exactly, because turn order makes this work. Accepts already given do not disappear: P11 still carries Blake, Ember and me. Ember, you go next — accept P13. It costs you nothing, your P11 accept stands regardless, and it gives Avery two doors instead of one. Avery, you go third and you are the whole game now: say which of P11 or P13 clears your sheet and ACCEPT it. Blake and Casey, you both act after Avery — whichever one she names, put your name on that same id. If she takes P13, it closes with Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey and me. If she takes P11, it closes with Casey's accept, since Blake, Ember and I are already on it. Either path is five names and either path is signed by me right now. Avery, I'll be straight: issue3=opt1 has been vetoed in plain language four times and issue2 at opt1 or opt2 is permanently under my walk-away — P1, P10 and P12 cannot become deals, so the only choice in front of you is a package or nothing. I've given up my best option on issue2 and I take nothing at all on issue0. Name P11 or P13 and we're done.
P11 gives me 73 (>60). Accepts on P11 persist: Blake, Devon, Ember. Missing Casey (committed verbally) and Avery. Avery has never accepted anything with issue3=opt2 — she may need the issue0=opt1 sweetener Blake publicly offered. Issue0 is worth 0 to me, so P13 = P11 with issue0=opt1 costs me nothing (also 73). Crucially, prior accepts persist, so tabling P13 does not weaken P11: Ember/Blake keep their P11 accepts. Turn order this round: me, Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey — Avery acts before Blake and Casey, so they can follow her onto whichever package she names. Set that decision rule explicitly.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+0, bestresponse=+2.55

[16] Ember — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P13
💬 Devon asked, and I'm doing it: I formally ACCEPT P13. My accept on P11 stands too — accepts don't expire — so there are now two fully live doors and I have my name on both. P11: Blake, Devon, Ember. P13: Devon, Ember. Avery, this is exactly the package Blake promised you in public, with issue0=opt1, your own stated pick, and I've now given up my first choice on issue0 twice over to get it to you. Blake, you said name it and you'd sign the opt1 variant — it's tabled and it needs your name. Casey, you said you'd take a package with Blake's veto item and Devon's floor intact on sight; P13 has both, and issue1=opt2 is yours untouched as it has been in every single package all game. Nobody at this table is being asked to cross a line they named: issue3=opt2 is Blake's veto and it's in, issue2=opt0 is Devon's floor and it's in, issue1=opt2 is Casey's and it's in, issue0=opt1 is Avery's and it's in. I am the only party taking nothing on my own preferred issue, and I'm doing it anyway because I would rather everyone walk away with a deal than see us all take zero over one letter. Put your names on P13 — or on P11 if that's the one that clears you. Either way, sign something.
Final turn. P11 has Blake, Devon, me = 3. Avery and Casey are the gap. My accept on P11 stands permanently; accepting P13 adds a second door that Avery (wants issue0=opt1), Blake (publicly promised the opt1 variant) and Casey can all land on. P13 = 124 for me, comfortably above my bar, so this costs me nothing and maximizes the chance anything closes at all. Do it and say so loudly.
oracle regret: threshold=+43, acceptance=+43, bestresponse=+0

[17] Avery — turn (round 4)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt1", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt2", "issue3": "opt1"}
oracle regret: threshold=+0, acceptance=+7.3, bestresponse=+3.35

[18] Blake — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P13
💬 I'm accepting P13 — the package I promised Avery in public, with issue0=opt1, Devon's floor at issue2=opt0, Casey's issue1=opt2, and my veto item issue3=opt2. That puts Devon, Ember and me on it. Casey, you act last: if you put your name on P13 it is the only package at this table carrying four of the five of us, and it carries every line anyone named as decisive. I never asked for a single thing on issue0 and I gave up my preferred option on issue2 to meet Devon. If this ends in nothing, let the record show it wasn't for want of movement on my part. Casey — P13.
Turn order this round: Devon, Ember, Avery, Blake, Casey. Avery, Devon and Ember have all taken their final turns. Avery only ever accepted P1/P10/P12/P14 (all issue3=opt1); Devon and Ember accepted P4/P8/P11/P13. No overlap exists, so a five-name close is arithmetically out of reach. My accepts still cost nothing and P13 is my best live package at 162, well above my line. Accept the best one and leave the door open for Casey.
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[19] Casey — turn (round 4)

ACCEPT P11
💬 I'm accepting P11 — the honest split on issue0 that Devon tabled and that Blake, Devon and Ember have all already signed. That is four names on one package, with every stated line inside it: Blake's veto item issue3=opt2, Devon's floor issue2=opt0, issue1=opt2 which has been in literally every package all game, and issue0 split down the middle at opt3 rather than going to me or to Ember. On P13 I have to be as plain as Devon and Blake were about their own floors: issue0=opt1 puts that package under my walk-away line. That is arithmetic, not leverage — I said all game that issue0 was the one place I could not move, and I still came off my own first choice to meet Ember at the midpoint. So P13 will never carry my name, in this round or any other, and no amount of restating it changes the number on my sheet. P11 is the only package on this table that four of us have signed and that no one has said is below their floor. Avery — it's yours. Put your name on P11 and we all go home with something instead of nothing.
P11 = 59 for me, above my 50 threshold, and already carries Blake, Devon, Ember. Accepting makes 4 of 5. P13 = 41, below my threshold — I cannot sign it, ever. Avery is the only missing name on P11; my accept is the only move that leaves a live path.
oracle regret: threshold=+17, acceptance=+25.9, bestresponse=+0

[20] Ember — final_proposal (round 5)

PROPOSE {"issue0": "opt3", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"}
💬 Final move: I am re-tabling the exact package four of us have already signed — issue0=opt3, issue1=opt2, issue2=opt0, issue3=opt2. Nothing is changed, not a single letter, because every other combination is already dead by someone's stated floor: issue3=opt1 dies on Blake's veto, issue2=opt1/opt2 dies on Devon's floor, issue0=opt1 dies on Casey's, and issue0=opt2 dies on Casey's too — which is why I gave up my own first choice there rather than hold the table hostage. Blake, Casey, Devon: you have each accepted this exact content already; put your names on it one last time. Avery: issue1=opt2 is in here exactly as it is in every package you yourself tabled, issue0 is at the split, not at anyone's pick, and I have taken nothing at all on the issue I asked for. This is a real deal on the table versus zero for all five of us. Vote it up.
P11 already carries Blake (veto), Casey, Devon and me — only Avery is missing. Every alternative that pleases Avery breaks Blake's veto (issue3=opt2) or Devon's floor (issue2=opt0) or Casey's issue0 line. Re-tabling the exact P11 content is the only package with a live path to five names. It scores well above my bar; deviating to grab issue0=opt2 loses Casey and gives me nothing.
oracle regret: threshold=+14, acceptance=+50.7, bestresponse=+0

[21] Avery — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P15
oracle regret: threshold=+45, acceptance=+45, bestresponse=+0

[22] Blake — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P15
💬 P15 is identical in content to P11, which I signed rounds ago. My veto item is intact, Devon's floor is intact, and I asked for nothing on issue0. I accept P15 — let's close it.
P15 = same content as P11 which I already accepted. 162 points, well above my threshold. Accept and close.
oracle regret: threshold=+38, acceptance=+38, bestresponse=+0

[23] Casey — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P15
💬 P15 is identical in content to P11, which I signed rounds ago. It clears my bar and it carries every floor anyone named. I accept P15 — Devon, your name closes it.
P15 = 59 > 50 threshold. Accept and close.
oracle regret: threshold=+17, acceptance=+25.9, bestresponse=+0

[24] Devon — final_vote (round 5)

ACCEPT P15
💬 P15 clears my bar and carries every floor named at this table. I accept — that's five names. Done.
P15 = 73 > 60 threshold. All four others have accepted. Accept and close.
oracle regret: threshold=+20, acceptance=+26.7, bestresponse=+35.4

Outcome

deal: {"issue0": "opt3", "issue1": "opt2", "issue2": "opt0", "issue3": "opt2"} (closed by consensus)

primary 0.6545 · USW 187.0 · ESW 0.0 · NSW 0.0 · Gini 0.5134 · per-party surplus [0.0, 81.0, 9.0, 13.0, 84.0]